Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?
Yes won
Total volume
$6,180
$5 in 24h
Trades
177
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$10,428
End date
2026-10-20
First seen
2026-10-13
last 10-29 16:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.7¢
(top1%: 69% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 77% YES on $4.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $1.5K | $414 | +$1.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $1.1K | $116 | +$1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $241 | $492 | $250 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $800 | $73 | +$728 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $860 | $383 | +$476 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $57 | $341 | $284 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $40 | $0 | +$40 |
| Median | 11 | $356 | $1 | +$355 |
| Below median | 13 | $379 | $71 | +$308 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $193 | $131 | +$62 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $812 | $33 | +$779 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $950 | $134 | +$816 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | +797 | $796 | $796 | 1 | 10-29 16:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x7883…66b2 | No | +797 | $239 | $364 | 9 | 10-20 12:41 |
| mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | +690 | $670 | $766 | 8 | 10-28 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | No | +685 | -$1 | $5 | 23 | 10-29 16:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +444 | $93 | $93 | 8 | 10-21 06:08 |
| Warm-Love 0xf720…4599 | Yes | +379 | $255 | $255 | 3 | 10-20 05:09 |
| Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | +250 | $125 | $125 | 2 | 10-20 04:41 |
| Specific-Overclocking 0xfa21…1438 | Yes | +243 | $69 | $831 | 2 | 10-28 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1450…145c | Yes | +230 | $140 | $460 | 2 | 10-20 07:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +207 | $76 | $76 | 9 | 10-20 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +180 | $41 | $41 | 5 | 10-29 16:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +160 | $102 | $102 | 5 | 10-21 06:08 |
| Silent-Rowboat 0x2b62…438c | No | +135 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-20 12:41 |
| Dapper-Baseball 0xa6b7…d5f3 | No | +118 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 10-19 23:41 |
| Mad-School 0xc676…f35c | Yes | +115 | $86 | $100 | 5 | 10-28 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +108 | $22 | $23 | 9 | 10-21 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +108 | $45 | $45 | 5 | 10-20 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ac0…7b9a | Yes | +92 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 10-19 00:55 |
| Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | +90 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 10-20 05:27 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +86 | $47 | $47 | 4 | 10-20 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | Yes | +77 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 10-19 17:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b50…849f | No | +66 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 10-18 21:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c03…0d7e | Yes | +62 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 10-21 05:42 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-29 16:52 |
| Devoted-Route 0xf5e4…471a | No | +45 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-19 00:55 |
| Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | Yes | +44 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 10-20 15:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfee…ffcd | No | +44 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 10-15 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xafaa…3bb4 | No | +38 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 10-18 19:53 |
| Tricky-Usher 0x961b…2b00 | No | +38 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-13 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x501f…f746 | Yes | +35 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-20 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b89…ddae | No | +24 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-18 19:56 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 16:52 |
| Dual-Gopher 0x7e64…1824 | No | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-20 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | +15 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-20 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x789e…d11e | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-28 00:08 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 16:52 |
| Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | No | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-20 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x502e…4e96 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-18 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d18…e9a1 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-19 17:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf9…5eac | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 00:39 |
