Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$154

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

103

Trades

377

lifetime

Volume

$4.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$39

7 positions

First seen

2026-10-06

last 10-26 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

45% 42% -$228

Sports

36% 69% +$111

Crypto

15% 69% -$37

Politics

3% 67% $0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+30	$20	68¢	$20	+$0	10-26 14:06
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	+40	$12	28¢	$11	-$1	10-26 05:18
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+10	$6	66¢	$6	+$0	10-17 22:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+20	$1	4¢	$1	$0	10-18 00:03
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+77	$1	1¢	$1	$0	10-19 16:15
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+33	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-19 16:15
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+14	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-19 16:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jazz vs. Suns	2	$548	665	665	+0	Jazz	+$43	10-17 02:24
Celtics vs. 76ers	12	$335	408	365	+42	Celtics	+$5	10-17 01:35
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	35	$240	813	813	+0	open	—	10-20 05:55
lol anb sly 2026 10 14	12	$207	120	120	+0	Solary	+$4	10-14 17:53
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	4	$181	121	121	+0	Yes	+$17	10-16 01:03
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	7	$170	190	30	+160	open	—	10-20 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:25 UTC	10	$169	246	246	+0	Down	+$29	10-14 19:29
Warriors vs. Lakers	17	$150	97	97	+0	Warriors	+$8	10-14 04:17
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	3	$139	229	229	+0	Yes	-$75	10-16 17:18
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	4	$135	112	112	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$6	10-16 00:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:20 UTC	4	$135	212	212	+0	Down	+$35	10-14 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	16	$129	172	172	+0	Up	+$9	10-14 18:33
wta pigato havlick 2026 10 14	2	$124	88	88	+0	Lucie Havlickova	+$1	10-14 18:00
mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	4	$121	109	109	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$3	10-15 00:54
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	4	$118	117	117	+0	Yes	+$4	10-16 00:38
Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-08-29?	3	$108	70	70	+0	Yes	+$2	10-14 17:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:35 UTC	4	$96	148	23	+126	Down	-$84	10-14 19:38
Thunder vs. Rockets	2	$86	50	50	+0	Rockets	+$2	10-16 02:19
Montreal Alouettes vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders	11	$77	139	30	+109	Saskatchewan Roughriders	-$54	10-17 21:49
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	6	$71	66	36	+30	open	—	10-26 14:06
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	8	$67	55	55	+0	Golden State Valkyries	+$4	10-17 20:30
Seahawks vs. Broncos	5	$47	86	86	+0	Broncos	+$4	10-16 01:31
Bruins vs. Sharks	2	$46	28	28	+0	Bruins	+$5	10-14 05:14
wti closes above 99 on october 16 2026	9	$45	65	65	+0	Yes	+$0	10-16 21:03
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	21	$43	404	404	+0	open	—	10-20 15:57
wta jovic yastrem 2026 10 13	2	$42	24	24	+0	Iva Jovic	+$0	10-14 05:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:45 UTC	5	$41	60	60	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 05:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	5	$36	156	0	+156	Down	-$36	10-14 19:32
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	6	$34	302	302	+0	Yes	-$33	10-16 18:12
Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan	1	$30	110	0	+110	Toledo	-$30	10-17 19:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:06:17	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x013451…
10-26 14:05:44	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc6f7ec…
10-26 14:05:44	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0c93b1…
10-26 14:05:42	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x847389…
10-26 05:59:27	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xe4e16d…
10-26 05:18:29	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xe8a8fb…
10-26 02:42:26	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x4be68a…
10-26 01:50:06	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x51e568…
10-26 01:01:15	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x11c493…
10-26 00:52:57	Chiefs 1H Team Total: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xec2ed8…
10-25 17:41:38	Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2aa789…
10-24 20:41:15	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xea8c35…
10-24 20:11:24	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf2fcb4…
10-24 19:58:51	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4007a3…
10-24 18:44:03	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc0faf6…
10-24 18:16:47	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1a05de…
10-24 02:06:24	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	71¢	$26	0xf7c77b…
10-24 02:03:53	Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. British Columbia Lions	British Columbia Lions	BUY	62	38¢	$23	0x8d5bf7…
10-22 14:57:14	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x1f3b8e…
10-20 16:53:24	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	9¢	$5	0xd126c8…
10-20 16:30:50	will republicans win the mississippi south carolina and montana senate seats	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x906c7e…
10-20 15:57:17	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	357	0¢	$0	0x0684a2…
10-20 06:00:48	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xcd29a0…
10-20 06:00:48	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xc6f9b2…
10-20 06:00:48	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x77c65f…
10-20 06:00:48	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0x5bea6d…
10-20 06:00:48	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x19c252…
