Impossible-Convection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$2.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-18 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% —

Sports

25% 0% —

Politics

22% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	10	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	04-06 21:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	4	$77	41	41	+0	open	—	06-04 04:25
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	4	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	03-03 14:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	8	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	07-06 03:07
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	2	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	01-10 00:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$59	31	31	+0	open	—	02-03 04:06
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	02-02 11:15
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	01-26 06:35
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	01-09 14:42
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	01-08 07:53
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	01-28 05:08
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	01-23 01:43
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	02-02 17:38
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	2	$54	28	28	+0	open	—	01-24 14:08
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	01-30 11:50
will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	5	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	03-05 00:36
bitcoin above 86k on january 22	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	01-22 08:37
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	3	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	01-28 14:31
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	01-07 19:13
will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	01-27 17:18
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	01-20 19:27
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	01-09 09:59
will the us next strike iran on january 28 2026 et 699	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	01-25 18:56
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	01-29 10:24
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	01-20 12:34
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	01-08 15:20
will daniil medvedev win the 2026 australian open	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	01-23 10:21
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 340 359	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	01-25 12:21
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	01-24 05:28
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	3	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	01-26 23:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 18:23:48	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xc3d901…
07-18 18:18:18	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3dbe35…
07-11 17:48:01	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x191c16…
07-11 16:58:43	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x2f1785…
07-06 03:07:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xd79378…
07-06 03:00:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x03efea…
07-03 15:53:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xdefe71…
07-03 15:50:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x40a2a6…
07-03 14:50:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xc918c3…
07-03 14:42:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xafec8c…
07-03 08:12:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x173719…
07-03 08:01:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0021fc…
07-02 22:47:20	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x06d438…
07-02 22:45:16	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x69d038…
06-10 20:02:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xb1b45b…
06-10 19:08:28	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xff1a6a…
06-04 04:25:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0xae9912…
06-04 04:24:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0x480756…
05-28 20:09:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x6df542…
05-28 20:02:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0xc2abb7…
05-25 13:35:28	Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino	Ugo Humbert	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xfe5c45…
05-25 13:35:28	Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino	Ugo Humbert	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x899ec9…
05-25 13:35:07	Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino	Ugo Humbert	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x5e90e9…
05-25 13:35:05	Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino	Ugo Humbert	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2ee53f…
05-25 13:29:26	Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino	Ugo Humbert	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x521050…
05-25 13:29:21	Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino	Ugo Humbert	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xb218fc…
05-08 09:38:41	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x892cd3…
05-08 09:32:44	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xdfedc8…
05-08 09:21:51	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xc3c437…
04-25 12:17:06	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0xdd76cc…
04-25 09:56:06	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x4ab586…
04-24 14:23:52	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x7a4a43…
04-24 14:19:12	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x777603…
04-23 23:32:34	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x1ba502…
04-23 23:26:12	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x6a35ff…
04-17 14:44:18	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x228a5d…
04-17 14:41:24	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xde0609…
04-17 14:04:42	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe308c4…
04-14 14:40:39	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x70899d…
04-12 04:15:53	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa59f1e…
04-09 16:17:27	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x709c95…
04-09 09:02:45	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x3b3e4e…
04-09 06:32:39	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2110e5…
04-09 06:14:17	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x61e657…
04-09 06:14:13	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x9cc2b3…
04-09 04:58:41	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x350dea…
04-06 21:19:57	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x78c2b6…
04-06 21:11:45	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x5507ad…
03-30 20:45:19	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x8a3887…
03-30 20:27:31	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x2b5692…
03-30 17:39:03	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe10254…
03-30 16:58:59	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8b7e6a…
03-29 16:01:46	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$18	0x45e65c…
03-29 14:41:28	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0xaf22bc…
03-26 20:02:21	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xbc6575…
03-26 19:57:35	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x1b9c6c…
03-25 02:50:23	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x63b5a8…
03-25 02:46:37	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xde98fe…
03-25 02:44:15	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xa17a15…
03-25 02:44:13	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x619cc7…
03-25 02:31:13	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xfc9866…
03-25 02:31:13	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x55c7c1…
03-24 13:24:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x3c714a…
03-24 13:03:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xdfa548…
03-24 09:58:17	will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x7c372f…
03-24 09:50:43	will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0xe1e8df…
03-23 10:35:33	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xfee054…
03-23 10:03:15	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xb6dfd0…
03-20 14:06:21	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x2db359…
03-08 15:54:31	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x9393ef…
03-07 12:59:23	Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xe4af81…
03-07 12:58:59	Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf8427b…
03-06 21:23:13	f1 australian grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 07	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x5ebf87…
03-06 21:21:15	f1 australian grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 07	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x5010e9…
03-06 21:21:09	f1 australian grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 07	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xcda9f6…
03-06 21:21:09	f1 australian grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 07	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xc3341f…
03-06 21:20:37	f1 australian grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 07	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xb981a2…
03-06 19:36:37	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xf86637…
03-06 15:06:07	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe881c4…
03-06 11:28:15	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x7ff801…
03-06 11:24:47	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5c5a46…
03-06 11:18:25	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xed31d5…
03-06 11:13:47	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa230fd…
03-05 22:11:21	will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in february 694 291 362 384	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xcadb77…
03-05 22:11:03	will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in february 694 291 362 384	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x52b8cc…
03-05 21:59:47	will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in february 694 291 362 384	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x85bffb…
03-05 19:27:35	will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in february 694 291 362 384	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x59afe2…
03-05 19:26:49	will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in february 694 291 362 384	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdbd274…
03-05 00:36:13	will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x241dd0…
03-05 00:11:41	will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x467ef3…
03-04 17:55:41	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xe9c8f2…
03-04 17:51:07	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x058bc0…
03-04 11:13:53	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0x9d521b…
03-04 11:08:21	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4f4dcd…
03-04 10:55:39	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x8d0082…
03-03 23:27:57	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x2d134e…
03-03 23:22:53	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x3d6e8e…
03-03 20:07:49	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c6416…
03-03 18:44:23	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x7fa362…
03-03 18:40:59	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0x39711a…