Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

268

Trades

642

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$91

12 positions

First seen

2026-07-25

last 10-28 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

60% 50% -$134

Sports

18% 53% +$23

Politics

14% 38% +$9

Crypto

5% 26% -$44

Tech

1% 0% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+24	$20	82¢	$20	+$0	10-26 00:42
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	+53	$10	20¢	$10	+$0	10-26 00:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+10	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	10-28 02:55
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	+15	$10	66¢	$10	+$0	10-26 00:16
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+14	$10	67¢	$9	-$1	10-28 00:23
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+24	$9	32¢	$8	-$2	10-28 00:15
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	+43	$8	16¢	$7	-$1	10-26 06:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+17	$6	35¢	$6	+$0	10-16 15:17
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No	+5	$5	92¢	$5	$0	10-26 16:49
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+4	$3	84¢	$3	+$0	10-05 16:31
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+12	$2	18¢	$2	+$0	10-26 08:11
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+48	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	10-28 04:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	26	$322	391	391	+0	Under	-$31	10-25 20:13
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	12	$172	126	126	+0	open	—	10-27 10:18
Wizards vs. Bulls	12	$103	96	94	+1	Wizards	+$8	10-25 01:29
Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5	3	$49	36	36	+0	Under	+$10	10-26 00:54
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	3	$48	36	36	+0	Yes	+$24	10-26 01:22
Warriors vs. Nuggets	4	$46	55	55	+0	Warriors	+$6	10-27 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	4	$41	27	27	+0	No	+$5	10-26 19:31
Grizzlies vs. Kings	4	$38	43	43	+0	Grizzlies	-$2	10-26 03:13
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	5	$36	54	40	+14	open	—	10-28 00:23
lol ktc gal 2026 09 28	7	$34	37	36	+0	Galions	-$1	09-28 05:51
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5	2	$33	23	23	+0	Under	+$13	10-26 02:27
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	2	$31	22	22	+0	Magic	+$11	10-26 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	3	$30	38	0	+38	Down	+$8	10-26 00:50
Sioux Falls: Justin Boulais vs Sebastian Dominko	3	$29	217	0	+217	Sebastian Dominko	-$29	10-26 01:25
Chiefs vs. Seahawks	4	$29	54	54	+0	Seahawks	-$15	10-26 02:47
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	3	$28	22	22	+0	No	-$2	10-25 18:46
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-10-25?	4	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	10-26 01:00
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	3	$27	19	19	+0	Yes	+$3	10-25 23:29
Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B	5	$27	16	16	+0	Global Esports	+$3	10-02 10:14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	4	$26	23	16	+8	Yes	-$10	10-25 21:16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 26?	2	$25	59	59	+0	No	+$5	10-25 19:18
Lakers vs. Jazz	2	$24	31	31	+0	Lakers	+$4	10-25 21:25
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	3	$24	48	24	+24	open	—	10-28 00:15
Trail Blazers vs. Kings	4	$24	36	0	+36	Trail Blazers	+$12	10-24 02:27
Clippers vs. Lakers	6	$24	100	0	+100	Lakers	-$24	10-24 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	3	$23	18	18	+0	No	-$4	10-26 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	3	$22	24	24	+0	Yes	-$2	10-25 20:34
CD Oriente Petrolero vs. Club The Strongest: O/U 3.5	2	$22	14	14	+0	Under	+$5	10-26 01:26
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	10-25 23:21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 25?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	10-26 01:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x181e78…
10-28 08:02:52	Will Arnab peak as a very severe cyclonic storm?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x444fae…
10-28 07:53:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x6b3973…
10-28 04:53:44	Will LYON win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xa36f4b…
10-28 04:26:43	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5	Under	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0xa04cd0…
10-28 04:15:07	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0xcb6673…
10-28 03:34:18	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xef49f1…
10-28 03:28:49	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x8132d1…
10-28 03:15:52	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x54f04a…
10-28 02:55:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8699bb…
10-28 02:38:21	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0xa8fd4a…
10-28 02:00:53	Spread: Knicks (-3.5)	Pistons	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x9d5211…
10-28 00:52:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x8daf08…
10-28 00:49:54	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd32aa2…
10-28 00:23:17	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x158054…
10-28 00:15:47	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x0ee515…
10-28 00:13:21	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0xe91106…
10-28 00:11:09	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	SELL	17	55¢	$9	0x26f947…
10-28 00:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xabc209…
10-28 00:08:09	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa151ba…
10-28 00:03:03	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xc67a3e…
10-28 00:01:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x2f6329…
10-27 23:18:02	Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x75736e…
10-27 22:34:57	Spread: Knicks (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4abfb5…
10-27 21:54:02	Will IG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xd0762d…
