Alarmed-Library — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$169

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

257

Trades

718

lifetime

Volume

$5.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 05-08 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 60% -$110

Other

18% 54% -$29

Sports

15% 22% -$30

Politics

3% 67% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on march 9	22	$365	254	254	+0	Yes	+$10	03-09 13:18
bitcoin above 70k on march 10	18	$274	260	260	+0	Yes	-$18	03-10 00:37
lol blg g2 2026 03 18	2	$208	107	107	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$0	03-18 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$174	132	132	+0	Up	-$26	05-07 17:52
bitcoin above 66k on march 10	13	$116	96	96	+0	Yes	-$1	03-10 00:45
bitcoin above 66k on march 14	7	$109	91	89	+1	Yes	+$9	03-12 15:46
GTA VI released before June 2026?	14	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$0	03-20 08:16
ethereum above 2100 on march 10	6	$100	371	371	-0	No	-$13	03-09 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$100	154	0	+154	Down	-$100	05-07 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$100	135	0	+135	Up	+$35	05-07 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$100	145	0	+145	Up	+$45	05-07 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$100	161	0	+161	Up	-$100	05-07 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$100	135	0	+135	Up	+$35	05-07 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$100	154	0	+154	Down	+$54	05-07 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$100	147	0	+147	Up	+$47	05-07 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$100	144	0	+144	Up	+$44	05-07 17:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$100	115	0	+115	Down	-$100	05-07 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$100	122	0	+122	Down	+$22	05-07 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$100	118	0	+118	Up	+$18	05-07 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$100	118	0	+118	Down	+$18	05-07 16:17
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	9	$96	68	68	+1	Yes	-$8	03-12 02:23
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	10	$82	42	42	+0	No	$0	03-20 08:16
ethereum above 2100 on march 9	3	$76	40	40	+0	No	+$2	03-09 07:13
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$72	36	36	+0	No	$0	03-12 17:26
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	03-18 10:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	+$1	03-03 09:53
bitcoin above 70k on march 9	7	$59	50	13	+37	No	+$4	03-09 09:36
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	6	$57	160	160	+0	Yes	$0	03-09 07:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 09:45 UTC	4	$57	36	36	+0	Down	+$0	03-09 09:55
bitcoin above 66k on march 11	4	$56	41	41	+0	Yes	+$4	03-10 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 12:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xbd7bea…
05-08 07:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	42	58¢	$24	0x3090d6…
05-08 06:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x2653b7…
05-07 18:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x64c149…
05-07 18:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x3330d0…
05-07 18:08:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x3150b1…
05-07 17:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	132	56¢	$74	0xf6d948…
05-07 17:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x1ba13c…
05-07 17:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x061af8…
05-07 17:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xdb8c6e…
05-07 17:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x207ec6…
05-07 17:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x3755d9…
05-07 16:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x417533…
05-07 16:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x76dcc9…
05-07 16:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xb176ab…
05-07 16:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x10d287…
05-07 16:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x9eb528…
05-07 16:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x6d4c47…
05-07 16:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x18a55e…
04-06 12:46:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd00ff7…
03-21 03:52:11	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x54f030…
03-20 15:48:29	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x1c669d…
03-20 14:09:23	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	132	8¢	$10	0x3fb010…
03-20 13:58:41	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	132	9¢	$12	0x1fee8d…
03-20 08:16:27	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xff037e…
03-20 08:16:27	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb81314…
03-20 08:16:27	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x87e864…
03-20 08:16:27	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0b01ac…
03-18 15:30:09	cs2 navi b8 2026 03 18	Natus Vincere	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x1ca31d…
03-18 15:23:57	cs2 tlr heroa 2026 03 18	The Last Resort	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xb89c26…
03-18 15:15:57	cs2 tlr heroa 2026 03 18	The Last Resort	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc2680d…
03-18 15:15:43	cs2 navi b8 2026 03 18	Natus Vincere	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x7bc8b7…
03-18 15:15:15	nba den mem 2026 01 25	Nuggets	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x4e371b…
03-18 14:58:21	lol blg g2 2026 03 18	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	107	98¢	$104	0x05bed1…
