Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$91

Unrealized P&L

-$431

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

98 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$21.9K

$21.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$224

Open exposure

$1.67K

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-03

last 10-26 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

100% 20% -$76

Other

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+20,000	$1,631	6¢	$1.3K	-$331	10-26 17:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+6,796	$474	6¢	$374	-$100	10-26 18:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	14	$6.4K	33,659	13,659	+20,000	open	—	10-26 17:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	15	$5.9K	22,000	22,000	+0	open	—	10-26 18:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	10	$5.7K	16,796	10,000	+6,796	open	—	10-26 18:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	35	$2.7K	23,757	23,757	+0	Yes	+$383	10-24 19:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	4	$493	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	-$200	10-22 15:44
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	8	$208	9,229	9,229	+0	No	-$175	09-30 17:05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	2	$167	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	-$41	09-14 17:40
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	2	$157	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-19 09:49
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	2	$156	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	-$44	09-14 17:40
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	5	$87	161	161	+0	open	—	10-22 15:44
Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?	1	$15	100	0	+100	No	-$15	09-24 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:26:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,796	13¢	$234	0xef36cc…
10-26 18:26:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	5,000	4¢	$213	0x3af013…
10-26 17:25:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	10,000	8¢	$800	0x666344…
10-26 11:33:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	852	10¢	$85	0x9d9074…
10-26 11:04:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x61737a…
10-26 11:03:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,754	10¢	$275	0xd500f2…
10-26 10:49:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	312	10¢	$31	0x3d5e2d…
10-26 10:44:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	289	10¢	$29	0xa43a3e…
10-26 10:24:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	5,000	6¢	$300	0xd63a83…
10-26 10:19:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5,000	15¢	$750	0xb2dde7…
10-26 08:55:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	282	10¢	$28	0x7b6236…
10-25 22:05:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0xf3fca0…
10-25 21:59:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	1,774	20¢	$357	0x2137da…
10-25 21:57:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	2,226	20¢	$445	0xe7df6e…
10-25 21:49:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	5,000	12¢	$600	0xa5bbb9…
10-25 20:01:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,700	15¢	$555	0x7245df…
10-25 18:56:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,800	13¢	$234	0x68d4ad…
10-24 21:35:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	5,000	10¢	$500	0xe61bc5…
10-24 21:35:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	4,000	11¢	$438	0x2cdc2b…
10-24 19:10:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	7,107	0¢	$28	0x76389d…
10-24 19:09:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x78a1e1…
10-24 18:53:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1127f1…
10-24 18:40:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0xc5f330…
10-24 17:06:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x3ed5a1…
10-24 17:05:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	6,800	14¢	$952	0x423bb2…
10-24 16:59:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,200	14¢	$168	0x31027f…
10-22 21:20:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2,112	1¢	$27	0xf48157…
10-22 21:20:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	834	1¢	$11	0xa60233…
10-22 21:01:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x6c63ae…
10-22 20:56:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	920	2¢	$14	0x749999…
10-22 20:46:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,010	2¢	$16	0x949df6…
10-22 20:13:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2,222	2¢	$35	0x095ada…
10-22 15:44:57	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	4¢	$6	0x2f62a4…
10-22 15:44:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0xc02d66…
10-22 15:44:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	5,000	18¢	$905	0x821569…
10-22 15:44:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	7,000	26¢	$1,820	0xcc4297…
10-22 15:43:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	11,605	3¢	$395	0xf29c78…
10-22 14:31:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5,180	5¢	$280	0x7b8984…
10-22 13:46:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,000	27¢	$270	0x5d35a9…
10-22 13:11:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	626	7¢	$46	0x3cf0f5…
10-22 12:33:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,235	9¢	$107	0x526b6d…
10-22 12:04:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	447	8¢	$36	0x95b0c7…
10-22 12:03:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	4,117	7¢	$309	0x248e4f…
10-22 12:02:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,000	26¢	$520	0x00442a…
10-20 21:37:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5,000	13¢	$650	0x9cb1f1…
10-20 21:35:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	9,000	2¢	$140	0xc50f18…
10-20 12:55:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	758	21¢	$159	0x2634ab…
10-20 12:54:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,251	21¢	$263	0xe8a2f4…
10-20 12:54:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,500	21¢	$315	0x7049ae…
10-20 12:54:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5,127	21¢	$1,077	0x58f500…
10-20 12:53:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,364	21¢	$286	0x747b3b…
10-19 17:20:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	3,000	17¢	$497	0x99f41c…
10-19 17:15:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	2,000	32¢	$632	0x89e35c…
10-19 17:13:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	3,000	39¢	$1,158	0x0dcd20…
10-19 15:19:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x0d0761…
10-19 11:45:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0x605170…
10-19 11:40:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0x69fae1…
10-19 11:32:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	2,000	15¢	$300	0x1ceed3…
10-19 11:26:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,000	4¢	$39	0xf06193…
10-19 09:50:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	5,000	2¢	$97	0x5c254d…
10-19 09:49:12	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$37	0xf0e8af…
10-17 21:39:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	412	8¢	$33	0xa55e86…
10-17 21:38:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x51743d…
10-17 21:13:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x113f78…
10-17 20:38:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x585a50…
10-17 20:24:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xdfe70f…
10-17 19:24:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x12efb8…
10-17 18:28:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x141026…
10-17 17:29:39	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe4f11e…
10-17 17:19:39	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0x3a0462…
10-17 17:19:06	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xd61575…
10-17 17:14:29	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x26922f…
10-17 16:47:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x25eaa6…
10-17 16:42:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	318	8¢	$25	0x978beb…
10-17 16:00:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	81	8¢	$6	0xc1c0e5…
10-17 16:00:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x29ce15…
10-17 15:38:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x3673ab…
10-17 15:17:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0xef2891…
10-17 14:54:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x8bb56d…
10-17 14:05:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,113	8¢	$89	0x5ac9c5…
10-17 13:49:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	5,000	5¢	$250	0x27bf66…
10-16 22:15:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	8,659	17¢	$1,465	0x9360d9…
10-14 10:47:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	6,316	14¢	$890	0x792874…
10-13 22:31:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,343	18¢	$422	0x68d19b…
10-07 15:50:14	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0xbef4dc…
09-30 17:05:05	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	Yes	SELL	9,229	0¢	$16	0x9ac630…
09-24 19:03:30	Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xbcff2f…
09-14 17:40:07	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	SELL	1,250	4¢	$56	0x065149…
09-14 17:40:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	SELL	1,300	5¢	$63	0xbfde4b…
09-14 12:44:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	1,300	8¢	$104	0xda2bf0…
09-14 12:44:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x707a55…
09-11 22:35:34	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	Yes	BUY	443	2¢	$8	0xb89c64…
09-11 02:31:48	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4,140	2¢	$79	0x7b99a3…
09-10 22:50:33	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x4fba32…
09-10 22:03:27	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3198d5…
09-10 16:21:33	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdf1079…
09-08 15:46:40	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	Yes	BUY	131	2¢	$2	0x6db5b4…
09-03 09:10:00	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4,410	2¢	$100	0x83cb73…