10-27 21:50:54	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xd872b4…
10-27 19:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x99fa9f…
10-27 15:58:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x048d90…
10-27 15:52:24	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0x1a431c…
10-27 12:54:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	487	1¢	$5	0x5ae1f7…
10-27 12:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x832c21…
10-27 12:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x2cc5b7…
10-27 11:57:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb78933…
10-27 11:51:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdca2be…
10-27 11:50:36	Will IG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x8fa2ac…
10-27 11:48:47	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x016842…
10-27 11:47:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb9d293…
10-27 11:28:57	Will Wayne Johnston win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d1e95…
10-27 11:11:30	Will IG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x74e778…
10-27 11:10:36	Will IG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe66042…
10-27 10:54:44	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xf95e27…
10-27 10:33:12	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x7259de…
10-27 10:26:05	Will IG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0x5cec26…
10-27 10:21:32	Will IG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	BUY	223	3¢	$7	0x1235f4…
10-27 10:18:38	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	92	70¢	$65	0x139ee8…
10-27 09:40:47	Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x99ae84…
10-27 09:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xdfa31d…
10-27 08:35:21	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xe84f8c…
10-27 08:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x000b95…
10-27 08:03:57	Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x7d4e19…
10-27 08:02:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd0af61…
10-27 07:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xfc1f7e…
10-27 07:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x3c06b7…
10-27 07:52:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x7ce8d1…
10-27 07:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x74aa34…
10-27 07:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xbf091f…
10-27 05:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xa30463…
10-27 05:07:05	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x59a643…
10-27 04:51:45	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x15605a…
10-27 04:44:09	Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xe25ca1…
10-27 04:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x7a5f74…
10-27 04:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x3ec757…
10-27 04:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3ff459…
10-27 04:03:06	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x7384dd…
10-27 03:55:35	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x12b23b…
10-27 03:53:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xef6415…
10-27 03:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x53c5eb…
10-27 03:42:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x93c9de…
10-27 03:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9f417f…
10-27 03:36:08	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Red Wings	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x324ca3…
10-27 03:34:29	Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xeff607…
10-27 03:29:50	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6d26bc…
10-27 03:23:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd49a82…
10-27 03:22:33	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xe5a3a1…
10-27 01:26:36	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	SELL	36	29¢	$10	0x1c849a…
10-27 00:48:20	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	34	68¢	$23	0x1313f7…
10-27 00:47:38	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x0ca6a4…
10-26 22:55:08	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0xfd45ab…
10-26 22:52:59	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	No	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0x3ee06e…
10-26 22:45:20	Will Vox win 76 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x003933…
10-26 21:30:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x4069f2…
10-26 21:16:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa47daf…
10-26 20:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa21e06…
10-26 20:31:06	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0xabf4da…
10-26 20:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x073a09…
10-26 19:51:21	Will the Republican Party win the CA-41 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa3e395…
10-26 19:47:51	SSI public model released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xe32d14…
10-26 19:39:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf86719…
10-26 19:36:24	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x603b1c…
10-26 19:33:38	Will Vox win 76 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x706bc6…
10-26 19:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0x67dce1…
10-26 19:09:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0xf991c4…
10-26 18:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x36f59c…
10-26 18:33:11	Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x98e51f…
10-26 18:29:03	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x511a8d…
10-26 18:01:38	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x38e26d…
10-26 18:00:36	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xfa17d8…
10-26 17:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x9e9e5c…
10-26 17:56:35	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xa15636…
10-26 17:12:36	Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)	NK Istra 1961	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x20e1a4…