Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$397

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

933

Trades

1,811

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

7 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 10-13 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 55% -$134

Other

35% 55% -$182

Politics

7% 59% -$36

Tech

3% 71% -$5

Pop-Culture

1% 33% -$8

Sports

0% 0% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+20	$15	97¢	$19	+$5	07-25 14:05
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by june 30 2027	Yes	+20	$6	52¢	$10	+$4	08-19 13:35
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	No	+20	$10	48¢	$10	$0	09-06 23:31
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+8	$3	64¢	$5	+$2	10-02 15:22
will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026	Yes	+20	$15	24¢	$5	-$11	09-08 20:25
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by december 31 2027	No	+8	$3	36¢	$3	$0	08-19 16:49
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	+20	$5	3¢	$1	-$4	07-25 15:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11am et	2	$253	257	257	+0	Down	-$16	07-29 15:37
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	12	$141	210	114	+96	No	+$2	08-04 18:02
bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	6	$97	60	60	+0	Yes	-$3	07-24 13:31
Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	9	$86	81	41	+40	No	+$2	08-21 06:33
will spider man brand new day score at least 91 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175932158	10	$78	126	35	+90	No	+$2	07-31 13:48
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$74	160	0	+160	No	+$6	09-01 08:42
ethereum above 1900 on july 28 2026	4	$72	52	52	+0	Yes	-$7	07-28 12:48
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	9	$71	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	08-09 09:53
bitcoin above 64k on july 28 2026	6	$69	50	50	+0	No	-$8	07-28 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 31?	10	$59	60	60	+0	No	-$3	07-30 02:15
bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 7am et	3	$58	65	27	+38	Down	+$10	07-26 11:48
bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 6am et	3	$57	66	35	+31	Down	+$4	07-26 10:54
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	7	$56	111	9	+102	No	-$5	08-14 19:55
bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 7am et	2	$54	68	68	+0	Down	+$6	07-25 11:56
bitcoin above 64k on july 27 2026	2	$50	31	31	+0	Yes	+$4	07-27 14:38
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	5	$49	42	42	+0	Yes	+$3	10-05 00:54
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	4	$47	60	20	+40	No	-$3	10-02 15:22
ethereum up or down july 26 2026 7pm et	2	$47	41	41	+0	Up	+$2	07-26 23:38
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	4	$46	40	40	+0	Yes	+$6	09-14 17:54
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?	3	$46	96	0	+96	No	-$2	09-04 16:28
dogecoin up or down august 9 2026 2am et	3	$45	26	26	+0	Up	+$7	08-09 06:57
Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?	3	$45	61	21	+40	No	-$2	10-02 15:24
iran full airspace closure by august 15	8	$45	58	36	+22	No	+$0	08-02 00:59
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	5	$44	70	20	+50	No	-$1	07-31 06:13
Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	4	$43	59	19	+40	No	+$4	09-13 00:15
ethereum above 2000 on july 27 2026	2	$42	24	24	+0	No	-$4	07-26 23:09
will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	9	$42	79	52	+28	No	-$2	07-31 11:11
bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 7am et	4	$42	68	0	+68	Down	-$42	08-09 11:30
will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	4	$40	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	08-17 00:22
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	6	$40	40	40	+0	No	+$1	08-09 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 20:01:36	Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x0eb137…
10-13 19:43:01	Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xaac381…
10-13 19:40:49	Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x307acd…
10-12 06:30:30	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x97ee06…
10-12 06:30:05	Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xa3ea2c…
10-11 12:14:37	Will the cure (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0xca9ec9…
10-10 07:47:06	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?	Yes	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0xcb8f21…
10-05 16:27:37	Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0xfdce25…
10-05 15:53:17	Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x614042…
10-05 06:16:17	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xed8255…
10-05 00:54:53	Will Marcel Van Hattem win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xa3b224…
10-05 00:54:53	Will Marcel Van Hattem win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x8a67c3…
10-05 00:48:11	Will Marcel Van Hattem win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0xd1dc0c…
10-05 00:00:13	Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	Yes	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x990543…
10-05 00:00:13	Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	Yes	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x0f9ebb…
10-05 00:00:11	Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	Yes	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0xeba6b0…
10-04 22:05:08	Will Marcel Van Hattem win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$9	0xef9016…
10-04 16:09:29	Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	47	11¢	$5	0xea9b9e…
10-04 16:08:56	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	64¢	$16	0x79d384…
10-03 13:25:09	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xe73315…
10-02 15:24:00	Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0xb73d1f…
10-02 15:23:32	Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x5a631f…
10-02 15:22:51	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0x8cf8e6…
10-02 15:22:26	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xb9e57f…
09-24 04:09:50	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0x798ede…
