Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

-$37

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

382

lifetime

Volume

$52.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$137

Open exposure

$195

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-15 13:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-70

Politics

30% — —

Crypto

5% 100% +$32

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-394	$-158	50¢	$-195	$-37	06-15 13:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	9	$1.9K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	04-11 18:52
will microsoft be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 327	7	$1.6K	1,420	1,193	+227	open	—	01-31 05:17
hezbollah strike on israel by february 28	5	$1.6K	894	894	+0	open	—	02-09 23:48
will gerb sds win between 55 59 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	3	$1.6K	958	958	+0	open	—	03-31 08:31
will khamenei tweet again on march 21 2026 649 572	2	$1.3K	1,465	0	+1,465	open	—	03-21 00:39
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 20 in february 158	7	$1.3K	1,069	1,069	+0	open	—	02-05 23:53
will steve toth be the republican nominee for tx 02	4	$1.2K	760	760	+0	open	—	02-22 10:58
andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 100 129	4	$1.2K	764	764	+0	open	—	02-20 18:51
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	5	$1.1K	719	719	+0	open	—	02-17 18:27
will threads be the 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	3	$1.1K	770	770	+0	open	—	02-03 23:18
will albin kurti be the next prime minister of kosovo	6	$1.1K	988	786	+202	open	—	02-11 16:57
spl qad ett 2025 12 19 draw	5	$1.1K	736	736	+0	open	—	02-18 19:16
khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 0 19	2	$951	857	857	+0	open	—	03-19 06:49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$925	898	898	+0	open	—	02-05 00:24
lal lev vil 2025 12 14 spread away 1pt5	1	$883	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	02-16 01:59
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$870	712	712	+0	No	$-70	04-21 08:40
will frankenstein win best production design at the 2026 bafta awards	2	$832	544	544	+0	open	—	02-22 05:47
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 215 239	3	$815	410	410	+0	open	—	02-20 13:02
arg gim aaj 2026 03 08 total 1pt5	1	$776	872	0	+872	open	—	04-13 01:44
elc cha por 2025 12 06 por	2	$765	510	510	+0	open	—	02-12 20:33
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	2	$718	897	897	+0	open	—	03-31 02:33
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	4	$707	544	544	+0	open	—	04-27 09:45
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$703	799	799	+0	Yes	+$32	03-30 15:59
will bitcoin outperform silver in february 2026	3	$687	455	455	+0	open	—	02-12 04:42
elc por ips 2026 01 04 por	2	$632	436	436	+0	open	—	02-27 08:30
will trump post paper tiger on truth social this week	1	$632	1,149	0	+1,149	open	—	04-08 04:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	9	$628	931	931	+0	open	—	02-27 08:23
will israel or the us target tehran 812	3	$624	385	385	+0	open	—	02-06 06:10
euroleague olympiac fenerbah 2025 12 04	4	$577	1,148	0	+1,148	open	—	02-18 06:50
will artemis ii launch by march 31	3	$575	366	366	+0	open	—	02-02 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:45:06	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	394	40¢	$158	0x56d738…
04-27 09:45:18	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xd12893…
04-27 09:45:06	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	539	59¢	$318	0xab228c…
04-24 04:43:04	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x4e0299…
04-24 04:42:42	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	530	71¢	$376	0x2a0a87…
04-21 08:40:22	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	386	56¢	$216	0x8d7f8f…
04-21 08:40:10	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	310	56¢	$174	0x0f8caf…
04-13 16:51:45	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 14 2026	No	SELL	356	10¢	$36	0x958054…
04-13 16:38:37	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	310	13¢	$40	0x1c250e…
04-13 16:16:31	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x91d8f8…
04-13 11:58:13	will trump post ag or attorney general this week on truth social	Yes	BUY	828	57¢	$472	0x422a7d…
04-13 11:57:57	will trump post ag or attorney general this week on truth social	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x24891b…
04-13 11:40:39	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	21¢	$65	0xea0e53…
