Flaky-Ignorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$361

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-27 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% $-6

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	8	$18	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$15	19	11	+8	Down	$-5	05-12 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$13	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 18:33
btc updown 5m 1776963600	5	$8	7	5	+2	open	—	04-23 17:04
btc updown 5m 1776966300	6	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 17:50
btc updown 5m 1776972900	5	$6	7	5	+2	open	—	04-23 19:39
btc updown 5m 1776977100	3	$6	10	5	+4	open	—	04-23 20:47
btc updown 5m 1776960000	4	$6	6	5	+0	open	—	04-23 16:04
btc updown 5m 1776962700	5	$6	7	5	+2	open	—	04-23 16:48
btc updown 5m 1776978900	3	$6	6	4	+2	open	—	04-23 21:16
btc updown 5m 1776978300	3	$6	7	4	+3	open	—	04-23 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	5	$5	5	3	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 18:51
btc updown 5m 1776968400	5	$5	5	3	+1	open	—	04-23 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$5	5	4	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 19:26
btc updown 5m 1776977700	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 20:59
btc updown 5m 1776960300	5	$5	63	1	+62	open	—	04-23 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-12 19:15
btc updown 5m 1776973800	4	$5	5	4	+0	open	—	04-23 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 14:42
btc updown 5m 1776965700	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 17:38
btc updown 5m 1776979500	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 21:26
btc updown 5m 1776977400	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-27 07:29
btc updown 5m 1776965400	4	$4	5	2	+3	open	—	04-23 17:34
btc updown 5m 1776976800	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 20:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x31d9a0…
05-27 20:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x33e98d…
05-12 19:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x471672…
05-12 19:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf706da…
05-12 19:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa3f7cc…
05-12 19:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x7a7e62…
05-12 19:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x102fca…
05-12 19:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf10340…
05-12 19:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x877412…
05-12 19:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x17088e…
05-12 19:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb4f59c…
05-12 19:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb35ff7…
05-12 19:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xadd92b…
05-12 19:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfb250f…
05-12 19:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x080dfb…
05-12 19:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd7fc46…
05-12 19:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xa7f3ae…
05-12 19:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x48b708…
05-12 19:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x16df36…
05-12 19:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf5e406…
05-12 19:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x377946…
05-12 19:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x817d6c…
05-12 19:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x72b9b5…
05-12 19:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1e3f91…
05-12 19:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x5d065f…
05-12 19:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x64ca13…
05-12 19:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x171235…
05-12 19:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1868da…
05-12 18:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x7901df…
05-12 18:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbf0aaa…
05-12 18:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x9aba1f…
05-12 18:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x85c3a3…
05-12 18:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee32db…
05-12 18:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xb0d711…
05-12 18:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x78b65a…
05-12 18:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa346f6…
05-12 18:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x4b803f…
05-12 18:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x273e50…
05-12 18:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe2957e…
05-12 18:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x69642d…
05-12 18:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x699393…
05-12 18:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xe8d763…
05-12 18:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf23bc1…
05-12 18:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x7c4a4d…
05-12 18:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x939cb8…
05-12 18:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9da5c5…
05-12 18:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x46d95f…
05-10 15:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe97616…
05-10 15:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd53920…
05-10 15:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x015ae8…
05-10 15:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3dcd66…
05-10 14:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x08fb52…
05-10 14:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x1d5252…
05-10 14:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6e3284…
05-10 14:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xd871e9…
05-10 14:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcb7343…
05-10 14:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x73dfa4…
05-10 14:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x2672a3…
05-10 14:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcf2756…
05-05 11:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x147734…
05-05 11:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x65a479…
04-28 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xbcfe9c…
04-28 18:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdc4826…
04-28 18:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x06e832…
04-28 18:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x4683ee…
04-28 18:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x973163…
04-27 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x93e9ea…
04-27 07:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x42c8e4…
04-27 07:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xcf3499…
04-27 07:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x74ef27…
04-27 07:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xed39b1…
04-27 07:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x40939e…
04-27 07:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa96941…
04-27 07:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8adfd8…
04-27 05:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x09d756…
04-26 09:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7ff05e…
04-26 09:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x792c03…
04-23 21:26:28	btc updown 5m 1776979500	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x6e3822…
04-23 21:25:24	btc updown 5m 1776979500	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x81b06d…
04-23 21:24:00	will reuben bain jr be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x0c33c3…
04-23 21:22:24	btc updown 5m 1776979200	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x5b50d4…
04-23 21:21:38	btc updown 5m 1776979200	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x057c33…
04-23 21:16:36	btc updown 5m 1776978900	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc306c2…
04-23 21:15:56	btc updown 5m 1776978900	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xcf2c96…
04-23 21:15:20	btc updown 5m 1776978900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7c2eda…
04-23 21:11:18	btc updown 5m 1776978600	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x44b98c…
04-23 21:10:20	btc updown 5m 1776978600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x13c309…
04-23 21:09:08	btc updown 5m 1776978300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf1a067…
04-23 21:08:32	btc updown 5m 1776978300	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$3	0xae46fc…
04-23 21:05:24	btc updown 5m 1776978300	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x054b88…
04-23 21:00:24	btc updown 5m 1776978000	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd8fc8b…
04-23 20:59:48	btc updown 5m 1776977700	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xfdec42…
04-23 20:55:54	btc updown 5m 1776977700	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x059119…
04-23 20:51:26	btc updown 5m 1776977400	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x34f38d…
04-23 20:50:38	btc updown 5m 1776977400	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3e8847…
04-23 20:47:32	btc updown 5m 1776977100	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd767a9…
04-23 20:47:04	btc updown 5m 1776977100	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xaa4096…
04-23 20:45:32	btc updown 5m 1776977100	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7496a7…
04-23 20:44:16	btc updown 5m 1776976800	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x39139b…
04-23 20:41:04	btc updown 5m 1776976800	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xac8b0a…