Original-Probe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,172

lifetime

Volume

$22.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-06 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1775028600	2	$22	24	+24	open	—	04-01 07:45
xrp updown 15m 1775133000	2	$22	24	+24	open	—	04-02 12:44
sol updown 15m 1775119500	2	$21	24	+24	open	—	04-02 08:59
sol updown 15m 1775077200	2	$21	24	+24	open	—	04-01 21:14
eth updown 15m 1775161800	2	$21	24	+24	open	—	04-02 20:44
sol updown 15m 1775072700	2	$20	24	+24	open	—	04-01 19:59
eth updown 15m 1775169900	2	$20	24	+24	open	—	04-02 23:00
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-29 13:58
sol updown 15m 1775096100	2	$20	24	+24	open	—	04-02 02:29
sol updown 15m 1775145600	2	$18	24	+24	open	—	04-02 16:14
btc updown 15m 1775051100	2	$18	24	+24	open	—	04-01 13:59
sol updown 15m 1775159100	2	$18	24	+24	open	—	04-02 19:59
btc updown 15m 1775032200	2	$18	24	+24	open	—	04-01 08:43
eth updown 15m 1775164500	2	$17	24	+24	open	—	04-02 21:29
sol updown 15m 1775086200	2	$17	24	+24	open	—	04-01 23:44
eth updown 15m 1775142000	2	$17	24	+24	open	—	04-02 15:14
sol updown 15m 1775088000	2	$17	24	+24	open	—	04-02 00:14
eth updown 15m 1775146500	2	$16	24	+24	open	—	04-02 16:29
xrp updown 15m 1775167200	2	$14	24	+24	open	—	04-02 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$13	20	+20	open	—	05-04 02:04
btc updown 5m 1776264000	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-15 14:45
eth updown 5m 1776468600	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-17 23:35
eth updown 5m 1776622500	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-19 18:20
xrp updown 5m 1776531000	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-18 16:55
eth updown 5m 1776436800	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-17 14:45
eth updown 5m 1776619200	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-19 17:25
btc updown 5m 1776307800	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-16 02:54
xrp updown 5m 1776465300	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-17 22:40
sol updown 5m 1776483000	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-18 03:35
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-26 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 19:08:55	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4dc457…
05-06 19:08:55	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x176187…
05-06 19:08:53	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcc3437…
05-06 19:08:53	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8c50ae…
05-06 18:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6b45be…
05-06 18:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf96d88…
05-06 16:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbcb801…
05-06 16:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x0b9204…
05-06 15:45:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x60480e…
05-06 15:45:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x113760…
05-06 14:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa8815a…
05-06 14:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6d8824…
05-06 14:08:54	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4fec23…
05-06 14:08:54	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0d6dcc…
05-06 14:08:50	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb59b70…
05-06 14:08:50	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x462c5c…
05-06 13:50:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd167f2…
05-06 13:50:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcefcaf…
05-06 13:50:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xaf33c8…
05-06 13:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6dc6e6…
05-06 13:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x045531…
05-06 13:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7c71a9…
05-06 13:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3b6589…
05-06 12:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf7dcfe…
05-06 12:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3f1feb…
05-06 09:41:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x1e813c…
05-06 09:41:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x16330b…
05-06 09:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbcf9aa…
05-06 09:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x20f1a1…
05-06 08:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xecd377…
05-06 08:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe6b637…
05-06 08:39:02	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x12f9f9…
05-06 04:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd4389f…
05-06 04:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x1c25f0…
05-06 04:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2b4d10…
05-06 04:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1bd655…
05-06 04:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7affe0…
05-06 04:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x60e852…
05-05 22:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1b52de…
05-05 22:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1d2c29…
05-05 20:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xdf12e5…
05-05 20:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x22115c…
05-05 14:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3aa72b…
05-05 14:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x09b994…
05-05 14:20:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8e568a…
05-05 14:20:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x392605…
05-05 14:19:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x96624a…
05-05 14:19:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x20804a…
05-05 14:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x187d81…
05-05 14:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x49c72a…
05-05 14:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x698e8d…
05-05 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x06ebf9…
05-05 14:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc1094f…
05-05 13:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd49306…
05-05 13:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc2ae66…
05-05 11:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf46cbc…
05-05 11:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x419c48…
05-05 11:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd31dc8…
05-05 11:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x32fdc0…
05-05 07:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4b7488…
05-05 07:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2a4ada…
05-05 06:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x753669…
05-05 06:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x29ae23…
05-05 06:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfbda77…
05-05 05:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa4ca6e…
05-05 05:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8979da…
05-05 05:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbb43d2…
05-05 05:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb235b0…
05-04 23:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x722c04…
05-04 23:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x71c267…
05-04 22:29:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd942fe…
05-04 22:29:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xca86d1…
05-04 17:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe2821b…
05-04 17:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2c25e5…
05-04 17:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x92bc0f…
05-04 17:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb8c47b…
05-04 16:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdbb46c…
05-04 16:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcf299a…
05-04 16:39:06	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xee9c4e…
05-04 16:39:06	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc6e6e1…
05-04 16:03:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x91f437…
05-04 16:03:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0815d8…
05-04 15:53:54	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa0b517…
05-04 15:53:54	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x627e36…
05-04 15:44:08	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb1116e…
05-04 15:44:06	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xae3c3f…
05-04 15:38:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xb9d439…
05-04 15:38:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x829f18…
05-04 15:38:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1292b8…
05-04 15:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf32322…
05-04 15:38:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xab568e…
05-04 15:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x684932…
05-04 15:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5c2737…
05-04 15:34:22	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcea1df…
05-04 15:34:22	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3dfc5b…
05-04 15:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbdc550…
05-04 15:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x58264c…
05-04 15:24:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xab0629…
05-04 15:24:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0e7efd…
05-04 15:24:12	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xcce425…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	924	$675	3,432	05-04 02:04
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	895	$259.7K	17,819	05-04 02:03
(anonymous) 0x7da0…6be2	861	$8.51K	14,532	04-23 04:00
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	850	$136.8K	10,268	05-04 02:04
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	817	$19.7K	2,105	04-29 13:50
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	786	$18.9K	2,006	05-04 02:03
Loud-Township 0x5c46…753d	773	$101.0K	17,947	04-29 13:55
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	766	$963	2,507	04-26 10:45