Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$540

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

Trades

275

lifetime

Volume

$4.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$64

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-07

last 10-29 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

52% 81% +$57

Politics

45% 69% +$484

Sports

3% 60% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes		+50	$44	90¢	$45	+$0	10-12 11:41
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+20	$19	97¢	$19	+$0	10-05 21:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	25	$522	345	267	+78	No	+$20	10-04 21:52
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	21	$515	300	300	+0	open	—	09-16 16:55
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	44	$447	850	150	+700	Yes	+$389	10-04 21:55
Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	1	$400	408	0	+408	Yes	+$8	10-12 09:48
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	10	$281	305	76	+230	No	+$73	10-25 23:47
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	10	$275	141	141	+0	Yes	+$3	10-21 14:43
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	6	$217	228	50	+178	Yes	+$10	10-21 07:02
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	13	$212	120	120	+0	open	—	09-17 13:53
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	7	$120	111	35	+76	Yes	+$25	10-26 04:43
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	9	$105	137	20	+117	No	+$18	10-20 07:10
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?	4	$103	110	0	+110	open	—	10-06 12:31
Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	2	$57	62	0	+62	Yes	+$5	10-21 05:42
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?	4	$54	61	0	+61	No	+$7	10-25 09:22
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	4	$50	75	75	+0	Yes	-$32	10-04 21:07
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	2	$45	55	0	+55	No	+$10	10-12 09:42
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	1	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	10-12 11:41
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	3	$41	30	12	+18	open	—	09-14 14:10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$40	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-07 15:59
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	12	$40	170	14	+156	open	—	10-25 14:24
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	2	$36	50	0	+50	open	—	10-09 14:42
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$30	40	0	+40	Yes	+$10	07-07 16:02
Will George Galloway finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	2	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	10-09 00:53
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	09-21 17:07
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	6	$29	140	20	+120	open	—	10-17 14:32
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$29	60	60	+0	open	—	09-24 02:26
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	12	$28	120	0	+120	open	—	10-29 16:33
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on September 25?	3	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	-$10	09-25 08:14
Will Geoffrey Pyatt be the next US Ambassador to Greece?	1	$24	30	0	+30	open	—	10-16 05:13
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$24	93	93	+0	No	-$13	10-04 20:36
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	3	$21	25	0	+25	No	+$4	10-25 22:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:33:50	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x0f17ed…
10-26 04:43:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x2c7cfd…
10-26 00:18:26	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x5e496b…
10-25 23:49:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x81fcaf…
10-25 23:47:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x166022…
10-25 23:43:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x38e7e0…
10-25 23:40:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xc61809…
10-25 23:13:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdf2733…
10-25 23:13:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xb7881f…
10-25 23:00:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x7567aa…
10-25 22:49:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbd2719…
10-25 22:48:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x0b6adb…
10-25 22:47:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0x850310…
10-25 22:43:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x51c443…
10-25 22:32:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x98949b…
10-25 22:23:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	SELL	66	80¢	$53	0xcce31f…
10-25 22:10:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x9bb5d9…
10-25 22:08:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xa31772…
10-25 22:08:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x1bc997…
10-25 22:06:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xaa1579…
10-25 22:06:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xac783e…
10-25 20:44:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xcbcc31…
10-25 14:24:56	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x36af0d…
10-25 09:22:45	Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb46bb4…
10-25 05:59:36	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0xf36e5f…
10-25 05:42:44	Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xcf72d0…
10-22 23:56:48	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xee6c29…
10-22 20:57:32	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x9c2f8d…
10-22 13:09:26	Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4b4ebd…
10-22 00:19:36	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6b482f…
10-22 00:14:57	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0xcb68e2…
10-21 21:43:45	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa79422…
10-21 21:43:45	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x852141…
10-21 21:43:45	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1c478a…
10-21 14:43:36	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe9345e…
10-21 07:13:41	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xdd1e69…
10-21 07:02:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x6ad334…
10-21 05:42:50	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x325c93…
10-21 05:37:45	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfba95b…
10-21 02:33:42	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x806d12…
10-20 21:58:30	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	SELL	140	98¢	$138	0xa9a772…
10-20 15:28:42	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8d5fa0…
10-20 07:10:28	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xbb355a…
10-20 04:47:39	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x34375b…
10-20 04:10:50	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x82321d…
10-20 04:00:12	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf440d3…
10-20 03:35:45	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x938e50…
10-20 02:47:53	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x896264…
10-20 02:02:33	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x352304…
10-19 19:54:17	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x6912d2…
10-19 13:00:45	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x839f1d…
10-19 12:26:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$39	0x3ac8bd…
10-18 13:28:05	Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x88e0bf…
10-18 11:30:47	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x6cbb48…
10-17 14:32:06	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xfc9ae1…
10-17 12:07:11	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x643898…
10-17 09:22:53	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	Yes	BUY	39	17¢	$7	0x1a1ae3…
10-16 12:41:57	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x0ac78c…
10-16 05:13:55	Will Geoffrey Pyatt be the next US Ambassador to Greece?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x60cbd3…
10-15 14:03:47	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x38e0d6…
10-15 14:03:46	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x08bb95…
10-15 14:03:44	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x6a06c4…
10-15 14:03:44	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0x5b4807…
10-14 22:51:36	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x560f33…
10-14 20:38:33	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x295f31…
10-14 20:35:37	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xbc8aae…
10-14 14:20:33	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xd6931f…
10-13 20:04:52	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x8d765b…
10-13 17:40:21	BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. PAOK BC	BC Lietkabelis Panevezys	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x908ba7…
10-12 11:41:12	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x0eaa6a…
10-12 09:48:37	Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	98¢	$400	0x05cb42…
10-12 09:42:52	Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc4fa55…
10-12 09:40:59	Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x9848b0…
10-10 08:10:25	Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbdc729…
10-10 07:58:24	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xcab7d9…
10-09 14:42:34	Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4bb22e…
10-09 02:09:42	Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	BUY	49	73¢	$36	0xb176b7…
10-09 00:53:02	Will George Galloway finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb16378…
10-08 22:12:44	Will Peter Newman finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc95838…
10-08 22:12:41	Will Peter Newman finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xff4c7b…
10-08 05:37:05	Will George Galloway finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x2e34df…
10-07 21:06:49	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc770c5…
10-07 13:23:11	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa709ab…
10-07 13:15:10	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x6a11d7…
10-07 04:43:14	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x15278d…
10-07 04:33:18	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4bbdc3…
10-07 04:33:18	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x340116…
10-06 19:30:44	KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo vs. PAOK BC	KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xfd62a1…
10-06 15:30:05	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x936b79…
10-06 15:30:05	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x80917d…
10-06 15:30:05	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x2dfaa9…
10-06 15:24:06	KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo vs. PAOK BC	KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x6a8fc9…
10-06 12:31:40	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xa238c8…
10-06 05:22:19	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xc331ec…
10-05 21:32:50	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xab9cb6…
10-05 21:32:50	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0d2e87…
10-04 21:55:43	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	140	96¢	$135	0x34448f…
10-04 21:52:17	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x35139a…
10-04 21:51:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	132	99¢	$131	0x6eebff…
10-04 21:08:59	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0xf1f459…