Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$170

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-03 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

78% 100% +$15

Other

22% 0% $-107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	5	$2.9K	1,605	1,605	+0	open	—	05-23 12:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	7	$1.7K	985	985	+0	open	—	05-15 07:21
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	4	$1.2K	1,346	0	+1,346	open	—	06-03 00:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$992	1,127	0	+1,127	open	—	02-28 03:58
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$890	560	560	+0	open	—	03-23 14:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$884	582	436	+145	open	—	03-22 04:17
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$875	1,235	0	+1,235	open	—	03-23 14:25
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$794	418	418	+0	open	—	03-13 16:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$678	346	346	+0	No	+$14	05-05 22:17
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$558	711	0	+711	open	—	06-01 20:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$487	513	0	+513	open	—	05-15 07:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$474	1,130	0	+1,130	open	—	06-01 20:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$346	226	226	+0	open	—	05-06 08:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$330	0	367	-367	open	—	06-02 16:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$304	209	209	+0	open	—	05-06 10:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$274	1	273	-272	open	—	06-01 08:01
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$233	124	124	+0	open	—	05-25 22:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$229	184	184	+0	open	—	05-03 13:15
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$223	161	161	+0	open	—	03-19 05:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$219	2,061	2,061	+0	open	—	05-28 00:58
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$210	170	170	+0	open	—	04-17 12:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$204	107	107	+0	open	—	05-28 15:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$185	113	113	+0	open	—	03-31 17:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$176	99	99	+0	open	—	05-25 06:47
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$170	261	0	+261	open	—	04-09 11:46
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$155	192	0	+192	open	—	04-24 02:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$145	102	102	+0	open	—	04-25 19:10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$143	110	110	+0	open	—	03-31 17:22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$122	101	101	+0	open	—	04-09 11:34
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$112	128	0	+128	open	—	05-01 07:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 00:00:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	382	85¢	$327	0x925425…
06-02 16:43:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	367	90¢	$330	0x68f471…
06-01 20:14:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	339	41¢	$138	0x0e4410…
06-01 20:14:17	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	540	78¢	$423	0x664e31…
06-01 14:33:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xdb9ec7…
06-01 14:29:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xccd7c0…
06-01 14:29:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x5995f4…
06-01 08:09:59	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	171	79¢	$134	0x5c0277…
06-01 08:05:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	278	49¢	$136	0xc97ff9…
06-01 08:01:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	273	100¢	$273	0x230155…
06-01 07:59:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	826	88¢	$726	0xb134c2…
05-28 15:27:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	131	81¢	$106	0x1bae22…
05-28 15:27:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xe2dcc9…
05-28 00:58:25	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x4d8025…
05-28 00:58:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	889	1¢	$5	0x8fd170…
05-25 22:06:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	889	3¢	$29	0x81495a…
05-25 22:04:55	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	124	97¢	$120	0x2ce05a…
05-25 06:49:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	107	90¢	$97	0xb8c89a…
05-25 06:47:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	99	98¢	$98	0x455fe9…
05-25 06:41:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	698	2¢	$17	0x0e4cab…
05-24 14:29:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	698	6¢	$40	0x8c39aa…
05-24 14:17:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	426	7¢	$29	0xc9ca7a…
05-23 12:33:47	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	779	94¢	$732	0xec4403…
05-22 22:53:07	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	779	94¢	$735	0x12ba0f…
05-21 19:55:13	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	826	90¢	$742	0xec40bd…
05-15 07:24:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	513	95¢	$487	0xe05c52…
05-15 07:22:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	426	7¢	$30	0x521601…
05-15 07:21:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	493	91¢	$448	0xd2557d…
05-14 02:48:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	99	79¢	$79	0x8e2a20…
05-12 06:43:48	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	291	0¢	$1	0x998ecc…
05-11 07:05:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x15bc7c…
05-11 06:58:32	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	291	37¢	$108	0xd3e028…
05-11 06:56:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	493	89¢	$436	0x9c3098…
05-09 01:13:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	162	79¢	$128	0xa2fd47…
