Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$248

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$524

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$30

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-20

last 10-20 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

90% 43% -$248

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes		+1,014	$50	2¢	$19	-$31	10-20 03:18
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No		+19	$10	61¢	$12	+$2	10-20 04:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	6	$110	642	+642	No	-$110	10-20 04:59
Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	5	$94	3,195	+3,195	No	-$94	10-20 04:57
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	2	$70	297	+297	No	-$70	10-20 03:57
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	2	$60	142	+142	Yes	+$21	10-20 05:00
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$50	1,014	+1,014	open	—	10-20 03:18
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	1	$40	49	+49	open	—	10-20 04:07
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	1	$30	40	+40	No	+$10	10-20 04:02
Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	1	$30	35	+35	Yes	+$5	10-20 03:15
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	10-20 04:03
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	1	$10	32	+32	open	—	10-20 04:05
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	1	$10	311	+311	No	-$10	10-20 03:22
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026?	1	$5	543	+543	open	—	10-20 04:01
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	1	$5	76	+76	open	—	10-20 04:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 05:00:15	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0x6c6a8b…
10-20 04:59:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x798ae4…
10-20 04:58:36	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf7ee77…
10-20 04:57:15	Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	407	2¢	$10	0x502d9c…
10-20 04:07:54	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x21d683…
10-20 04:07:38	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xfb60ed…
10-20 04:05:02	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x05c3dd…
10-20 04:03:24	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x400154…
10-20 04:02:42	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x341be4…
10-20 04:01:03	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	543	1¢	$5	0x2d012f…
10-20 03:57:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	205	24¢	$50	0x9da2f9…
10-20 03:54:03	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	108	19¢	$20	0x545fd2…
10-20 03:52:17	Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	809	3¢	$21	0x78ae14…
10-20 03:34:18	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x727156…
10-20 03:33:18	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x181853…
10-20 03:32:53	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0xdcec5f…
10-20 03:32:20	Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	667	3¢	$20	0xe3d4d8…
10-20 03:31:29	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	124	16¢	$20	0x7967eb…
10-20 03:27:39	Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	361	4¢	$13	0x1b6e52…
10-20 03:22:23	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	Yes	BUY	311	3¢	$10	0xc15170…
10-20 03:21:12	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	136	15¢	$20	0xc40176…
10-20 03:20:09	Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	951	3¢	$30	0xf60d20…
10-20 03:18:39	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	468	5¢	$25	0x4d4704…
10-20 03:16:17	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	545	5¢	$25	0x47f711…
10-20 03:15:23	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xd46907…