04-13 11:19:15	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 14 2026	No	BUY	356	43¢	$153	0x779a0d…
04-13 10:59:09	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	712	66¢	$470	0x241b40…
04-13 01:44:07	arg gim aaj 2026 03 08 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	872	89¢	$776	0x416431…
04-13 00:21:29	will starmer say war during the next prime ministers questions event 878	No	BUY	697	19¢	$136	0x578edf…
04-11 18:52:33	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	412	76¢	$313	0xa8e6ca…
04-11 18:52:17	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	327	76¢	$249	0x4db764…
04-11 08:20:43	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x0829b7…
04-11 00:33:21	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	301	74¢	$223	0xa6b0e1…
04-11 00:33:01	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	448	74¢	$332	0xb16759…
04-09 14:51:15	bra2 pop vln 2026 04 11 pop	No	SELL	122	66¢	$81	0xa87d58…
04-09 14:50:07	bra2 pop vln 2026 04 11 pop	No	SELL	128	66¢	$84	0xa2bc77…
04-09 14:15:45	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	227	75¢	$170	0xf99599…
04-09 14:15:29	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	274	75¢	$206	0x081d90…
04-09 14:10:39	will pacto histrico win 24 26 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 354 836	No	SELL	233	3¢	$6	0xf525c1…
04-09 14:09:41	will pacto histrico win 24 26 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 354 836	No	SELL	265	3¢	$7	0x21b9df…
04-09 14:08:55	will pacto histrico win 24 26 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 354 836	No	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x6deda5…
04-09 04:58:25	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	162	75¢	$122	0xcd1673…
04-09 04:58:13	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	339	75¢	$254	0xf6cd9d…
04-09 03:49:27	sidemen charity match 2026 winner	Sidemen FC	BUY	803	45¢	$361	0xee2091…
04-08 06:40:39	will pacto histrico win 24 26 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 354 836	No	BUY	520	59¢	$308	0xe5231c…
04-08 04:10:01	will trump post paper tiger on truth social this week	No	BUY	1,149	55¢	$632	0xc2c385…
03-31 08:31:01	will gerb sds win between 55 59 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	267	82¢	$219	0x0d2004…
03-31 08:29:35	will gerb sds win between 55 59 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	691	82¢	$567	0xea164c…
03-31 07:59:19	bra2 pop vln 2026 04 11 pop	No	SELL	162	62¢	$100	0xcd8f21…
03-31 02:33:11	Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	Yes	SELL	897	43¢	$386	0xdd1465…
03-31 01:45:35	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	468	40¢	$187	0x3408da…
03-31 01:45:19	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	212	40¢	$85	0x3d1d23…
03-30 15:59:23	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	763	46¢	$351	0x4ac581…
03-30 15:59:13	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	36	46¢	$17	0xe80f5e…
03-30 09:42:04	bra2 pop vln 2026 04 11 pop	No	BUY	412	63¢	$260	0xc77130…
03-30 07:45:06	Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	897	37¢	$332	0xc9b1a3…
03-30 06:28:28	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x1df1f3…
03-30 06:28:08	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	763	42¢	$320	0xdb3081…
03-30 04:11:16	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	680	33¢	$224	0x2f8ec9…
03-30 00:26:52	will gerb sds win between 55 59 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	958	83¢	$795	0x0366ab…
03-26 03:46:21	Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	Yes	SELL	158	12¢	$19	0x12e854…
03-23 06:56:03	Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	Yes	BUY	158	32¢	$51	0x2bb158…
03-22 07:12:49	mex que jua 2026 02 22 draw	Yes	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0x9e1646…
03-21 00:39:27	will khamenei tweet again on march 21 2026 649 572	Yes	BUY	768	91¢	$699	0xced065…
03-21 00:39:05	will khamenei tweet again on march 21 2026 649 572	Yes	BUY	697	91¢	$634	0xa5ad00…
03-19 06:49:53	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 0 19	Yes	SELL	857	31¢	$266	0x46ae13…
03-18 05:34:55	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 0 19	Yes	BUY	857	80¢	$686	0x5ea0fd…
03-18 03:43:27	mex que jua 2026 02 22 draw	Yes	BUY	54	33¢	$18	0xd93fd6…
03-16 07:57:07	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	235	75¢	$176	0xb139eb…
03-16 07:56:55	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	79	75¢	$59	0xe381e2…