| Moist-Dealer 0xa5c2…1bbe | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-13 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-28 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc5f…a5cd | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-19 18:58 |
| Naive-Nerve 0xbf21…c159 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 21:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x0dba…2db9 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-20 21:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:52:29 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | BUY | 797 | 100¢ | $796 | 0x3fc2e3… |
| 10-29 16:52:29 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fc2e3… |
| 10-29 16:52:29 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | No | BUY | 42 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fc2e3… |
| 10-29 16:52:29 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fc2e3… |
| 10-29 16:52:29 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fc2e3… |
| 10-29 16:52:29 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fc2e3… |
| 10-29 08:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | No | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbeaa40… |
| 10-29 08:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x68ff…6734 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xbeaa40… |
| 10-28 00:08:09 | (anonymous) 0x789e…d11e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa151ba… |
| 10-28 00:08:09 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa151ba… |
| 10-28 00:05:12 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd44d6c… |
| 10-28 00:05:12 | (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xd44d6c… |
| 10-28 00:05:11 | (anonymous) 0x0a61…2c6b | No | SELL | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x85692b… |
| 10-28 00:05:11 | Mad-School 0xc676…f35c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x85692b… |
| 10-28 00:05:11 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | BUY | 333 | 95¢ | $316 | 0x85692b… |
| 10-28 00:05:11 | Specific-Overclocking 0xfa21…1438 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 95¢ | $381 | 0x85692b… |
| 10-27 18:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x0a61…2c6b | No | SELL | 47 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd8369c… |
| 10-27 18:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x8330…5700 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0xd8369c… |
| 10-24 21:48:00 | (anonymous) 0x0a61…2c6b | No | SELL | 140 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xcfc3c7… |
| 10-24 21:48:00 | (anonymous) 0xdf54…32b9 | No | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xcfc3c7… |
| 10-24 21:48:00 | (anonymous) 0x2de4…1d9a | Yes | SELL | 240 | 97¢ | $233 | 0xcfc3c7… |
| 10-24 10:27:45 | (anonymous) 0x6918…9c48 | No | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9b85b1… |
| 10-24 10:27:45 | (anonymous) 0x2de4…1d9a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x9b85b1… |
| 10-22 14:57:14 | (anonymous) 0x7851…8921 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x1f3b8e… |
| 10-22 14:57:14 | (anonymous) 0x0a61…2c6b | No | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1f3b8e… |
| 10-21 21:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x424f0e… |
| 10-21 21:29:29 | (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x424f0e… |
| 10-21 21:29:27 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | BUY | 195 | 95¢ | $185 | 0x0086b7… |
| 10-21 21:29:27 | (anonymous) 0xa598…68ac | Yes | SELL | 195 | 95¢ | $185 | 0x0086b7… |
| 10-21 21:28:50 | (anonymous) 0xa598…68ac | Yes | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xd5e678… |
| 10-21 21:28:50 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd5e678… |
| 10-21 16:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x63cf…d903 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x741b65… |
| 10-21 16:54:08 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x741b65… |
| 10-21 14:25:17 | (anonymous) 0xa598…68ac | Yes | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x1945bf… |
| 10-21 14:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | No | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1945bf… |
| 10-21 06:08:51 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xaacbba… |
| 10-21 06:08:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xaacbba… |
| 10-21 06:08:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 41 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xaacbba… |
| 10-21 06:08:48 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | BUY | 110 | 97¢ | $107 | 0x49e83c… |
| 10-21 06:08:48 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x49e83c… |
| 10-21 06:08:48 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x49e83c… |
| 10-21 06:08:48 | (anonymous) 0xdf54…32b9 | No | BUY | 65 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x49e83c… |
| 10-21 05:42:50 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x325c93… |
| 10-21 05:42:50 | (anonymous) 0x2c03…0d7e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x325c93… |
| 10-21 05:42:50 | (anonymous) 0xdf54…32b9 | No | BUY | 35 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x325c93… |
| 10-21 02:28:29 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0d0ad7… |
| 10-21 02:28:29 | (anonymous) 0x68ff…6734 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0d0ad7… |
| 10-20 21:33:21 | Naive-Nerve 0xbf21…c159 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1551b3… |
