Definite-Orangutan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$774

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

1,877

Trades

9,549

lifetime

Volume

$134.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-29 13:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

98% 97% -$710

Crypto

2% 58% -$77

Politics

0% 67% +$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 17c	13	$1.6K	816	816	+0	No	+$12	03-23 14:52
highest temperature in milan on march 22 2026 12c	10	$1.0K	524	524	+0	No	+$42	03-22 13:25
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 13c	2	$745	376	376	+0	No	+$7	03-21 05:37
lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	2	$720	369	369	+0	JD Gaming	+$18	03-20 19:22
highest temperature in atlanta on march 22 2026 80 81f	12	$706	359	359	+0	No	+$10	03-22 18:58
highest temperature in munich on march 24 2026 16corhigher	31	$701	362	350	+12	No	+$10	03-24 15:33
will trumps remarks not air 496	2	$699	353	353	+0	No	+$2	03-20 14:49
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	2	$669	349	349	+0	No	+$28	03-20 11:25
lol jdg lll 2026 03 19	3	$608	311	311	+0	JD Gaming	+$11	03-19 16:54
highest temperature in dallas on march 22 2026 90 91f	16	$603	312	312	+0	No	+$21	03-22 21:01
lol gen ly 2026 03 19	2	$567	286	286	+0	Gen.G	+$3	03-19 14:40
highest temperature in toronto on march 21 2026 5c	20	$559	284	284	+0	No	+$8	03-21 21:53
highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 11c	8	$552	299	299	+0	No	+$34	03-19 06:20
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 21 2026 31c	4	$544	279	279	+0	No	+$7	03-21 19:18
lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	3	$507	259	259	+0	BNK FEARX	+$11	03-18 19:08
highest temperature in ankara on march 23 2026 14corhigher	8	$491	250	250	+0	No	+$7	03-23 13:12
highest temperature in munich on march 23 2026 14c	9	$488	254	254	+0	No	+$20	03-23 14:16
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	2	$477	240	240	+0	No	+$3	03-18 08:03
highest temperature in madrid on march 23 2026 16c	3	$459	398	398	+0	No	-$217	03-23 15:25
highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 76 77f	5	$449	231	231	+0	No	+$11	03-23 19:55
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 54 55f	7	$420	216	216	+0	No	+$13	03-22 18:59
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	2	$417	230	230	+0	No	+$44	06-27 06:02
highest temperature in warsaw on march 23 2026 17corhigher	3	$411	209	209	+0	No	+$5	03-23 13:31
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 23 2026 22c	23	$387	203	221	-19	No	+$18	03-23 12:10
highest temperature in chongqing on march 24 2026 20corhigher	9	$385	257	257	+0	No	-$59	03-23 05:43
highest temperature in toronto on march 23 2026 3c	10	$371	191	191	+0	No	+$9	03-23 20:52
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 23c	8	$368	190	180	+10	No	+$1	04-24 04:53
highest temperature in miami on march 22 2026 86 87f	4	$365	186	186	+0	No	-$2	03-22 15:12
highest temperature in lucknow on march 23 2026 32c	16	$360	185	185	+0	No	+$9	03-23 11:04
highest temperature in milan on march 23 2026 17c	10	$359	278	278	+0	No	-$161	03-23 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 13:45:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	304	82¢	$249	0xfa76be…
06-27 06:03:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	252	91¢	$229	0x7386fc…
06-27 06:02:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x8dd3f3…
06-26 18:37:17	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	No	BUY	230	81¢	$187	0x3f88ed…
06-24 12:33:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	188	83¢	$157	0x3333ab…
06-24 03:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 24?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd035db…
06-24 01:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 24?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdc344b…
06-23 19:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on June 23?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa22a4f…
06-23 17:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 23?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf83c22…
06-23 17:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on June 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x84386c…
06-23 15:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 23?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x742a03…
06-23 15:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 23?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x10ebf6…
06-23 15:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcd6a30…
06-23 15:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 23?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc46d4c…
06-23 14:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4b90ae…
06-23 05:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 23?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x32f860…
06-23 04:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe455b9…
06-23 04:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3f2765…
06-22 22:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 22?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x889e06…
06-22 15:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4bb083…
06-22 15:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x51d1ab…
06-22 10:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xceafa1…
06-22 10:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x489376…
06-22 05:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 22?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xec65c2…
06-22 04:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 22?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x490cf2…
06-22 03:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 22?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfd18ec…
06-22 02:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x93bfcf…
06-22 02:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe5ab72…
06-22 01:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd216ea…
06-22 01:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x55e782…
06-22 01:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4a5270…
06-22 01:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x178d93…
06-21 19:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 21?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc29d44…
06-21 18:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc8b4e9…
06-21 17:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3d9cbf…
06-21 17:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 21?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x16392f…
06-21 17:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8edba8…
06-21 14:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x42e400…
06-21 14:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x34dff4…
06-21 07:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdec888…
06-21 07:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7bcdbd…
06-21 06:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x14c7c0…
06-21 06:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x946813…
06-21 06:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0d10ce…
06-21 06:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa2169a…
06-21 06:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x80c5e0…
06-21 06:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6375aa…
06-21 06:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc76c87…
06-21 06:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc87343…
06-21 04:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x69fd85…
06-21 04:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2f63a4…
06-21 03:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 21?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x20c549…
06-21 03:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbc0b5e…
06-21 03:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x39e51b…
06-21 03:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc2453a…
06-21 03:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x46c88e…
06-21 02:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0e0108…
06-21 02:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2587f6…
06-21 01:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xef7507…
06-21 01:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5378f2…
06-21 00:32:16	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x671c79…
06-20 23:48:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5a9626…
06-20 21:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 20?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe77c8c…
06-20 21:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 20?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x226c0d…
06-20 21:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x669367…
06-20 21:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 20?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x67a623…
06-20 20:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 20?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6b650f…
06-19 18:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 19?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x30ca0c…
06-19 17:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9456ed…
06-19 14:25:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf83caf…
06-19 14:24:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5f1458…
06-19 14:24:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd56da6…
06-19 14:23:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0a42b5…
06-19 09:09:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x37cf53…
06-19 09:03:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd3c3f8…
06-19 06:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on June 19?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf8be91…
06-19 06:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on June 19?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaf117d…
06-19 04:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xedf240…
06-19 04:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x13e765…
06-19 02:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on June 19?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5d0af5…
06-19 01:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23a594…
06-19 01:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x791cc0…
06-18 04:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 18?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6cc40e…
06-18 02:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xce50bd…
06-18 02:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xca2cc6…
06-17 22:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaa3238…
06-17 22:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8dbd6c…
06-17 22:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe0358a…
06-17 22:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd9f273…
06-17 22:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8a14f4…
06-17 20:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on June 17?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4980fa…
06-17 17:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7f2a2d…
06-17 17:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 17?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4ef3c1…
06-17 17:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9e1573…
06-17 17:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 17?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x47fe1c…
06-16 20:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x79986f…
06-16 20:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1f535d…
06-16 16:55:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 16?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe05413…
06-16 15:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc5e21f…
06-16 14:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x359dbc…