Few-Craftsman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$262

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

329

Trades

3,745

lifetime

Volume

$9.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-25

last 06-10 07:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 60% +$292

Other

7% 60% -$29

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-10).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No		+29	$19	27¢	$8	-$11	06-04 23:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	56	$348	392	392	+0	Up	-$54	05-26 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	28	$278	163	163	+0	Down	+$26	05-26 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	29	$228	134	134	+0	Up	+$21	05-26 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	17	$219	170	100	+70	Down	+$18	05-26 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	21	$188	111	111	+0	Up	+$21	05-26 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	60	$186	168	55	+113	Down	+$30	05-26 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	62	$181	169	169	+0	Down	+$5	05-26 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	47	$180	162	46	+116	Up	-$96	05-26 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	20	$176	120	89	+31	Up	+$6	05-26 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	38	$166	204	9	+196	Down	+$44	05-26 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	54	$164	125	125	+0	Down	+$5	05-26 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	18	$133	95	80	+15	Up	+$7	05-26 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	52	$131	117	44	+73	Down	+$24	05-26 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	58	$127	123	48	+74	Up	-$43	05-26 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	14	$125	89	88	+0	Down	-$3	05-26 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	29	$119	143	0	+143	Down	+$24	05-26 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	36	$114	112	41	+72	Down	-$5	05-26 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	18	$113	132	0	+132	Down	+$20	05-26 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	15	$110	64	64	+0	Up	+$9	05-26 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	36	$109	115	14	+101	Down	+$19	05-26 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	27	$103	99	34	+66	Up	+$17	05-26 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	36	$101	105	69	+36	Down	+$28	05-26 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	34	$100	182	70	+112	Up	+$105	05-26 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	38	$98	109	54	+55	Down	+$27	05-26 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	47	$94	189	165	+24	Up	+$19	05-26 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	63	$94	127	66	+60	Up	-$38	05-26 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	29	$90	130	25	+106	Up	+$27	05-26 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	77	$88	102	62	+40	Up	+$0	05-26 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	35	$87	91	24	+66	Down	+$20	05-26 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 28?	19	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	05-28 23:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 07:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x73fb22…
06-10 04:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0xd2cf85…
06-10 03:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2bda41…
06-09 23:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0x81fb99…
06-09 10:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 9?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x93adcf…
06-09 09:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 9?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x716dc1…
06-09 08:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x32c2ea…
06-09 08:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x647411…
06-09 08:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd4c75c…
06-09 08:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb1654e…
06-09 08:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x7d7a4e…
06-09 08:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x399039…
06-09 07:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xf8b71e…
06-09 07:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xc9ea4d…
06-09 07:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xc7e759…
06-09 07:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x6eb63d…
06-09 07:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x66fd27…
06-09 07:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x7560bf…
06-09 06:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x9177e8…
06-09 06:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xe5cbbc…
06-09 02:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd763f2…
06-09 02:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x970bf3…
06-09 01:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x685e8b…
06-09 01:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xa5596a…
06-09 01:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x4d72a6…
06-09 01:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x41b2d1…
06-09 01:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x340bfb…
06-09 01:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xde6d72…
06-08 08:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x197c98…
06-08 07:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xd60d55…
06-08 05:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3554c6…
06-08 05:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0x1e1d7f…
06-08 05:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xbf4092…
06-08 05:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x90ec8e…
06-08 05:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x50048f…
06-08 05:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	76	6¢	$5	0xf3d69b…
06-08 04:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xe75f66…
06-08 04:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x7dded7…
06-08 01:28:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on June 5?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xfb574d…
06-05 12:01:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x973853…
06-05 07:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xe9f946…
06-05 07:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xe2b5aa…
06-05 07:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xea0bb0…
06-05 07:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xe18e41…
06-05 07:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xb5734b…
06-05 07:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xa582fb…
06-05 07:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x8f72a8…
06-05 07:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x988f2c…
06-05 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xc1c15d…
06-05 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xae0de7…
06-05 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xaca36f…
06-05 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x8f5c8e…
06-05 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x6f3569…
06-05 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x580096…
06-05 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x324af9…
06-05 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x1df7f5…
06-05 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x08e70f…
06-05 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x05767c…
06-05 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x021e3e…
06-05 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xead7f3…
06-05 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xa9f8ae…
06-05 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x8d4e5d…
06-05 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x41972e…
06-05 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x30befd…
06-05 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x2dba06…
06-05 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x0b3471…
06-05 07:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x2695b8…
06-05 07:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xebda0a…
06-05 07:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xb9e38f…
06-05 07:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x8717d0…
06-05 07:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x598496…
06-05 07:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xd98554…
06-05 07:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x14b105…
06-05 07:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xec5552…
06-05 05:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x965934…
06-05 05:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x33ec58…
06-05 05:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x2a6506…
06-05 05:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x260da8…
06-05 05:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xed83d4…
06-05 05:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xf08872…
06-05 05:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?	Yes	BUY	24	23¢	$5	0x1b73c9…
06-05 05:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xc6ab95…
06-05 05:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xfa5fed…
06-05 05:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xe9b5c6…
06-05 05:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xfed891…
06-05 05:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xe51cdd…
06-05 05:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x840756…
06-05 05:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x3efaeb…
06-05 05:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x2aefd5…
06-05 05:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x0bb9c7…
06-05 05:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xa435df…
06-05 05:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x98a1a3…
06-04 23:22:34	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x66bae2…
06-04 06:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xe3e7c1…
06-04 06:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x8667b0…
06-04 06:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd0c0a2…
06-04 06:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x84dad7…
06-04 04:10:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on June 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x597b54…
06-04 04:10:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 4?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe02451…
06-04 00:48:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 4?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfe0fb6…