09-21 22:23:10	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xecf120…
09-18 11:07:34	Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x5ba24e…
09-18 11:07:34	Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x519138…
09-18 11:07:34	Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x299bca…
09-18 08:16:33	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x9f2221…
09-18 02:21:31	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x886839…
09-18 01:46:06	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xb3868a…
09-18 01:36:33	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xafe6c8…
09-17 02:58:10	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x7a28f2…
09-14 17:54:43	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x1d5779…
09-14 14:55:33	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xb1af8d…
09-14 09:47:09	Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Yes	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0xf064dc…
09-14 03:09:28	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0xec4c23…
09-14 02:38:30	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x953179…
09-13 22:51:18	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x17350f…
09-13 22:42:03	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x09cb47…
09-13 00:15:28	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x5c6ce8…
09-12 22:52:30	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x17904f…
09-12 19:39:16	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x7534f7…
09-12 18:09:49	Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x33f8dd…
09-12 15:21:12	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x84a438…
09-12 08:40:15	Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x3cf15d…
09-11 21:38:54	Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0xb3acb4…
09-11 14:40:04	Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x8755b8…
09-11 14:40:04	Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x5d5107…
09-11 12:40:10	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x884511…
09-10 09:37:13	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$17	0xd8ad6a…
09-10 07:39:21	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xed51ec…
09-10 06:49:22	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x1aa9ee…
09-09 20:35:18	Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xb49b81…
09-09 20:26:04	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xfe7f02…
09-09 18:09:22	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa4a6ad…
09-09 17:19:06	laptop fdv above 350m one day after launch	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x08d469…
09-09 17:19:04	laptop fdv above 350m one day after launch	No	BUY	11	22¢	$3	0xb8e6e6…
09-09 16:39:09	laptop fdv above 350m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xbbe883…
09-09 15:02:43	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x857ef4…
09-09 13:20:28	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x83e23c…
09-09 13:12:49	Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1fd6a8…
09-09 12:53:30	Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcf53e5…
09-09 11:21:07	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x645198…
09-08 20:25:39	will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x5d9851…
09-08 13:25:21	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xf3cc4a…
09-08 13:20:31	Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x5db96e…
09-07 22:16:21	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x62d1a0…
09-07 19:10:34	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x3d70af…
09-07 09:47:45	Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x115677…
09-07 07:44:39	Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	41	65¢	$27	0xa4873d…
09-07 06:25:51	Extended listed on Revolut within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0x3012bc…
09-07 05:16:31	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x159918…
09-07 02:41:25	Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x510667…
09-07 02:41:25	Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x0e1215…
09-06 23:31:00	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$8	0x11c3c0…
09-06 03:50:46	Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x4dba49…
09-06 03:50:46	Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x4dba49…
09-05 04:58:58	Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x4b9b39…
09-05 04:56:07	Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	35	47¢	$16	0x75cc7f…
09-04 16:28:39	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xf31875…
09-04 15:25:22	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	44	74¢	$32	0xc1936e…
09-04 11:22:00	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0x4c7d01…
09-04 08:55:25	Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x100d9b…
09-03 08:14:04	Over $2M committed to the Linera public sale?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x68a820…
09-02 01:08:52	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0xec806d…
09-02 00:44:30	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x208c64…
09-02 00:30:15	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x3a19b6…
09-01 23:52:00	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xf62a67…
09-01 22:27:52	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x9f79c6…
09-01 22:22:40	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf1d715…
09-01 22:22:40	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x7be13e…
09-01 21:37:27	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x26bd31…
09-01 14:21:06	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	27	43¢	$12	0x18b4b2…
09-01 14:00:04	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in July?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x7eb3c2…
09-01 09:29:58	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x09dd33…
09-01 09:03:06	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x99c22f…
09-01 09:02:19	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x3a6e24…
09-01 08:42:46	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	60	29¢	$18	0xef1b99…