03-14 07:01:59	will democrats 66 d66 win the most seats in amsterdams 2026 municipal election	Yes	BUY	259	34¢	$88	0x7c6f04…
03-14 07:01:35	will democrats 66 d66 win the most seats in amsterdams 2026 municipal election	Yes	BUY	476	34¢	$162	0xf4d3ba…
03-11 04:42:51	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in march 2026	Yes	SELL	392	21¢	$82	0xe6306b…
03-06 08:23:53	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	392	13¢	$51	0x5a8808…
03-06 05:16:33	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	314	25¢	$78	0x8f6caf…
02-28 16:32:51	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 28 be between 2200000 and 2400000	No	SELL	532	31¢	$165	0x261f77…
02-28 01:54:31	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x7572ae…
02-28 01:49:23	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 28 be between 2200000 and 2400000	No	BUY	532	39¢	$207	0x7abb4a…
02-27 22:47:17	will generate biomedicines market cap be between 2pt2b and 2pt3b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	205	100¢	$204	0x90dfa9…
02-27 14:41:09	will generate biomedicines market cap be between 2pt2b and 2pt3b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	42	83¢	$35	0x0d2709…
02-27 11:29:45	will generate biomedicines market cap be between 2pt2b and 2pt3b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	247	83¢	$205	0x22c58d…
02-27 08:42:47	will trump say china in corpus christi on friday 795 482	No	SELL	193	21¢	$41	0xadea37…
02-27 08:30:29	elc por ips 2026 01 04 por	No	SELL	436	61¢	$266	0x7cdfac…
02-27 08:23:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	14¢	$6	0x719689…
02-27 08:22:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	14¢	$10	0x22f6c1…
02-27 08:22:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	560	14¢	$78	0x7aa74a…
02-27 08:06:19	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	150	50¢	$75	0xd3a4c3…
02-27 08:06:07	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	309	50¢	$154	0x7c263d…
02-27 07:15:27	elc por ips 2026 01 04 por	No	BUY	436	84¢	$366	0x0dcddb…
02-27 07:05:07	will trump say china in corpus christi on friday 795 482	No	BUY	193	20¢	$39	0x835d70…
02-27 06:32:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	458	13¢	$60	0xdec8cc…
02-27 06:32:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	13¢	$19	0x0e38f0…
02-27 06:32:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	13¢	$9	0x1a3f2c…
02-27 01:43:52	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	459	44¢	$202	0x6a5636…
02-26 11:37:58	will there be 1 nyt banner headline by february 28	No	SELL	101	21¢	$21	0x594517…
02-26 10:19:18	will there be 1 nyt banner headline by february 28	No	BUY	129	26¢	$34	0xff7f29…
02-26 04:55:48	up only podcast released by february 28 2026	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x40aeb4…
02-25 12:22:56	Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	SELL	109	84¢	$92	0x9f0290…
02-25 12:22:42	Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	SELL	94	84¢	$79	0xd1c24d…
02-25 03:29:40	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	545	13¢	$71	0x2bc4c5…
02-25 01:23:58	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	545	11¢	$60	0x8a8c9c…
02-24 23:33:20	will the us next strike iran on march 18 2026 et	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xf37b06…
02-24 23:33:08	will the us next strike iran on march 18 2026 et	Yes	SELL	385	1¢	$4	0x21740b…
02-24 23:31:42	will the us next strike iran on march 18 2026 et	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x8b857c…
02-24 20:13:00	spl haz ith 2025 12 20 ith	Yes	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0x2c075f…
02-24 19:40:06	will john candy i like me win best producer of a tv movie at the 37th pga awards	Yes	SELL	469	29¢	$136	0x96bbdb…
02-24 19:40:06	will benicio del toro win best supporting actor in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	270	23¢	$62	0x93e4ea…
02-24 19:36:24	will the us next strike iran on march 18 2026 et	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xff99cf…
02-24 02:44:54	will john candy i like me win best producer of a tv movie at the 37th pga awards	Yes	BUY	469	18¢	$84	0x445633…
02-24 02:43:44	will the us next strike iran on march 18 2026 et	Yes	BUY	518	1¢	$6	0xe0e614…
02-24 01:03:44	spl haz ith 2025 12 20 ith	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x3d9c66…
02-23 18:51:36	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 24 be less than 2100000	No	SELL	136	9¢	$12	0xdba8bc…