Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$85

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 10-20 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

89% 51% +$0

Politics

9% 62% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	10-20 19:04
will spy reach 770 in august 2026 from august 29	2	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$1	08-29 19:15
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-20 19:04
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	10-20 19:04
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	-$1	10-20 19:05
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	10-10 19:36
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 06:13
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	09-14 07:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	09-10 07:37
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-11 05:08
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	10-17 15:53
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 01:13
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	10-05 11:36
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-26 07:04
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	10-15 00:09
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-08 00:10
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	10-05 19:37
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-08 17:50
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	09-16 07:44
will nvda dip to 212 by september 14 2026 from september 16	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-16 23:49
spy up or down on september 30 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	09-30 05:11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-08 09:19
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $207 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	10-11 22:49
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	10-11 14:18
will hood dip to 100 by october 12 2026 from october 15	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	10-16 09:22
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	09-27 21:01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	10-08 09:56
Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	09-24 19:12
will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$2	09-25 04:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 19:05:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x27aa3e…
10-20 19:04:41	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xaf68fe…
10-20 19:04:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x9c7249…
10-20 19:04:09	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x5b8daf…
10-19 06:43:35	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x25e5dd…
10-18 22:43:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x009d07…
10-18 13:10:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb971df…
10-17 23:55:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb65e40…
10-17 15:53:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5ba74c…
10-16 09:22:15	will hood dip to 100 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbf8f27…
10-16 01:13:37	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2b3ee3…
10-15 16:10:53	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1d6076…
10-15 08:10:43	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf6b39a…
10-15 00:09:05	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5587b5…
10-14 15:38:48	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe28f69…
10-14 07:31:01	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa991aa…
10-13 23:15:06	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3e355b…
10-11 22:49:09	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $207 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6ea6bd…
10-11 14:18:51	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8aa41b…
10-11 05:09:12	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x56a6fe…
10-10 19:36:37	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xafbaf0…
10-09 15:50:54	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x559da1…
10-09 06:27:34	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x59376d…
10-08 22:27:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa676ca…
10-08 09:56:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x517144…
10-08 00:41:31	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x900f75…
10-07 16:35:53	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x55e3ce…
10-05 19:37:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x486870…
10-05 11:36:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7cf4e6…
10-05 00:53:07	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7ee942…
10-05 00:30:05	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x722277…
10-02 09:29:27	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x092aee…
10-01 18:36:51	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9c44f0…
10-01 08:56:39	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4e404f…
09-30 23:23:18	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdcdbec…
09-30 13:49:14	will abnb reach 162 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb3b1af…
09-30 05:11:48	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd34064…
09-27 21:01:45	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x82af30…
09-27 11:47:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcd4239…
09-27 01:37:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x732d98…
09-26 07:04:39	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7714fa…
09-25 04:19:36	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3cfa7f…
09-24 19:12:17	Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x543970…
09-23 22:42:32	Will BlackBerry say "Headwind" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x57d4a3…
09-23 14:37:08	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x34fd4f…
09-21 06:00:45	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5bec52…
09-20 21:50:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7bcfa9…
09-19 06:13:49	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2ddb32…
09-17 17:36:04	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd5394c…
09-17 07:51:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe4a9f3…
09-16 23:49:09	will nvda dip to 212 by september 14 2026 from september 16	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8f6c9e…
09-16 15:45:53	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x258831…
09-16 07:44:39	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8af064…
09-14 23:34:45	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbffc17…
09-14 15:26:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x211b81…
09-14 07:11:10	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xaa0bb4…
09-14 07:07:55	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2574af…
09-13 23:07:28	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x69bea0…
09-11 05:08:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5a0c6f…
09-10 18:05:42	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe8a114…
09-10 07:37:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x01d6bb…
09-09 22:22:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5812cd…
09-09 12:13:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbfa9c8…
09-08 17:50:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6b53d0…
09-08 09:19:06	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x35e825…
09-08 00:10:03	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9f6821…
09-07 13:20:24	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x095450…
09-02 17:59:07	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xff8983…
09-02 08:31:54	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb45dc4…
09-01 18:11:03	will coin reach 180 by august 31 2026 from september 1	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x831277…
09-01 09:28:15	Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x60e2cf…
09-01 01:07:52	will xagusd dip to 63 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x020764…
09-01 01:07:43	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x19397c…
08-30 03:50:03	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9327a9…
08-29 19:15:01	will spy reach 770 in august 2026 from august 29	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2c6d24…
08-29 19:12:13	will spy reach 770 in august 2026 from august 29	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc85d35…
08-29 09:44:42	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcd0e62…
08-26 12:39:34	spx up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7885f2…
08-26 02:02:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x96a9f3…
08-25 16:41:39	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260824	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe3a431…
08-25 04:30:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5fac3a…
08-24 20:22:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $73 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x043125…
08-24 10:19:15	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0b2dc4…
08-24 02:10:43	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8199eb…
08-23 05:31:10	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x44a1dc…
08-22 15:52:52	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x610bc3…