Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$41

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

7.6%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

8,106 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$89.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

11 positions

First seen

2026-07-31

last 10-10 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 95% -$227

Other

24% 6% -$875

Politics

4% 4% -$166

Tech

1% 6% -$27

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 583 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	10-04 17:07
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+1	$2	96¢	$1	-$1	10-04 13:25
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	10-01 13:35
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	96¢	$1	$0	08-07 13:01
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	+1	$1	25¢	$0	-$1	08-05 08:02
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	+1	$0	3¢	$0	$0	10-05 04:53
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$0	4¢	$0	$0	10-02 15:41
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+0	$1	98¢	$0	-$1	08-01 04:36
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	+0	$0	4¢	$0	$0	10-04 00:53
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	+0	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	08-06 14:52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-01 19:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	16	$442	302	301	+1	Yes	-$4	10-05 13:33
wti closes above 90 on october 2 2026	9	$272	200	199	+1	Yes	-$3	10-02 06:09
Will David Liu win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	10	$269	210	210	+0	No	-$3	10-07 02:53
wti closes above 92 on october 2 2026	6	$260	150	150	+0	No	-$4	10-02 09:05
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	12	$259	162	161	+1	Yes	+$1	08-07 15:41
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on October 5?	15	$239	270	269	+1	Yes	-$5	10-05 08:37
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	10	$213	209	208	+1	No	-$1	10-06 14:23
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	25	$206	216	215	+1	No	-$2	08-04 20:05
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	20	$199	180	180	+0	Yes	-$8	08-05 03:27
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of September 28 2026?	9	$190	149	148	+1	Yes	+$4	10-01 13:35
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	13	$180	147	145	+2	Yes	-$2	10-04 18:25
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	6	$178	150	150	+0	Yes	-$5	10-05 14:11
saudi troops enter taiz governorate by october 31 2026	7	$170	127	126	+1	open	—	10-03 05:59
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	6	$167	100	99	+1	open	—	10-04 17:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	4	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	10-04 05:47
Will Arkansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?	8	$167	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	10-02 09:51
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	6	$166	100	99	+1	Yes	-$6	10-03 18:19
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	6	$165	100	100	+0	open	—	10-01 18:45
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?	5	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	10-02 03:44
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of November 2026?	5	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	10-03 21:33
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire?	4	$161	100	100	+0	No	-$11	10-04 13:15
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	15	$161	120	120	+0	No	-$1	08-06 11:14
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	11	$158	130	130	+0	Yes	-$4	08-08 10:54
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	9	$155	123	122	+1	No	$0	08-07 18:57
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	7	$149	130	130	+0	open	—	10-02 16:27
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	12	$144	186	186	+0	Yes	-$6	10-02 10:15
will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 35m at auction 20260804173205865	4	$142	100	100	+0	No	-$4	08-07 04:22
Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?	7	$142	100	100	+0	No	-$14	08-08 00:39
Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	8	$133	78	77	+1	No	+$0	10-04 18:25
will tony score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107432	13	$133	176	176	+0	Yes	-$12	08-07 05:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 01:42:35	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.5B?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x03c4a2…
10-10 01:41:37	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe1842b…
10-10 00:52:37	Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x137f8c…
10-10 00:51:47	Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x145b23…
10-10 00:06:35	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xb92e50…
10-10 00:06:22	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x66e61f…
10-09 22:34:35	Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x15565b…
10-09 09:36:36	Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x991a00…
10-09 09:35:54	Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf6b1c2…
10-09 09:30:34	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xec4801…
10-09 09:29:28	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x8d4d74…
10-09 09:29:27	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc9c47c…
10-09 08:46:36	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x29fc6f…
10-09 08:46:16	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x1b00aa…
10-09 08:32:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x910b75…
10-09 08:32:01	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x81a657…
10-09 08:06:36	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x64e90b…
10-09 08:04:27	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x198cd2…
10-09 07:32:37	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x142231…
10-09 07:32:36	will ewy reach 180 in october 2026	No	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x11013e…
10-09 07:31:31	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$13	0xdb5e35…
10-09 07:30:30	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 in October?	No	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x5b47e2…
10-09 06:58:34	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe62312…
