Specific-Settlement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.9%

Resolved

Trades

53,484

lifetime

Volume

$752.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 06-09 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 33% $-61

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 2923 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-29 04:33
btc updown 5m 1773208500	106	$4.4K	2,805	2,783	+23	open	—	03-11 05:59
btc updown 15m 1773199800	236	$4.0K	6,609	1,817	+4,792	open	—	03-11 03:45
btc updown 5m 1774080600	112	$3.9K	3,746	2,585	+1,161	open	—	03-21 08:15
btc updown 5m 1771541700	145	$3.2K	4,757	0	+4,757	open	—	02-19 23:00
btc updown 5m 1773282600	85	$3.1K	3,312	2,860	+452	open	—	03-12 02:35
btc updown 5m 1773479700	62	$2.8K	300	3,000	-2,700	open	—	03-14 09:20
btc updown 5m 1773373500	65	$2.7K	4,411	1,819	+2,592	open	—	03-13 03:50
btc updown 5m 1771381500	102	$2.5K	3,101	583	+2,518	open	—	02-18 02:30
btc updown 5m 1771272000	90	$2.5K	2,809	0	+2,809	open	—	02-16 20:04
btc updown 5m 1772758200	81	$2.3K	2,088	1,422	+666	open	—	03-06 00:54
btc updown 5m 1771017600	92	$2.3K	2,954	0	+2,954	open	—	02-13 21:25
btc updown 5m 1771277400	188	$2.3K	5,374	0	+5,374	open	—	02-16 21:35
bitcoin above 72k on february 9	4	$2.2K	3,900	3,900	+0	open	—	02-08 18:20
btc updown 5m 1771080000	132	$2.2K	3,196	530	+2,666	open	—	02-14 14:44
btc updown 5m 1771029900	110	$2.1K	3,136	335	+2,801	open	—	02-14 00:49
btc updown 5m 1771173900	78	$2.1K	2,344	0	+2,344	open	—	02-15 16:50
btc updown 5m 1773367800	127	$2.0K	2,675	1,336	+1,339	open	—	03-13 02:15
btc updown 5m 1771620600	42	$2.0K	2,852	0	+2,852	open	—	02-20 20:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	2,036	0	+2,036	open	—	05-29 05:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.9K	58,406	1,008	+57,398	open	—	06-03 23:20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-30 05:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-03 04:26
btc updown 5m 1770960900	41	$1.8K	1,064	988	+76	open	—	02-13 05:41
btc updown 5m 1773446100	1	$1.8K	0	2,000	-2,000	open	—	03-14 00:00
btc updown 5m 1773474300	23	$1.8K	900	1,500	-600	open	—	03-14 07:50
btc updown 15m 1770803100	78	$1.8K	4,355	0	+4,355	open	—	02-11 10:00
btc updown 5m 1771165500	87	$1.8K	2,525	0	+2,525	open	—	02-15 14:29
btc updown 5m 1773118500	53	$1.7K	1,189	1,177	+12	open	—	03-10 04:56
btc updown 5m 1773447900	53	$1.7K	2,258	1,125	+1,133	open	—	03-14 00:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 05:44:36	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xff0b56…
06-09 05:43:34	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	280	13¢	$38	0xe1f3b9…
06-09 05:43:09	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	320	11¢	$35	0x4667d2…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xf7c2c0…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xeac812…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xe8c5ca…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0xca6866…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xc39df1…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xc10d62…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb4d6b1…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xb486d9…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xb22c08…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9bf7aa…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0x912952…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x826dd4…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x7f3aef…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x7e4c26…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x7322a6…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x5ff487…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x46ef34…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x3587ef…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	220	39¢	$86	0x2933d2…
06-09 05:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1cdac1…
06-09 05:42:31	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf279b8…
06-09 05:42:31	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xd05c78…
06-09 05:42:31	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa1352f…
06-09 05:42:31	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x6171b6…
06-09 05:42:31	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x07ba5f…
06-09 05:41:39	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x735a95…
06-09 05:41:37	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	149	33¢	$49	0xd39dc8…
06-09 05:41:37	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	123	33¢	$41	0xd0bb95…
06-09 05:41:37	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xcb097c…
06-09 05:41:37	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xc90aa8…
06-09 05:41:37	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc53963…
06-09 05:41:37	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xab77d9…
06-09 05:41:37	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x950b6e…
06-09 05:41:37	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x10d3a3…
06-09 05:41:36	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x4876e2…
06-09 05:41:30	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	240	40¢	$96	0xe28bd5…
06-09 05:41:16	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Up	BUY	240	40¢	$96	0xa2f14e…
06-09 05:24:52	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	240	39¢	$94	0x7cec8f…
06-09 05:24:40	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	53	31¢	$17	0x75ad5c…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf4c9e7…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	159	31¢	$49	0xf12eb5…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	108	31¢	$33	0xd95200…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xd5b359…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd07bca…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xcb5422…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xc27a77…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb9535b…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xb54892…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xaaa224…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa74bbb…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xa6e670…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa2d171…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x9b21e9…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x88d6da…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x71dfb5…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x58fee8…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	42	31¢	$13	0x57be8f…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x54051b…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0x4ab7c6…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x2feb85…
06-09 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x0d82c5…
06-09 05:24:31	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe3f226…
06-09 05:24:31	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc082e2…
06-09 05:24:31	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xad57b0…
06-09 05:24:30	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xd76453…
06-09 05:24:30	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb2308a…
06-09 05:24:30	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7381e2…
06-09 05:24:30	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	71	40¢	$29	0x6d459d…
06-09 05:24:30	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5ff194…
06-09 05:24:30	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x563569…
06-09 05:24:30	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	99	40¢	$40	0x4bd942…
06-09 05:24:30	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3a5875…
06-09 05:24:30	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0x090804…
06-09 05:24:30	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x012792…
06-09 05:24:28	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc9de7a…
06-09 05:24:28	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc26e96…
06-09 05:24:28	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb6e47b…
06-09 05:24:28	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x9513d4…
06-09 05:24:28	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	44	40¢	$18	0x81838d…
06-09 05:24:28	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7132d3…
06-09 05:24:28	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	159	40¢	$64	0x41e405…
06-09 05:24:28	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	43	40¢	$17	0x18e12e…
06-09 05:24:21	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	180	51¢	$92	0x7be78c…
06-09 05:23:25	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xf8e807…
06-09 05:23:25	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x70faf6…
06-09 05:23:25	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x5451a1…
06-09 05:23:25	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x4ec98e…
06-09 05:23:25	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x4960a3…
06-09 05:23:25	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x2c65a8…
06-09 05:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xf4c9a8…
06-09 05:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x9424d1…
06-09 05:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x8fd57a…
06-09 05:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x7fbc97…
06-09 05:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x5df13b…
06-09 05:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0x351652…
06-09 05:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x01a9ac…
06-09 05:22:51	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	160	57¢	$91	0x533d22…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	862	$192.2K	50,164	03-21 08:24
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	857	$164.1K	36,490	03-21 08:24
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	851	$316.9K	130,058	03-21 08:24
(anonymous) 0x297f…5103	834	$295.1K	114,920	03-21 08:24
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	795	$1.41M	138,268	03-21 08:22
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	782	$1.49K	2,123	06-09 05:44
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	764	$3.36K	3,051	06-09 05:44
Grouchy-Evaluation-Net 0x206a…3197	754	$16.1K	7,975	06-09 04:15