Muffled-Zoologist 0x6d044c…be0e1b
6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$188
Unrealized P&L
+$77
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
62
Trades
491
lifetime
Volume
$10.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$1.58K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 10-29 11:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
58% 41% +$323
Other
22% 24% -$215
Crypto
16% 40% -$58
Sports
3% 100% +$137
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No -263 -$222 58¢ $-154 +$68 09-15 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -146 -$200 92¢ $-134 +$66 09-02 23:45
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +168 $120 51¢ $86 -$34 09-19 04:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -95 -$252 88¢ $-84 +$168 09-20 15:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -71 -$88 96¢ $-68 +$20 08-23 02:46
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -80 -$29 83¢ $-66 -$38 05-26 14:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -64 -$62 97¢ $-62 +$1 08-20 08:12
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +78 $60 76¢ $59 -$1 10-28 10:17
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +388 $90 15¢ $58 -$32 10-19 19:32
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +99 $69 58¢ $58 -$11 10-22 21:22
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes -74 -$44 78¢ $-58 -$13 04-30 15:52
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes -223 -$83 24¢ $-52 +$31 06-04 13:27
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +316 $60 16¢ $52 -$8 10-09 21:33
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +116 $60 44¢ $51 -$9 06-01 23:19
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +95 $60 48¢ $46 -$14 10-17 03:15
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +140 $64 30¢ $41 -$23 09-16 18:47
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +291 $90 13¢ $38 -$52 09-20 09:40
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +573 $43 6¢ $37 -$6 10-18 17:39
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -43 -$20 86¢ $-37 -$16 05-23 21:10
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -121 -$69 30¢ $-36 +$33 06-22 13:46
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +40 $30 88¢ $35 +$5 07-24 23:21
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +487 $60 7¢ $34 -$26 10-08 20:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +115 $30 30¢ $34 +$4 10-21 02:26
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -48 -$21 70¢ $-33 -$12 05-29 19:16
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +86 $30 34¢ $30 $0 10-24 13:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -37 -$20 80¢ $-29 -$9 05-27 17:39
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -40 -$26 66¢ $-27 $0 05-29 19:14
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +143 $30 18¢ $26 -$4 10-21 06:13
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +48 $30 56¢ $26 -$4 05-19 20:15
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +42 $30 57¢ $24 -$6 10-23 00:24