10-09 06:58:01	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x65b4fb…
10-09 06:05:13	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xdfd78d…
10-09 06:04:23	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x513dd0…
10-09 06:03:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x6d77f4…
10-09 06:03:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x20e05b…
10-09 06:02:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xf4d587…
10-09 04:37:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xdfbd49…
10-09 04:35:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x318d57…
10-09 04:01:12	Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x01c51e…
10-09 03:59:18	Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2fd9ee…
10-09 03:59:12	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x562ba4…
10-09 03:57:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x6cb73b…
10-09 03:47:12	wti closes above 88 on october 9 2026	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x3e3d75…
10-09 03:45:32	wti closes above 88 on october 9 2026	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf56e4d…
10-09 03:39:12	Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xda1dde…
10-09 03:37:08	Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf31d1a…
10-09 03:17:12	Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xe4ce9a…
10-09 03:15:08	Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x46ce4d…
10-09 02:31:12	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x8bb1bb…
10-09 02:29:39	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5c3580…
10-09 00:55:12	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x0d83fc…
10-09 00:53:12	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	18	87¢	$16	0xce4a48…
10-09 00:53:00	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x19e216…
10-08 19:01:12	gemini argon released by october 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x26a187…
10-08 18:59:15	Gemini Argon released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x7e04bb…
10-08 18:51:12	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf5cf7c…
10-08 18:50:30	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x44f249…
10-08 18:15:12	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x1fdfa0…
10-08 18:13:45	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x10c3f9…
10-08 18:13:12	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x7df889…
10-08 18:12:18	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x894ded…
10-08 17:11:12	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x850aa5…
10-08 17:09:50	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa4e369…
10-08 17:09:14	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xc6dbca…
10-08 17:07:48	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xab2f2d…
10-08 16:57:14	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x1678f6…
10-08 16:56:47	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x1ee7f0…
10-08 16:17:15	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x6504ae…
10-08 16:16:38	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x0c51c2…
10-08 16:13:12	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x5378a4…
10-08 16:12:15	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x7b06b9…
10-08 16:11:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x18d24d…
10-08 16:10:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xdb16c0…
10-08 16:09:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x217a8e…
10-08 16:08:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xe2bff1…
10-08 15:35:12	Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x8b064a…
10-08 15:33:38	Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x50ba31…
10-08 15:27:14	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x1c8b29…
10-08 15:25:35	gemini 4pt0 released by october 23 2026	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xca1e5d…
10-08 15:09:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x7fec3f…
10-08 15:07:47	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x02224e…
10-08 14:31:14	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x16aa68…
10-08 14:29:48	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xd6c385…
10-08 14:17:15	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xc7b034…
10-08 14:15:12	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x6a6ecc…
10-08 14:14:05	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa0c421…
10-08 14:05:14	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xd66416…
10-08 14:04:39	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xfa90b1…
10-08 13:57:14	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xeeccba…
10-08 13:56:29	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x03dd5b…
10-08 13:19:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x6d6bed…
10-08 13:19:12	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x3b0077…
10-08 13:18:57	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xed537c…
10-08 13:17:17	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x814610…
10-08 13:17:15	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xb0f2b6…
10-08 13:17:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x33110e…
10-08 13:16:06	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x998d8c…
10-08 13:15:18	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x6239c5…
10-08 13:15:14	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x4d07b9…
10-08 13:13:12	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xb7572f…
10-08 13:11:53	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x8b3c0a…
10-08 12:49:14	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x376ef2…
10-08 12:48:48	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x8ae0b5…
10-08 12:48:48	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x60d7ac…
10-08 11:05:12	Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Masoud Pezeshkian in Turkmenistan?	No	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x0c89db…
10-08 11:03:12	Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Masoud Pezeshkian in Turkmenistan?	No	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x41105f…
10-08 11:01:57	Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Masoud Pezeshkian in Turkmenistan?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe1fc10…