Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$624.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$61.7K

Hit rate

0.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,288

lifetime

Volume

$733.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$569

Open exposure

$27.0K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-25 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

88% 14% -$622,757

Other

12% 0% -$1,631

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	+28,799	$18,646	78¢	$22.3K	+$3,673	10-08 18:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+3,000	$1,500	93¢	$2.8K	+$1,290	09-18 08:49
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+125,463	$68,152	1¢	$1.4K	-$66,709	10-23 14:17
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+425	$406	98¢	$418	+$12	09-25 05:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	452	$327.3K	564,534	3,132	+561,403	Yes	-$324,423	10-25 14:06
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	463	$308.3K	510,888	11,888	+498,999	No	-$297,142	10-25 14:06
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	240	$68.2K	125,463	0	+125,463	open	—	10-23 14:17
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	108	$19.5K	29,823	1,025	+28,799	open	—	10-08 18:26
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$3.3K	2,245	2,245	+0	Yes	+$1,118	02-28 07:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	09-18 08:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.0K	15,892	0	+15,892	No	-$1,031	02-28 07:44
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$1000	7,692	0	+7,692	No	-$1,000	01-17 13:38
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1	$1000	3,704	0	+3,704	No	-$1,000	01-18 13:45
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	6	$774	2,119	1,770	+349	open	—	10-25 08:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$500	4,020	0	+4,020	No	-$500	02-28 07:43
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	8	$473	937	512	+425	open	—	10-25 08:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$250	1,191	0	+1,191	No	-$250	03-09 04:18
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$100	12,500	0	+12,500	No	-$100	01-02 10:24
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$60	463	0	+463	No	-$60	01-18 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:06:53	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,889	45¢	$850	0x231caa…
10-25 14:06:26	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4,418	48¢	$2,111	0xa364a2…
10-25 14:06:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	982	44¢	$432	0x08dcc4…
10-25 14:05:39	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3,687	46¢	$1,700	0xd1cc8e…
10-25 14:04:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,614	46¢	$745	0x37cf7f…
10-25 14:04:33	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3,554	46¢	$1,632	0xa41007…
10-25 14:04:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4,273	44¢	$1,895	0x01faa1…
10-25 13:04:03	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	751	50¢	$376	0xdeeb6e…
10-25 13:03:48	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,020	51¢	$1,030	0xf0048f…
10-25 13:03:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,466	50¢	$1,233	0x595ce5…
10-25 13:03:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,979	49¢	$970	0x0da6de…
10-25 13:03:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	530	49¢	$260	0xdad20d…
10-25 13:00:29	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4,079	49¢	$2,000	0xd4d014…
10-25 13:00:11	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	311	49¢	$154	0x71d00e…
10-25 12:59:59	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	173	49¢	$85	0x5acfd8…
10-25 12:59:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,340	49¢	$1,147	0x5354bd…
10-25 12:46:12	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	419	50¢	$211	0xed727b…
10-25 12:45:59	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,579	51¢	$800	0xa920b1…
10-25 12:45:38	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	141	51¢	$72	0xc59c20…
10-25 12:45:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,124	50¢	$560	0x593369…
10-25 12:44:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	802	48¢	$385	0x85def6…
10-25 12:43:29	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,808	47¢	$850	0xf64140…
10-25 12:43:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4,478	46¢	$2,070	0xb5449b…
10-25 12:32:33	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,865	44¢	$820	0x92987f…
10-25 12:31:56	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4,327	45¢	$1,945	0xaf0759…
10-25 12:31:44	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,353	41¢	$956	0x123308…
10-25 12:31:20	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3,916	44¢	$1,724	0x7cfa91…
10-25 12:31:05	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,306	43¢	$984	0x8bb92b…
10-25 12:30:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3,736	41¢	$1,528	0x7ed7ce…
10-25 12:30:42	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3,192	39¢	$1,245	0x68af14…
10-25 12:14:54	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,040	48¢	$985	0x554f44…
10-25 12:14:35	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,153	46¢	$1,000	0xdc11de…
10-25 12:14:21	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3,276	45¢	$1,474	0x7f005c…
10-25 12:14:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,774	45¢	$1,248	0xe070bb…
10-25 12:02:00	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,267	50¢	$633	0xe6db32…
10-25 12:01:44	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,492	50¢	$1,247	0xd48cfb…
10-25 12:01:32	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,497	50¢	$1,250	0x16247e…
