Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$76

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$2.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$328

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-08

last 10-26 00:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

56% 67% -$180

Other

44% 100% +$188

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes		+460	$293	54¢	$246	-$47	10-25 04:29
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+381	$110	22¢	$82	-$28	10-23 13:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	17	$556	334	334	+0	Yes	+$43	10-21 15:11
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	17	$404	385	385	+0	No	+$92	10-20 06:25
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	13	$293	460	0	+460	open	—	10-25 04:29
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	24	$272	935	935	+0	No	+$72	10-19 21:35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$229	296	296	+0	No	-$228	10-26 00:38
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	7	$211	130	130	+0	No	+$20	10-21 19:03
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	3	$148	100	100	+0	Yes	+$12	10-24 20:13
Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	4	$130	135	135	+0	Yes	+$19	10-20 03:37
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	4	$110	381	0	+381	open	—	10-23 13:01
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	7	$100	206	206	+0	No	-$27	10-25 20:50
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	4	$83	66	66	+0	Yes	+$3	10-17 00:34
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	3	$73	98	98	+0	open	—	10-25 18:14
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$65	411	411	+0	open	—	10-16 16:17
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	10-25 20:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$27	36	36	+0	open	—	10-19 05:29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$13	40	40	+0	open	—	10-19 05:37
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	2	$10	15	15	+0	No	+$0	10-14 14:00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$10	30	30	+0	open	—	10-19 05:43
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	10-22 22:57
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-13 06:05
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	2	$4	89	89	+0	No	+$2	10-14 07:28
Senate control favorite on November 2?	1	$2	51	0	+51	open	—	10-17 05:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 00:38:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	296	0¢	$1	0x9fcf9d…
10-25 20:55:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xde1063…
10-25 20:50:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	136	2¢	$3	0x146226…
10-25 20:34:23	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x5de3a1…
10-25 20:34:23	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x5d6192…
10-25 20:33:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0xa0a839…
10-25 20:31:56	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xb57bb7…
10-25 20:31:23	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	70	48¢	$34	0x1ed114…
10-25 20:21:39	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0xd1d8da…
10-25 20:13:32	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xe4b5fb…
10-25 18:30:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	70	78¢	$55	0xf6e15f…
10-25 18:14:21	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	98	36¢	$35	0xebea86…
10-25 04:29:54	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	101	59¢	$59	0xcb8bae…
10-24 20:13:53	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	63	80¢	$50	0x5872ac…
10-24 20:13:48	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0xd4d98d…
10-23 13:01:15	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xbd43a1…
10-23 04:53:59	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x38a0d8…
10-23 04:52:54	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xbf7a78…
10-23 04:31:12	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8bf40b…
10-23 03:33:08	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0x5291f1…
10-22 22:58:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x91de5b…
10-22 22:57:33	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x5a2994…
10-22 22:55:15	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x28d997…
10-22 22:55:14	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x5c3c55…
10-22 22:55:14	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x45eea0…
10-22 22:55:14	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x0c2b98…
10-22 18:42:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	120	78¢	$93	0x886b4f…
10-22 16:32:26	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xb73d98…
10-21 23:58:26	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x737412…
10-21 20:39:30	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x5ad90f…
10-21 19:03:29	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x9337a2…
10-21 19:03:29	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x3b9649…
10-21 18:28:02	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	SELL	104	89¢	$93	0xbd7c75…
10-21 17:06:26	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x28743e…
10-21 15:11:53	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	234	90¢	$210	0x3eb077…
10-21 03:54:11	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0x612d48…
10-21 02:23:45	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xb11eb7…
10-21 02:23:30	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	36	89¢	$32	0xe787d0…
10-21 01:54:54	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x3cd8bc…
10-21 00:16:24	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xda819e…
10-21 00:15:29	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xad1cf2…
10-21 00:12:54	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	29¢	$18	0xf6225c…
10-21 00:12:17	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	29¢	$52	0x5118ad…
10-20 23:57:59	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	29¢	$35	0x695a36…
10-20 14:31:53	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x6ca6ca…
10-20 06:25:14	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	SELL	226	98¢	$221	0xacc8b6…
10-20 05:07:41	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x7e1ac7…
10-20 05:05:42	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x3c9295…
10-20 05:05:17	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x5537ab…
10-20 05:04:47	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xbfa8a0…
10-20 04:47:06	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x464903…
10-20 04:12:00	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa619ac…
10-20 03:37:26	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	SELL	133	55¢	$73	0x9caee5…
10-20 03:33:23	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x9218c2…
10-20 03:24:51	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x7c93be…
10-20 03:23:44	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	116	41¢	$48	0x8f921c…
10-20 01:43:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa0a72a…
10-20 01:42:47	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0xde21b2…
10-20 01:34:05	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$10	0xcd8b6c…
10-19 21:35:40	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xef09af…
10-19 21:35:15	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x2fd60c…
10-19 19:40:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x72e2ed…
10-19 18:52:08	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x84aa0c…
10-19 18:03:38	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	60	19¢	$11	0x31bfd5…
10-19 17:52:00	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	289	19¢	$55	0x871c7c…
10-19 16:38:05	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	225	17¢	$38	0xeb3afe…
10-19 05:43:36	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x1f03c4…
10-19 05:37:23	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x79fff0…
10-19 05:31:41	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x268211…
10-19 05:31:36	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0xf1f770…
10-19 05:29:42	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	128	5¢	$6	0x421e08…
10-19 05:29:11	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	36	37¢	$13	0x9215c0…
10-19 00:36:41	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	49	12¢	$6	0x4ae785…
10-19 00:12:33	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x18aa93…
10-18 22:24:50	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0xbd0ba7…
10-18 20:19:44	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	120	15¢	$18	0xd5789f…
10-18 10:08:50	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	58	20¢	$12	0xd04abb…
10-18 07:38:56	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc97c9e…
10-18 06:46:39	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0xcb2d31…
10-18 01:18:53	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0xf8ddab…
10-18 01:18:53	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	63	13¢	$8	0x2f095a…
10-18 01:18:53	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x09d08a…
10-17 19:44:38	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$16	0x2e2699…
10-17 19:27:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	42	21¢	$9	0x1010f2…
10-17 11:23:15	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x062adf…
10-17 10:01:15	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xa9270e…
10-17 05:07:55	Senate control favorite on November 2?	Republican Party	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0x910c5a…
10-17 02:17:03	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	140	18¢	$25	0x96a45d…
10-17 00:54:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x82c75d…
10-17 00:34:59	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xad5f51…
10-17 00:34:15	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	SELL	55	65¢	$36	0x21ffb6…
10-17 00:22:50	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0xf452bd…
10-17 00:22:00	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x1297d1…
10-16 17:22:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x840b4d…
10-16 16:17:15	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	411	8¢	$33	0xb3713a…
10-14 14:55:49	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x97242d…
10-14 14:55:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x6266db…
10-14 14:00:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xb7317f…
10-14 07:28:08	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	Yes	SELL	89	3¢	$3	0xb9d41b…
10-14 05:13:58	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x87240c…