| 10-20 21:33:21 | (anonymous) 0x0dba…2db9 | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1551b3… |
| 10-20 18:12:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 77 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x68091b… |
| 10-20 18:12:30 | (anonymous) 0xa598…68ac | Yes | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x7debd3… |
| 10-20 18:12:30 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7debd3… |
| 10-20 18:12:30 | (anonymous) 0xa598…68ac | Yes | BUY | 77 | 97¢ | $75 | 0x68091b… |
| 10-20 18:12:30 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | No | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7debd3… |
| 10-20 18:11:21 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x352d95… |
| 10-20 18:11:21 | (anonymous) 0xa598…68ac | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x352d95… |
| 10-20 18:10:09 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc083f7… |
| 10-20 18:10:09 | (anonymous) 0xa598…68ac | Yes | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xc083f7… |
| 10-20 15:45:47 | Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 76¢ | $34 | 0x67d34e… |
| 10-20 15:45:47 | (anonymous) 0x8e40…c7c0 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 76¢ | $34 | 0x67d34e… |
| 10-20 15:28:42 | (anonymous) 0x2c03…0d7e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x8d5fa0… |
| 10-20 15:28:42 | (anonymous) 0xa598…68ac | Yes | SELL | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x8d5fa0… |
| 10-20 12:41:21 | Dual-Gopher 0x7e64…1824 | No | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x263879… |
| 10-20 12:41:21 | (anonymous) 0x7883…66b2 | No | SELL | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x263879… |
| 10-20 12:41:17 | (anonymous) 0x7883…66b2 | No | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x64818b… |
| 10-20 12:41:17 | (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x64818b… |
| 10-20 12:41:15 | (anonymous) 0x7883…66b2 | No | SELL | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x5b8216… |
| 10-20 12:41:15 | (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x5b8216… |
| 10-20 12:41:12 | (anonymous) 0x7883…66b2 | No | SELL | 135 | 30¢ | $40 | 0xd47412… |
| 10-20 12:41:12 | Silent-Rowboat 0x2b62…438c | No | BUY | 135 | 30¢ | $40 | 0xd47412… |
| 10-20 12:26:00 | Muffled-Zoologist 0x6d04…0e1b | Yes | SELL | 42 | 70¢ | $29 | 0x25ba4e… |
| 10-20 12:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x7883…66b2 | No | SELL | 42 | 30¢ | $13 | 0x25ba4e… |
| 10-20 12:25:51 | Muffled-Zoologist 0x6d04…0e1b | Yes | SELL | 58 | 71¢ | $41 | 0xd76231… |
| 10-20 12:25:51 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 71¢ | $13 | 0xd76231… |
| 10-20 12:25:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 71¢ | $28 | 0xd76231… |
| 10-20 07:19:25 | Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | No | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x471678… |
| 10-20 07:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x471678… |
| 10-20 07:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x1450…145c | Yes | SELL | 200 | 80¢ | $160 | 0x471678… |
| 10-20 07:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x2de4…1d9a | Yes | BUY | 248 | 80¢ | $200 | 0x471678… |
| 10-20 05:53:17 | (anonymous) 0x63cf…d903 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x15f4e6… |
| 10-20 05:53:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0x15f4e6… |
| 10-20 05:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x1376ed… |
| 10-20 05:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 31¢ | $16 | 0x1376ed… |
| 10-20 05:27:41 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | BUY | 90 | 69¢ | $62 | 0x1376ed… |
| 10-20 05:09:56 | (anonymous) 0xd711…749c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5b8ff0… |
| 10-20 05:09:56 | Warm-Love 0xf720…4599 | Yes | BUY | 149 | 94¢ | $140 | 0x5b8ff0… |
| 10-20 05:09:56 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 48 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x5b8ff0… |
| 10-20 05:09:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 96 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x5b8ff0… |
| 10-20 05:07:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 28¢ | $15 | 0x8b8add… |
| 10-20 05:07:12 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | SELL | 55 | 28¢ | $15 | 0x8b8add… |
| 10-20 05:06:15 | Warm-Love 0xf720…4599 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 50¢ | $30 | 0xd44da7… |
| 10-20 05:06:15 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | SELL | 65 | 50¢ | $32 | 0xd44da7… |
| 10-20 05:06:15 | (anonymous) 0xd711…749c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xd44da7… |
| 10-20 04:41:59 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | BUY | 120 | 50¢ | $60 | 0xc2fecd… |
| 10-20 04:41:59 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | BUY | 120 | 50¢ | $60 | 0xc2fecd… |
| 10-20 04:41:15 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 40 | 51¢ | $20 | 0xaa8616… |
| 10-20 04:41:15 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | No | BUY | 130 | 50¢ | $65 | 0xaa8616… |
| 10-20 04:41:15 | Warm-Love 0xf720…4599 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 50¢ | $85 | 0xaa8616… |
| 10-20 03:37:26 | (anonymous) 0xa598…68ac | Yes | BUY | 133 | 55¢ | $73 | 0x9caee5… |
| 10-20 03:37:26 | (anonymous) 0x9f63…680e | Yes | SELL | 133 | 55¢ | $73 | 0x9caee5… |