Hopeful-Maelstrom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

107

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$762

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-19 18:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Sports

49% 43% +$33

Other

46% 22% -$37

Politics

3% 25% +$14

Crypto

2% 33% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	-$40	05-11 01:42
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	1	$33	38	0	+38	Nuggets	+$4	04-28 03:09
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	2	$32	31	30	+1	Celtics	+$23	04-13 00:30
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners first half total 5pt5	2	$31	26	26	+0	Over	+$21	07-01 02:51
Knicks vs. Hawks	2	$29	26	26	+0	Knicks	-$1	04-29 15:05
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	2	$29	28	27	+1	No	+$19	04-15 20:54
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	4	$26	83	83	+0	Yes	+$6	07-03 00:31
nba den sas 2026 04 12	2	$19	15	14	+0	Nuggets	+$10	04-13 03:07
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	2	$19	43	43	+0	No	+$17	07-09 16:44
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$19	14	14	+0	Timberwolves	+$9	05-11 02:31
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$19	16	16	+0	Timberwolves	+$9	05-01 04:08
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$18	14	14	+0	Cavaliers	+$9	05-18 03:04
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?	2	$18	62	62	+0	No	+$8	07-03 19:29
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$17	24	24	+0	76ers	+$7	04-29 01:11
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$17	13	13	+0	Cavaliers	+$7	05-14 02:57
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	2	$16	21	21	+0	Cavaliers	+$6	04-30 01:32
Will Los Angeles FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	2	$16	16	16	+0	No	+$6	04-30 04:18
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?	2	$13	72	72	+0	No	+$3	07-03 23:37
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$13	8	8	+0	Magic	+$3	04-25 19:47
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$13	162	143	+20	No	+$1	06-29 22:21
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$13	8	8	+0	Lakers	+$3	04-25 03:07
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$12	22	22	+0	Thunder	+$2	05-08 03:12
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-16?	2	$11	9	9	+0	Yes	+$5	05-17 03:08
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 draw	2	$11	24	23	+1	No	+$1	04-14 20:51
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?	2	$10	9	9	+0	Yes	+$8	06-29 19:00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?	2	$9	45	45	+0	No	-$1	07-02 20:36
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$8	13	13	+0	76ers	-$2	05-03 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:05 UTC	2	$8	45	45	+0	Down	-$2	07-15 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	04-25 21:30
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	4	$6	23	22	+1	No	-$4	04-25 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 18:06:10	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x90764e…
07-19 18:05:58	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x1aa02b…
07-18 02:03:37	Exact Score: FC Juárez 2 - 1 Club Puebla?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x57b276…
07-15 21:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xc8700b…
07-15 21:08:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x6dc741…
07-15 20:47:35	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x4cc895…
07-15 20:35:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots anthony gordon gte3	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd7f2c9…
07-15 18:40:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots anthony gordon gte3	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x39548d…
07-15 18:34:58	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc9bbef…
07-15 18:34:55	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1ed5e6…
07-14 18:06:14	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 shots desire doue gte3	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x402491…
07-14 18:04:10	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2996bf…
07-14 18:04:01	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4d9c01…
07-12 01:12:08	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6c7e44…
07-11 22:45:11	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x7fe4c6…
07-11 16:29:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 shots declan rice gte3	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xb6ef32…
07-11 16:25:11	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x3bc794…
07-10 20:47:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 shots kevin de bruyne gte5	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x63ff50…
07-10 20:25:35	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0xbaeb03…
07-10 18:50:16	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xb02cb1…
07-10 18:49:17	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 shots kevin de bruyne gte5	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc605f5…
07-09 17:14:04	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xc36d67…
07-09 16:48:22	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xf27b75…
07-09 16:47:32	will trump speak to friedrich merz in july 20260626154217436	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfa8eb9…
07-09 16:45:44	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x2955e1…
07-09 16:44:25	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	43	41¢	$18	0xba424a…
07-07 21:13:50	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4c9812…
07-07 21:13:32	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x0f8246…
07-07 18:10:25	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa10956…
07-07 17:34:08	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd481c3…
07-07 17:33:46	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x65adfb…
07-07 14:37:53	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x55c32f…
07-06 19:09:53	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x69ccdc…
07-05 23:16:44	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xed7c04…
07-05 17:11:25	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xac4dfd…
07-04 22:36:38	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x7195de…
07-04 22:00:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xdd453f…
07-04 21:41:41	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x5bbb2d…
07-04 00:09:08	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9b9fc8…
07-04 00:06:16	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xe91e14…
07-04 00:05:55	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x293e0d…
07-04 00:04:41	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe55698…
07-03 23:37:32	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	SELL	72	11¢	$8	0xd565fc…
07-03 19:29:56	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	62	20¢	$12	0x430a4f…
07-03 18:22:50	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x36883c…
07-03 04:58:49	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xf7b764…
07-03 04:55:07	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x311c50…
07-03 04:47:31	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x638722…
07-03 01:05:41	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xd3fd99…
07-03 01:05:19	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x54b76d…
07-03 00:34:50	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xdff2ba…
07-03 00:31:07	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	42	28¢	$12	0x1c3e98…
07-02 20:41:19	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x769cca…
07-02 20:40:43	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0x46595f…
07-02 20:40:28	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x6fb5f1…
07-02 20:36:35	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?	Yes	SELL	45	8¢	$4	0x5aba9b…
07-02 16:22:32	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8debcb…
07-01 23:34:50	Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x9f6a52…
07-01 02:51:44	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners first half total 5pt5	Over	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xbeb9c4…
06-30 22:18:08	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners first half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xeb89c6…
06-29 22:22:37	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa120ea…
06-29 22:21:35	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xed8b30…
06-29 22:20:44	Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x8c4fab…
06-29 19:02:29	Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2a9f7d…
06-29 19:00:47	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xf35aff…
06-29 15:07:44	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe2fad9…
06-28 19:27:22	Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd6dbc2…
06-27 23:21:26	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x23ea0b…
06-27 23:20:04	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	143	5¢	$7	0x9e39d3…
06-18 22:39:38	Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8c211c…
06-18 22:36:50	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xcda40a…
06-16 19:56:37	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xba3a22…
06-16 19:54:58	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc27fac…
06-16 19:54:01	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	57	6¢	$4	0x721d6a…
05-30 16:14:42	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeabadc…
05-24 01:26:24	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa646b7…
05-20 23:00:33	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x27f873…
05-20 21:49:04	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-21?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x132ada…
05-19 23:57:28	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf57d55…
05-18 21:38:12	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0xd28ef2…
05-18 03:04:53	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x6795fa…
05-18 02:33:30	Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcfeff3…
05-17 03:08:34	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xd49cbd…
05-17 02:18:07	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x2841b8…
05-16 20:31:58	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0b108d…
05-16 03:10:22	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x87b008…
05-15 23:06:55	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x10bb85…
05-15 19:48:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9c6617…
05-15 01:41:39	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc12a8e…
05-14 02:57:11	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x9c2b96…
05-14 00:03:19	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8feb81…
05-11 02:31:56	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x91043d…
05-11 01:42:45	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xbf608b…
05-10 22:20:53	Will CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x3e75d8…
05-10 19:33:56	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdd02f0…
05-10 18:59:10	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x671e01…
05-10 16:25:38	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb757e6…
05-09 01:09:09	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdbd37f…
05-08 03:12:29	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0xe8901d…
05-08 02:48:08	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x65c1fa…