Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

107

Trades

231

lifetime

Volume

$421

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-25

last 10-25 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 49% -$67

Other

4% 100% +$6

Politics

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	10-25 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$0	10-25 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	10-25 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	10-25 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:50 UTC	5	$9	10	10	+0	Down	$0	06-30 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$8	15	0	+15	Down	+$3	10-25 21:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:05 UTC	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	-$2	06-25 11:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:10 UTC	2	$7	10	0	+10	Up	-$2	06-25 11:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:05 UTC	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	-$2	06-25 10:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:15 UTC	2	$6	10	0	+10	Down	-$1	06-25 10:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 12:10 UTC	8	$6	40	0	+40	Down	-$6	06-25 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	Down	-$6	10-25 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:55 UTC	2	$6	10	0	+10	Down	-$1	06-25 09:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:10 UTC	4	$6	11	0	+11	Up	-$1	06-25 10:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:30 UTC	2	$6	10	0	+10	Up	-$1	06-25 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	3	$5	11	5	+6	Down	-$2	10-25 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	10-25 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	10-25 14:15
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$3	10-18 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	10-25 16:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 13:40 UTC	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	07-06 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	10-25 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$6	10-25 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	10-25 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:45 UTC	2	$4	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	06-25 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:40 UTC	2	$4	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	06-25 10:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:50 UTC	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	07-01 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:10 UTC	2	$4	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	06-25 09:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:00 UTC	2	$4	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	06-25 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:10 UTC	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	06-30 15:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0b6393…
10-25 22:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5d5b66…
10-25 22:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x079bd0…
10-25 22:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x59430d…
10-25 22:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xec10d3…
10-25 21:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcf28c4…
10-25 21:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x86f887…
10-25 21:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x76c56c…
10-25 21:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc0cc84…
10-25 21:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x38e025…
10-25 21:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6ca70f…
10-25 21:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xbb4411…
10-25 21:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfc92d5…
10-25 21:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8021a3…
10-25 20:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbd1426…
10-25 20:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4aa7d8…
10-25 20:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf7bb95…
10-25 20:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd3447c…
10-25 20:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe30e36…
10-25 20:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x953f03…
10-25 19:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb69f89…
10-25 19:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x86e2f6…
10-25 19:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x62bac8…
10-25 18:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4b7497…
10-25 18:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x04048b…
10-25 18:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x92d328…
10-25 18:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x228c70…
10-25 18:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3f1d59…
10-25 18:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xf36e32…
10-25 18:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x71f3a9…
10-25 18:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x31b730…
10-25 17:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x45ab7f…
10-25 17:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0efbd8…
10-25 17:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x39e3bb…
10-25 17:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x373eef…
10-25 17:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0877fc…
10-25 17:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x468803…
10-25 17:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe34533…
10-25 17:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8929ba…
10-25 17:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x05e631…
10-25 16:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x7b05a6…
10-25 16:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7461d5…
10-25 16:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x668331…
10-25 16:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2e7761…
10-25 16:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa53379…
10-25 16:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x571cd9…
10-25 16:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x14223a…
10-25 15:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x36e2a4…
10-25 15:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa923a5…
10-25 15:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9741ab…
10-25 15:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x332665…
10-25 15:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x00d097…
10-25 15:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6fecb5…
10-25 14:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x25aeb0…
10-25 14:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x06fb37…
10-25 14:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6c5b36…
10-25 14:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xc7ba6f…
10-25 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6fd04f…
10-25 14:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x288bc6…
10-25 14:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa46ee5…
10-25 13:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x984e5a…
10-25 13:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xaf003f…
10-25 13:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x97317d…
10-25 13:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xda0d20…
10-25 12:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x10fe28…
10-25 12:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xaa6a80…
10-25 12:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbbdf3b…
10-25 12:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe23347…
10-25 12:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x587d9d…
10-25 11:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe9a2ff…
10-25 11:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3ed469…
10-25 10:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd7a9ca…
10-25 10:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x200dcb…
10-25 10:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1aece4…
10-25 10:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x09ca87…
10-25 09:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5d05e8…
10-25 09:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x617aff…
10-25 09:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x98b20e…
10-25 09:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcc0e0b…
10-25 09:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xb5fd18…
10-25 09:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc41158…
10-25 09:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xaed8f0…
10-25 07:27:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x70ee22…
10-23 12:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2fb552…
10-23 12:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc9596b…
10-23 12:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x36199c…
10-18 02:29:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd20baa…
10-18 02:26:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x19c033…
10-18 02:23:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5397b3…
10-18 01:26:11	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf170ec…
09-19 02:44:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1346dc…
08-01 00:39:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x728e5b…
07-30 13:49:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x33d449…
07-30 13:48:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xacdbd4…
07-13 00:24:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x486fc8…
07-13 00:24:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0e997b…
07-10 11:39:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x14a63a…
07-08 11:54:04	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4af30c…
07-08 11:49:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x25c048…
07-08 11:47:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf6d4a2…