10-25 12:01:23	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9,008	50¢	$4,500	0x5ff50d…
10-25 12:00:30	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5,020	51¢	$2,572	0x8d66fe…
10-25 11:59:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	652	49¢	$320	0x5c7009…
10-25 11:58:56	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4,282	49¢	$2,100	0x34d6a8…
10-25 11:58:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10,674	49¢	$5,241	0xdb4dd4…
10-25 11:58:06	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,527	49¢	$1,245	0xa3355d…
10-25 11:57:48	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6,366	49¢	$3,125	0xbc3a25…
10-25 11:57:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4,801	51¢	$2,458	0x11430e…
10-25 11:50:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,372	51¢	$1,210	0xfc7f94…
10-25 11:46:54	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	341	51¢	$174	0x77e882…
10-25 11:46:39	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	357	51¢	$182	0x3954dd…
10-25 11:45:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x85b389…
10-25 11:45:23	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,480	52¢	$1,287	0xc62673…
10-25 11:45:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	817	52¢	$425	0x0f61db…
10-25 11:39:44	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	8,105	52¢	$4,218	0x871752…
10-25 11:39:29	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	235	52¢	$122	0xf2d484…
10-25 11:39:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	631	52¢	$328	0x563b88…
10-25 11:38:57	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,418	51¢	$724	0xcb2464…
10-25 11:38:44	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0xf7ddb4…
10-25 11:38:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3,215	51¢	$1,647	0x750d2c…
10-25 11:38:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3,604	50¢	$1,800	0x68bf8e…
10-25 11:24:44	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	169	52¢	$88	0x84ca7d…
10-25 11:24:23	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc3d62c…
10-25 11:24:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	234	51¢	$120	0x42c681…
10-25 11:20:48	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,333	53¢	$1,241	0x7f43d1…
10-25 11:20:23	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	805	52¢	$421	0xe6dfa1…
10-25 11:20:03	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	333	53¢	$175	0x4ee987…
10-25 11:19:51	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,308	52¢	$680	0x8c1e9f…
10-25 11:18:54	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xfe0cbb…
10-25 11:18:42	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	620	52¢	$322	0xea3655…
10-25 11:14:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,732	54¢	$935	0xd17142…
10-25 11:11:51	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,141	53¢	$605	0x968ec6…
10-25 11:11:36	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	701	52¢	$366	0x24dc92…
10-25 11:11:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,209	51¢	$620	0x0ae3b9…
10-25 11:10:33	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	9,544	51¢	$4,866	0xce6317…
10-25 11:10:20	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,482	50¢	$1,245	0xb8d2d6…
10-25 11:10:02	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,750	49¢	$1,345	0x62181e…
10-25 11:06:24	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	630	51¢	$320	0x1ebfc3…
10-25 11:06:11	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	428	51¢	$220	0x43e735…
10-25 11:05:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	280	50¢	$140	0xbfe141…
10-25 11:04:57	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x6520e4…
10-25 11:04:47	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,471	51¢	$750	0x10aee0…
10-25 11:04:20	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,604	51¢	$1,327	0xf62ed0…
10-25 11:04:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,163	49¢	$570	0x4c614a…
10-25 11:03:48	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,185	50¢	$1,100	0x124a89…
10-25 11:03:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6,513	49¢	$3,210	0x561b56…
10-25 11:03:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,162	49¢	$570	0xb2410e…
10-25 11:03:02	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	564	49¢	$276	0x5c3129…
10-25 11:02:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	867	49¢	$421	0x88c1fe…
10-25 11:02:29	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	759	49¢	$372	0xa3c5df…
10-25 11:02:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,132	49¢	$555	0xabebb1…
10-25 11:02:08	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	738	48¢	$355	0x705363…
10-25 11:01:57	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	751	48¢	$360	0xc42ed6…
10-25 11:01:48	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	682	47¢	$321	0x1abc6c…
10-25 10:58:41	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	551	49¢	$270	0x1aaba9…
10-25 10:58:15	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	778	49¢	$381	0x4ea9fe…
10-25 10:57:54	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,549	49¢	$754	0xfab976…
10-25 10:57:36	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,770	52¢	$1,427	0x7e439f…
10-25 10:57:24	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3,022	50¢	$1,524	0x1d4685…
10-25 10:57:09	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,114	50¢	$1,050	0x9ac569…
10-25 10:56:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	921	47¢	$432	0x41cc50…
10-25 10:53:50	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	415	53¢	$220	0xb754c3…
10-25 10:53:35	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xefceee…