Famous-Recession — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$541

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,135

lifetime

Volume

$47.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-05 11:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 36% $-391

Sports

10% 0% $-150

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774312800	2	$1.8K	1,213	1,194	+19	open	—	03-24 00:46
btc updown 5m 1774319700	2	$1.3K	958	944	+14	open	—	03-24 02:40
btc updown 5m 1774319400	2	$755	1,570	1,558	+13	open	—	03-24 02:34
btc updown 5m 1774457400	2	$704	772	763	+9	open	—	03-25 16:53
nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	2	$700	1,792	0	+1,792	open	—	03-24 03:20
btc updown 5m 1774460400	2	$676	769	758	+11	open	—	03-25 17:42
fr2 rst bas 2026 04 11 rst	4	$595	460	450	+9	open	—	04-11 14:22
btc updown 5m 1774459500	2	$573	869	862	+7	open	—	03-25 17:29
btc updown 5m 1774297500	2	$538	397	392	+5	open	—	03-23 20:30
btc updown 5m 1774316700	2	$521	602	593	+9	open	—	03-24 01:48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jones	4	$508	358	358	+0	open	—	05-04 13:57
btc updown 5m 1774272300	3	$480	511	504	+7	open	—	03-23 13:27
nba chi nyk 2026 04 03 points og anunoby 16pt5	12	$458	977	0	+977	open	—	04-03 21:31
btc updown 5m 1774317000	1	$450	776	0	+776	open	—	03-24 01:50
btc updown 5m 1775247300	3	$436	393	375	+17	open	—	04-03 20:19
btc updown 5m 1774301700	2	$427	334	330	+4	open	—	03-23 21:41
btc updown 5m 1774316400	2	$409	826	0	+826	open	—	03-24 01:41
btc updown 5m 1774295100	3	$399	364	360	+4	open	—	03-23 19:48
btc updown 5m 1774460700	2	$374	564	555	+9	open	—	03-25 17:47
lal sev mad 2026 04 11 sev	3	$371	284	279	+5	open	—	04-11 20:57
btc updown 5m 1774458000	2	$368	448	442	+6	open	—	03-25 17:03
btc updown 5m 1775838600	5	$352	565	528	+37	open	—	04-10 16:36
btc updown 5m 1774458900	3	$350	1,174	0	+1,174	open	—	03-25 17:17
btc updown 5m 1774319100	2	$350	731	0	+731	open	—	03-24 02:25
btc updown 5m 1774312500	1	$350	604	0	+604	open	—	03-24 00:36
btc updown 5m 1774459200	1	$350	1,171	0	+1,171	open	—	03-25 17:22
btc updown 5m 1774318800	4	$337	1,859	1,850	+9	open	—	03-24 02:24
btc updown 5m 1774298400	2	$335	241	237	+4	open	—	03-23 20:45
btc updown 5m 1774320900	2	$332	1,072	1,062	+11	open	—	03-24 02:59
btc updown 5m 1774455600	3	$325	546	540	+5	open	—	03-25 16:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 11:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xe64111…
05-05 11:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xec8bfe…
05-05 01:59:02	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xb73749…
05-05 01:52:42	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x877d4b…
05-05 01:30:16	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0xd42f67…
05-05 01:26:28	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x84cf0e…
05-05 01:23:32	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x31875a…
05-05 01:19:38	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x1c8cbc…
05-05 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	176	39¢	$69	0x9ee0af…
05-05 01:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xec788f…
05-05 01:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x415c1a…
05-05 01:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xda4274…
05-05 01:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x90d473…
05-05 01:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x5f36eb…
05-05 01:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xefd0c0…
05-05 01:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0x2fd7b1…
05-05 01:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xeb88e9…
05-05 01:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	92	33¢	$30	0x2037fa…
05-05 01:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xdd46be…
05-05 01:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbaf60a…
05-05 01:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x2bb755…
05-05 01:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x31e2d4…
05-05 00:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x462dc1…
05-05 00:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x510cad…
05-05 00:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc753d1…
05-05 00:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x3711f4…
05-05 00:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x116788…
05-05 00:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb75e99…
05-05 00:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe355ae…
05-05 00:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xd275c9…
05-05 00:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x913ceb…
05-05 00:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xd79a36…
05-05 00:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xdbade4…
05-05 00:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x455795…
05-05 00:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	143	36¢	$52	0xd150ff…
05-05 00:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x0f9265…
05-05 00:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0xe72ad9…
05-05 00:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x6af6f3…
05-05 00:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xcee100…
05-05 00:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x74d052…
05-05 00:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x15de15…
05-05 00:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x61490b…
05-05 00:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xad0189…
05-05 00:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x8c3983…
05-05 00:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x47b3cd…
05-05 00:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xbb4604…
05-05 00:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x70223f…
05-05 00:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0d37e7…
05-05 00:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc50a7f…
05-05 00:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x200712…
05-05 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	135	22¢	$30	0xb6263a…
05-05 00:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x55847d…
05-05 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	276	7¢	$20	0x230683…
05-05 00:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xbbfc4e…
05-05 00:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x935fee…
05-05 00:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xa54f1f…
05-05 00:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	101	30¢	$30	0xdea807…
05-05 00:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xb07ccd…
05-04 23:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x57b691…
05-04 23:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x5d5aa5…
05-04 23:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x02780f…
05-04 23:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xfb34b7…
05-04 23:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0xd55346…
05-04 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x5e0f12…
05-04 23:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	150	8¢	$13	0x02dea7…
05-04 23:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x17a77d…
05-04 23:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x20d55f…
05-04 23:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf855b8…
05-04 23:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x4d11ff…
05-04 23:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x909889…
05-04 23:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x34c423…
05-04 23:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xfcd8bd…
05-04 23:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x434b4f…
05-04 23:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa15f5a…
05-04 23:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x68cde0…
05-04 23:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x6f32ac…
05-04 22:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x51ad2c…
05-04 19:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x317bf2…
05-04 19:04:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federico Bondioli vs Emilio Nava	Federico Bondioli	SELL	92	100¢	$91	0xca8545…
05-04 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xb0fc8f…
05-04 18:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x863c2f…
05-04 18:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	137	22¢	$30	0xdfc411…
05-04 18:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0xf3d8c2…
05-04 18:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xefface…
05-04 18:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x064a4a…
05-04 18:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xacee9b…
05-04 18:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x8d753d…
05-04 18:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xec025d…
05-04 18:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x04a907…
05-04 17:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xd9ed73…
05-04 17:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x05f910…
05-04 17:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	264	4¢	$10	0x7532c3…
05-04 17:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x1710de…
05-04 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	195	20¢	$40	0x1f05e0…
05-04 17:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	191	11¢	$21	0x2994c6…
05-04 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf67ba1…
05-04 17:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xe84d31…
05-04 17:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xaa72dd…
05-04 17:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	114	99¢	$112	0x0d73cc…
05-04 17:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xcc6b30…