10-20 05:55:59	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	111	14¢	$16	0x6902f4…
10-20 05:52:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	85	14¢	$12	0xa482ab…
10-20 05:49:41	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	54	13¢	$7	0x1a09cf…
10-20 05:46:26	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x0f7621…
10-20 05:39:44	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x6e5d1a…
10-20 05:39:00	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0xda5084…
10-20 05:39:00	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x26c1e3…
10-20 05:38:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x56fe01…
10-20 05:35:45	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xe61d82…
10-20 05:33:23	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x685b2a…
10-20 05:32:50	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xa58c4c…
10-20 05:24:53	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	SELL	44	70¢	$30	0xa9958c…
10-20 05:23:36	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x5c1411…
10-20 05:17:24	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xf6b128…
10-20 05:17:24	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x91b95b…
10-20 05:17:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7a245b…
10-20 05:17:08	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc5d88c…
10-20 05:17:08	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x53fb3a…
10-20 05:16:48	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6454c1…
10-20 05:12:17	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0xa5329b…
10-20 05:10:51	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x0297e6…
10-20 05:08:27	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7c5fd6…
10-20 05:08:27	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x11cea0…
10-20 05:07:21	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	87	19¢	$16	0x3ee7ee…
10-20 05:06:48	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x59dbb7…
10-20 05:05:17	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x09b8d9…
10-20 05:04:36	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xe0a826…
10-20 05:04:24	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x0491ce…
10-20 05:03:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x0538c1…
10-20 04:48:08	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x1f904f…
10-20 02:17:41	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xaa734b…
10-19 23:42:11	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0x8c626c…
10-19 23:41:27	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x98b11b…
10-19 23:32:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0x832469…
10-19 23:32:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x0115b7…
10-19 20:01:17	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x9a183d…
10-19 20:01:17	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x865a01…
10-19 20:01:17	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x05425f…
10-19 19:45:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x0f849b…
10-19 19:40:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x72e2ed…
10-19 19:34:12	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x96ab18…
10-19 19:31:24	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xb58fe8…
10-19 19:21:08	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0xc140d8…
10-19 19:19:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xf30a1d…
10-19 19:14:41	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xa4a62f…
10-19 19:14:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x9b5646…
10-19 18:20:33	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0x89fa5b…
10-19 18:20:11	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0x579e8d…
10-19 18:19:48	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x2675ca…
10-19 18:03:38	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0x31bfd5…
10-19 18:00:06	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	244	9¢	$22	0xfd5f38…
10-19 17:56:24	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xebb918…
10-19 17:44:03	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x53a30f…
10-19 17:44:03	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	155	8¢	$12	0x534f4b…
10-19 17:44:03	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0x4828d6…
10-19 17:44:03	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x029dfd…
10-19 17:21:15	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x1eb6d4…
10-19 17:12:15	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	74	9¢	$7	0xdb0430…
10-19 16:16:18	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc8584d…
10-19 16:15:45	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xee145d…
10-19 16:15:39	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x06f6c9…
10-19 16:15:20	France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x18a511…
10-19 16:15:12	France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x48704d…
10-19 03:19:41	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x2ad0f8…
10-19 01:17:33	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x032c8b…
10-18 03:55:20	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xc55441…
10-18 02:31:12	UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)	Mike Malott	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdbf99f…
10-18 00:03:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x15932c…
10-17 22:55:38	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x301646…
10-17 22:52:44	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd9e0ea…
10-17 21:49:14	Montreal Alouettes vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders	Montreal Alouettes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd72f99…
10-17 21:49:14	Montreal Alouettes vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders	Montreal Alouettes	BUY	58	40¢	$23	0x502ea6…
10-17 21:49:14	Montreal Alouettes vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders	Montreal Alouettes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x30d623…