03-18 14:57:41	lol blg g2 2026 03 18	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	107	97¢	$104	0xfc2c53…
03-18 11:06:25	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd636f8…
03-18 11:06:25	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa594f2…
03-18 11:06:25	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x876588…
03-18 11:06:25	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4ddf1c…
03-18 10:31:03	Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xde1f3b…
03-18 10:31:03	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd297e4…
03-18 10:31:03	Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa1ad5e…
03-18 10:31:03	Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x16fed7…
03-18 08:57:29	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x84b120…
03-18 08:57:29	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x64009a…
03-18 08:57:29	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x516060…
03-18 08:57:29	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3872f9…
03-18 08:57:27	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfd4c73…
03-18 08:57:27	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x090c4b…
03-17 04:46:07	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x132dc5…
03-16 16:48:45	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9a7d0d…
03-16 16:27:13	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1d5628…
03-16 14:57:01	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x54dce3…
03-16 10:28:33	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x903d11…
03-16 10:28:33	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0aa69e…
03-16 10:28:31	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf04e7d…
03-16 10:28:31	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcb9951…
03-16 10:28:31	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc3e72e…
03-16 10:10:11	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaa2e0f…
03-16 10:10:11	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa8fadd…
03-16 10:09:21	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf9f6e9…
03-16 10:09:21	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x467522…
03-16 10:09:19	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb72e98…
03-16 10:09:19	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9786be…
03-16 10:09:19	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x091442…
03-12 23:22:05	bitcoin above 70k on march 14	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x255137…
03-12 23:22:03	bitcoin above 70k on march 13	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xd64c3c…
03-12 23:13:41	bra vas pal 2026 03 12 pal	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x2fddca…
03-12 23:06:01	bra vas pal 2026 03 12 draw	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x0b8fd9…
03-12 22:37:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xecf05c…
03-12 22:37:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x6c17d4…
03-12 22:33:39	ethereum up or down march 12 6pm et	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0x99f1d4…
03-12 22:32:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe505cb…
03-12 22:30:35	ethereum up or down march 12 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb926a0…
03-12 22:30:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa05f38…
03-12 22:30:35	bitcoin above 70k on march 14	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6965a2…
03-12 22:23:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0195c3…
03-12 22:19:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf44883…
03-12 22:17:31	bra cre flu 2026 03 12 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x564c64…
03-12 22:09:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x926474…
03-12 22:07:29	bitcoin up or down march 12 6pm et	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x3c96ab…
03-12 22:05:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4c57c0…
03-12 22:01:19	bitcoin up or down march 12 6pm et	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9b4327…
03-12 21:55:13	uel cel4 lyo1 2026 03 12 cel4	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x69715f…
03-12 21:55:13	col fio rak 2026 03 12 draw	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x02a778…
03-12 21:55:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x8a562a…
03-12 21:53:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x335c4f…
03-12 21:49:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x10baea…
03-12 21:47:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcf1c2e…
03-12 21:46:43	bra vas pal 2026 03 12 pal	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7d17b2…
03-12 21:43:41	col cry aek 2026 03 12 aek	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x2d4f74…
03-12 21:37:29	bitcoin up or down march 12 5pm et	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x8b7bf3…
03-12 21:35:11	uel pao2 bet1 2026 03 12 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb65f08…
03-12 21:35:11	uel cel4 lyo1 2026 03 12 lyo1	No	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x892eb5…
03-12 21:35:11	col rij str 2026 03 12 str	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x67730e…
03-12 21:35:11	uel gnk scf 2026 03 12 gnk	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x60ced9…
03-12 21:35:11	bitcoin up or down march 12 5pm et	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x516f46…
03-12 21:35:11	uel stu3 por1 2026 03 12 stu3	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x22d9b5…
03-12 21:35:11	col fio rak 2026 03 12 fio	No	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x1e44bf…
03-12 21:35:11	bra cre flu 2026 03 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x177a5e…