Foolhardy-People — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

164

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$72.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$387

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-05 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

72% 95% +$28,622

Crypto

17% 99% +$6,100

Politics

10% 100% +$7,155

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 9?	2	$13.3K	12,270	12,270	+0	Yes	+$8,835	10-05 14:05
will sports prediction markets be banned in any us state by march 31	2	$10.0K	11,000	11,000	+0	Yes	+$2,750	01-11 11:00
cz binance of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 160 179	2	$8.3K	6,602	6,602	+0	No	+$4,555	03-24 13:09
will donald trump be less than 20 minutes late to the greek independence day event	2	$7.5K	7,612	7,612	+0	No	+$7,155	03-26 14:54
crint nam usa 2026 02 15 toss winner	2	$5.0K	4,902	4,902	+0	USA	+$4,510	02-09 14:32
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?	2	$4.9K	6,300	6,300	+0	No	+$4,095	03-24 13:07
Will Armaan Bhatia / Ting Chieh Wei win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	2	$4.5K	4,528	4,528	+0	No	+$4,392	04-09 14:24
will the us add between 50k and 75k jobs in january	2	$4.1K	5,688	5,688	+0	No	+$1,934	01-11 11:03
crint syc mwi 2026 03 28 team top batter draw	2	$3.8K	3,695	3,649	+46	No	+$3,428	03-24 12:48
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	2	$3.7K	4,405	4,405	+0	No	-$3,216	03-24 12:51
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	2	$3.0K	4,288	4,288	+0	No	+$1,544	01-11 10:49
nflx above 80 on january 16 2026	2	$1.6K	1,540	1,540	+0	Yes	+$1,386	01-11 10:47
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 9	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	02-09 14:42
will the number of us flights delayed on april 10 be less than 4000	2	$291	255	255	+0	No	-$178	04-09 11:12
rusrp wes bru 2026 02 14 wes	2	$264	272	272	+0	No	+$226	02-09 14:28
will the price of solana be less than 60 on february 9	2	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	02-09 14:40
meta close above 660 on january 29 2026	2	$208	200	200	+0	Yes	+$168	01-28 14:07
mlbb cg rort 2026 01 11	2	$150	200	200	+0	Aurora Türkiye	+$66	01-11 10:45
coin up or down on march 27 2026	2	$126	130	123	+7	Down	+$90	03-26 14:37
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?	2	$74	142	142	+0	No	+$60	03-26 14:40
cricpsl mul hyd 2026 04 01 toss winner	2	$60	63	59	+4	Hyderabad Kingsmen	+$56	03-26 14:43
Will Allyce Jones / Julian Arnold win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	2	$34	34	34	+0	No	+$33	04-09 14:12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 1?	2	$23	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-03 10:50
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$17	28	0	+28	Spain	-$17	07-12 13:28
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 8	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-08 14:21
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$13	17	0	+17	France	+$4	07-09 14:28
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$12	13	0	+13	France	+$1	06-30 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 4?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-03 10:50
highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 27c	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-20 00:41
highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 26c	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-16 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 14:07:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,050 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf9cb18…
10-05 14:07:02	will ethereum reach 3000 on october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd6096…
10-05 14:06:55	Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on October 5?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd1cfd3…
10-05 14:06:50	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9973a4…
10-05 14:06:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1b9878…
10-05 14:06:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa4fa4f…
10-05 14:06:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe75347…
10-05 14:06:37	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3f05a5…
10-05 14:06:32	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa9c882…
10-05 14:06:22	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd522b7…
10-05 14:06:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb7fd42…
10-05 14:06:14	bitcoin above 84k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2cd296…
10-05 14:06:11	bitcoin above 82k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc9a2f4…
10-05 14:05:50	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 9?	Yes	SELL	12,270	90¢	$11,043	0x81db44…
10-05 14:03:58	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 9?	Yes	BUY	12,270	18¢	$2,209	0xe06dfd…
07-12 13:28:16	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0xb1e684…
07-09 14:28:16	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0xad088d…
06-30 14:57:40	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x220d49…
05-27 04:14:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on May 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc376b7…
05-17 12:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdb0c68…
05-17 12:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x35b5bc…
05-17 12:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2dc495…
05-17 12:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05acd3…
05-17 12:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5e87d5…
05-07 12:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 8?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x03977c…
05-07 12:31:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xafdcb2…
05-07 12:31:11	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e7017…
05-07 12:31:08	Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1d5aed…
05-07 12:31:04	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x77d9e5…
05-07 12:31:01	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 8?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x99fc7c…
05-03 10:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 4?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x026db4…
05-03 10:50:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xcb9968…
04-30 03:57:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x924416…
