Realized P&L (24h)
+$142
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
1
55 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$177
$317 lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$13
10 positions
First seen
2026-10-19
last 10-26 02:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
68% 100% +$139
Crypto
25% 10% -$36
Other
6% 60% +$7
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +32 $1 18¢ $6 +$5 10-19 06:47
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +11 $2 18¢ $2 $0 10-21 04:39
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +200 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 10-19 06:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +2 $1 41¢ $1 $0 10-21 04:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-19 06:37
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? Yes +88 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-19 06:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? Yes +91 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-19 06:58
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +5 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 10-21 04:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-19 06:36
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +45 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-19 07:00