05-09 01:11:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x533957…
05-06 10:11:50	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	372	80¢	$299	0xfdbfa4…
05-06 10:10:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	209	64¢	$134	0xbc8868…
05-06 08:57:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	226	74¢	$167	0xf35400…
05-05 22:17:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	394	87¢	$343	0x7f423a…
05-05 22:17:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	346	100¢	$346	0x02128b…
05-03 13:15:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	134	86¢	$115	0x59bef0…
05-03 13:15:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	184	63¢	$116	0xd027e1…
05-02 13:18:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$8	0xe77b1c…
05-01 23:28:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x56c62b…
05-01 23:26:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	172	84¢	$145	0xb09aa9…
05-01 07:47:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	346	96¢	$332	0xf8c42d…
05-01 07:45:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	226	79¢	$179	0x1a08b3…
05-01 07:39:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	209	82¢	$170	0x525bd9…
05-01 07:36:48	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	128	88¢	$112	0x9f0b49…
05-01 07:35:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	184	61¢	$112	0xa648d0…
05-01 07:30:16	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	91¢	$112	0xe0dabb…
05-01 07:29:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	124	91¢	$112	0xd0ee86…
05-01 07:28:46	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	454	83¢	$377	0x7db005…
04-25 19:11:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	83¢	$74	0xfe9e00…
04-25 19:10:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	73¢	$75	0xde4197…
04-24 02:01:16	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0xef6203…
04-20 07:15:08	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	161	79¢	$127	0x83b89b…
04-17 16:00:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	47	78¢	$37	0x8770c3…
04-17 13:00:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	34	50¢	$17	0x0aef82…
04-17 12:59:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	170	44¢	$74	0xafa9a5…
04-15 12:15:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0xad8a98…
04-09 11:46:17	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x75d6e6…
04-09 11:45:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	170	80¢	$136	0x7f272b…
04-09 11:44:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0xd8c312…
04-09 11:42:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	69¢	$70	0xd0e96f…
04-09 11:39:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0xd05ed9…
04-09 11:34:15	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	101	72¢	$73	0xa97218…
04-02 05:24:47	Military action against Iran ends by April 4, 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x72f6fc…
04-02 05:18:07	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0xeea7a5…
03-31 23:55:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0x4cce6f…
03-31 23:25:43	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	SELL	71	53¢	$37	0xa1a896…
03-31 17:31:45	Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0x1ac13a…
03-31 17:29:25	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	76	53¢	$40	0xb0a707…
03-31 17:23:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	101	48¢	$49	0x3136f8…
03-31 17:22:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	110	63¢	$70	0x8b7f81…
03-31 17:22:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	113	78¢	$88	0xfefe2e…
03-31 17:22:05	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	SELL	73	71¢	$52	0x4783dd…
03-31 14:00:05	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	314	1¢	$3	0x762cc9…
03-30 10:17:26	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	203	61¢	$123	0x774fd5…
03-29 00:55:16	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	BUY	71	58¢	$41	0x2f5cce…
03-29 00:55:06	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	73	75¢	$55	0x22db83…
03-29 00:53:46	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	110	66¢	$73	0xa2c1b0…
03-29 00:53:20	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	113	86¢	$97	0x4c0f93…
03-23 14:25:07	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	685	72¢	$493	0x2a841e…
03-23 14:23:21	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	560	88¢	$492	0x9a9fdb…
03-23 09:38:21	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9a0f67…
03-23 03:58:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8e38b8…
03-22 14:38:17	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	314	16¢	$50	0x99a3ee…
03-22 14:37:39	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0xce7d3e…
03-22 04:19:01	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	550	69¢	$382	0xdfa3ca…
03-22 04:17:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	436	88¢	$384	0x6564c9…
03-19 05:36:07	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	BUY	76	81¢	$61	0x5e0b15…
03-19 05:30:57	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	72	85¢	$61	0xf20d42…
03-19 05:27:45	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	161	76¢	$123	0x8db724…
03-13 16:50:45	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	560	71¢	$397	0x4f6caf…
03-13 16:49:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	418	96¢	$399	0xdcd121…
03-10 07:40:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	416	95¢	$394	0x556355…
03-10 05:42:45	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x4932f9…
03-10 05:35:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	582	86¢	$500	0xdc461d…
03-01 19:53:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5d4f53…