04-25 13:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4839b7…
04-25 13:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaeca13…
04-25 13:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc298b8…
04-25 13:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa6954f…
04-25 13:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x918e30…
04-25 13:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a004a…
04-25 13:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9df91…
04-20 00:41:24	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 27c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb56980…
04-16 13:26:52	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 26c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x634d0a…
04-09 14:24:53	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4d5a4…
04-09 14:24:49	ethereum above 2100 on april 9	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbf8071…
04-09 14:24:43	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x573bba…
04-09 14:24:41	ethereum above 2300 on april 9	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb6ea65…
04-09 14:24:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 9	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2afcc5…
04-09 14:24:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 9	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ef0ca…
04-09 14:24:15	Will Armaan Bhatia / Ting Chieh Wei win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	Yes	SELL	4,528	98¢	$4,437	0x459f63…
04-09 14:23:37	Will Armaan Bhatia / Ting Chieh Wei win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	Yes	BUY	4,528	1¢	$45	0xffc5aa…
04-09 14:12:59	Will Allyce Jones / Julian Arnold win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x255344…
04-09 14:12:33	Will Allyce Jones / Julian Arnold win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0xb8e9f9…
04-09 11:12:17	will the number of us flights delayed on april 10 be less than 4000	No	SELL	255	22¢	$56	0x4e0640…
04-09 11:11:49	will the number of us flights delayed on april 10 be less than 4000	No	BUY	255	92¢	$235	0x56ae49…
04-08 14:21:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 8	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7bc94a…
04-08 14:21:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x79341c…
04-08 14:20:31	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4bfe9…
04-08 14:20:25	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on april 8	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6be34b…
04-08 14:20:17	bitcoin above 68k on april 8	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf0435a…
04-08 14:20:11	bitcoin above 74k on april 8	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x051d27…
03-26 14:55:39	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc3d1dc…
03-26 14:54:23	will donald trump be less than 20 minutes late to the greek independence day event	Yes	SELL	7,612	96¢	$7,308	0x4a69ed…
03-26 14:53:19	will donald trump be less than 20 minutes late to the greek independence day event	Yes	BUY	7,612	2¢	$152	0x163c69…
03-26 14:46:47	will meituan have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8241f8…
03-26 14:46:43	will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61e37d…
03-26 14:46:41	will google have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x76a0b0…
03-26 14:46:37	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdeaae7…
03-26 14:46:37	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x911995…
03-26 14:43:11	cricpsl mul hyd 2026 04 01 toss winner	Multan Sultans	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x715b1f…
03-26 14:42:39	cricpsl mul hyd 2026 04 01 toss winner	Multan Sultans	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x9c03f6…
03-26 14:40:13	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	47¢	$67	0x52de48…
03-26 14:39:23	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	5¢	$7	0x0bb83f…
03-26 14:37:47	coin up or down on march 27 2026	Up	SELL	123	88¢	$108	0x03c698…
03-26 14:37:05	coin up or down on march 27 2026	Up	BUY	130	14¢	$18	0xe0c779…
03-24 13:11:49	bitcoin above 74k on march 24	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0162e8…
03-24 13:09:53	cz binance of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 160 179	No	SELL	6,602	97¢	$6,404	0x2022a5…
03-24 13:08:47	cz binance of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 160 179	No	BUY	6,602	28¢	$1,849	0x6b6252…
03-24 13:07:39	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?	Yes	SELL	6,300	71¢	$4,473	0x22bfdb…
03-24 13:06:43	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?	Yes	BUY	6,300	6¢	$378	0xa2029f…
03-24 13:04:19	will xai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdcbda1…
03-24 13:04:17	will openai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x001772…
03-24 13:04:13	will deepseek have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x25fb5f…
03-24 13:04:11	will anthropic have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf98863…
03-24 13:04:07	will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x537d3a…
03-24 13:04:05	will zai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe0a687…
03-24 13:04:03	will moonshot have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9366e4…
03-24 13:04:01	will meituan have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9bd69d…
03-24 13:03:53	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x51d80b…
03-24 13:03:51	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0b6309…
03-24 13:03:49	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa376e9…
03-24 13:03:45	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc26063…
03-24 13:03:37	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a93c0…
03-24 13:03:35	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x42d87f…
03-24 13:03:31	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0374e3…
03-24 13:03:29	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7a86bb…
03-24 13:03:25	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a7618…
03-24 12:51:43	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,405	5¢	$220	0x966dc5…
03-24 12:50:05	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,405	78¢	$3,436	0x8aab6c…
03-24 12:48:19	crint syc mwi 2026 03 28 team top batter draw	Yes	SELL	3,649	99¢	$3,613	0x141eb4…
03-24 12:45:19	crint syc mwi 2026 03 28 team top batter draw	Yes	BUY	3,695	5¢	$185	0x4f8401…