Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

125

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$212

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 10-27 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

86% 56% -$4

Politics

10% 58% +$4

Tech

3% 100% +$6

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	2	$4	10	+10	No	-$1	09-23 18:41
arcc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt47	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	07-24 05:59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-10 00:59
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-22 10:36
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-09 16:42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-18 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	07-24 17:59
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-23 10:39
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-08 06:27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-20 16:24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-07 21:02
will meta reach 760 by september 21 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-22 02:36
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-21 01:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-17 10:45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-21 18:28
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 08:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-04 22:22
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-21 10:17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-22 18:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-17 19:00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-11 22:35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-19 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	08-11 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-13 08:58
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-21 01:40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-11 17:52
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-08 22:49
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	9	+9	No	+$7	09-16 02:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-19 00:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-23 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:33:39	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9b3254…
10-21 12:22:50	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaa3e29…
10-21 04:21:20	Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5% to 5%?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x59925b…
10-18 20:21:02	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6f8cc1…
10-18 12:11:09	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc93886…
10-18 04:01:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x960712…
10-17 19:54:02	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7a08b2…
10-17 11:52:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3b0489…
10-17 02:41:09	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9a4093…
10-16 05:54:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcb5659…
10-15 21:53:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0f70ad…
10-15 13:34:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x728158…
10-15 05:09:59	will coin dip to 165 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x11c76a…
10-14 21:09:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd8bdc4…
10-14 12:23:23	will xagusd reach 61 by october 12 2026 from october 12	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc86a42…
10-14 03:57:23	googl close above 360 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x31facb…
10-13 19:56:55	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe0ecc7…
10-13 11:36:22	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x253560…
10-11 02:44:56	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe5a001…
10-09 17:37:10	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd489a8…
10-09 09:32:46	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbf6908…
10-08 22:45:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5073d5…
10-08 02:42:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6151a9…
10-07 18:01:16	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x39d815…
10-07 09:58:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf12d6c…
10-07 01:57:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcc53d3…
10-06 17:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1d7565…
10-06 05:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3d320d…
10-06 05:57:04	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdfbc85…
10-05 21:56:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb1ed16…
10-05 13:56:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2ce110…
10-03 11:00:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x42a6d4…
10-03 01:06:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb157dd…
10-02 15:52:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x95238b…
10-02 07:51:47	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc5fec9…
09-29 11:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x178c19…
09-29 03:11:35	Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa35e1b…
09-28 19:11:21	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xff4a78…
09-28 10:48:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x74aafe…
09-27 14:37:51	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x711d0c…
09-27 06:13:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4a66f3…
09-27 06:03:39	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xac5881…
09-26 21:48:51	Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf0316c…
09-26 12:24:56	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x27a91c…
09-26 04:24:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9c6d37…
09-23 18:41:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6d12bd…
09-23 18:39:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd52d47…
09-23 10:39:43	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa17d8d…
09-23 02:38:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf1669b…
09-22 18:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x3f7b64…
09-22 10:36:39	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x244704…
09-22 02:36:15	will meta reach 760 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf0542a…
09-21 18:28:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x52b8d7…
09-21 10:17:33	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfd4aea…
09-21 01:40:58	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x43d0fd…
09-21 01:40:53	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xee1052…
09-20 16:24:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6499f8…
09-20 07:46:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x15ce8a…
09-19 21:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdc63ee…
09-19 08:41:18	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xcf3fa4…
09-19 00:41:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9b5a59…
09-18 15:11:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7c77fb…
09-18 03:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6f0d6e…
09-17 19:00:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x531166…
09-17 10:45:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xbe66c2…
09-16 02:16:12	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9e0664…
09-14 18:06:45	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xaf6b42…
09-13 08:58:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x456785…
09-11 22:35:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9f0e9e…
09-11 17:52:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x83eccd…
09-10 21:02:16	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2011d0…
09-10 00:59:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x24d31a…
09-09 16:42:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x988e27…
09-09 08:40:37	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x19ded2…
09-08 22:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf867f8…
09-08 14:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6c413f…
09-08 06:27:10	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xdb9d5d…
09-07 21:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4cc8b4…
09-07 11:51:22	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x997149…
09-03 15:10:07	spy closes above 770 on september 3 2026	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9b9838…
09-03 01:12:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0b57f5…
09-02 15:36:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x92102f…
09-01 17:08:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x88c982…
08-22 03:29:00	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd577b5…
08-21 19:15:09	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x351b0c…
08-20 18:42:06	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x25bc40…
08-19 08:04:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x848525…
08-19 07:09:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x37a94c…
08-18 22:59:40	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6d6141…
08-17 02:44:25	will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x60aebf…
08-16 18:26:27	Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc756a4…
08-15 05:03:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdca461…
08-14 19:27:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x6c1971…
08-14 11:25:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc896ee…
08-11 14:06:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf95a0b…
08-11 06:03:33	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xafcf0b…
08-10 22:02:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xda6747…
08-10 22:02:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xfc1e6b…
08-08 23:18:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x79dbe8…
08-08 02:31:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0e3a28…