Realized P&L
+$13.9K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved
165
Trades
3,332
lifetime
Volume
$497.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 03-10 17:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
51%
26%
$-28,574
Politics
45%
22%
+$43,421
Other
4%
0%
$-931
Activity
No trades on file.
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 36 | $109.9K | 151,946 | 151,946 | +0 | Yes | +$9,843 | 02-28 19:54 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 47 | $81.8K | 87,542 | 87,542 | +0 | Yes | +$47,268 | 02-28 06:38 |
| bitcoin up or down march 5 4pm et | 8 | $28.3K | 23,447 | 23,447 | +0 | Down | +$18,549 | 03-05 22:01 |
| will iran strike cyprus in march | 10 | $22.2K | 27,758 | 27,758 | +0 | No | $-4,582 | 03-02 11:54 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323 | 6 | $17.8K | 20,858 | 20,858 | +0 | Yes | $-931 | 03-03 16:52 |
| ethereum up or down february 28 9am et | 21 | $13.0K | 13,334 | 9,212 | +4,122 | Down | +$3,334 | 02-28 14:54 |
| btc updown 5m 1772447100 | 306 | $10.9K | 9,325 | 9,214 | +111 | Up | +$3,988 | 03-02 10:29 |
| bitcoin up or down on march 3 | 45 | $9.6K | 121,777 | 47,796 | +73,981 | Down | +$2,035 | 03-03 16:54 |
| btc updown 15m 1772743500 | 7 | $8.8K | 9,259 | 3,990 | +5,269 | Up | +$3,869 | 03-05 20:58 |
| btc updown 5m 1772454300 | 25 | $7.4K | 4,677 | 4,612 | +65 | Up | +$1,770 | 03-02 12:30 |
| bitcoin up or down march 3 3pm et | 6 | $7.4K | 16,837 | 0 | +16,837 | Down | $-7,388 | 03-03 20:48 |
| btc updown 5m 1772310300 | 11 | $7.2K | 18,007 | 0 | +18,007 | Down | $-7,150 | 02-28 20:27 |
| btc updown 15m 1772750700 | 211 | $6.6K | 7,035 | 6,947 | +88 | Down | +$1,768 | 03-05 22:56 |
| btc updown 5m 1772310600 | 5 | $5.7K | 9,707 | 3,309 | +6,398 | Down | +$6,066 | 02-28 20:31 |
| btc updown 15m 1772313300 | 2 | $5.3K | 14,852 | 0 | +14,852 | Down | $-5,321 | 02-28 21:20 |
| eth updown 5m 1772278800 | 12 | $5.0K | 10,081 | 0 | +10,081 | Down | $-5,033 | 02-28 11:43 |
| us forces enter iran by march 7 | 8 | $4.9K | 65,433 | 0 | +65,433 | No | $-4,900 | 03-06 09:25 |
| btc updown 5m 1771611600 | 260 | $4.6K | 6,266 | 4,123 | +2,143 | Up | +$4,188 | 02-20 18:23 |
| btc updown 5m 1772453400 | 194 | $4.4K | 5,638 | 3,159 | +2,479 | Down | $-566 | 03-02 12:14 |
| btc updown 5m 1772454600 | 536 | $4.4K | 14,565 | 0 | +14,565 | Down | $-4,369 | 03-02 12:31 |
| eth updown 5m 1772453700 | 106 | $4.4K | 22,245 | 0 | +22,245 | Down | $-4,360 | 03-02 12:19 |
| eth updown 5m 1772546400 | 10 | $4.3K | 4,718 | 4,133 | +585 | Up | +$950 | 03-03 14:03 |
| bitcoin up or down on march 6 | 8 | $4.0K | 21,195 | 1,678 | +19,516 | Down | $-2,249 | 03-06 16:01 |
| eth updown 5m 1772310900 | 118 | $4.0K | 8,000 | 0 | +8,000 | Down | $-4,000 | 02-28 20:37 |
| btc updown 5m 1772279100 | 6 | $4.0K | 12,655 | 0 | +12,655 | Up | $-4,000 | 02-28 11:47 |
| eth updown 5m 1772546100 | 15 | $3.7K | 6,104 | 3,341 | +2,763 | Up | +$990 | 03-03 13:59 |
| bitcoin up or down march 5 2pm et | 3 | $3.6K | 2,632 | 2,632 | +0 | Down | +$1,629 | 03-05 20:45 |
| btc updown 5m 1772788500 | 4 | $3.1K | 2,882 | 2,875 | +7 | Up | +$2,556 | 03-06 09:21 |
| eth updown 5m 1772452800 | 182 | $3.1K | 7,303 | 0 | +7,303 | Up | +$4,172 | 03-02 12:03 |
| btc updown 5m 1771610400 | 31 | $3.1K | 3,463 | 3,441 | +23 | Up | +$1,729 | 02-20 18:04 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||