Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$400

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

129

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$3.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$174

6 positions

First seen

2026-07-03

last 11-08 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

71% 28% -$329

Sports

18% 33% -$60

Politics

10% 50% -$7

Crypto

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+6,120	$108	1¢	$89	-$19	10-22 06:07
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	+91	$34	49¢	$44	+$10	09-06 15:04
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+164	$25	12¢	$20	-$4	09-06 15:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+62	$16	22¢	$14	-$2	10-30 11:44
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+104	$14	5¢	$5	-$9	07-25 11:00
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$10	2¢	$2	-$8	07-05 12:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	3	$189	136	136	+0	Yes	+$73	10-20 09:49
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$153	282	282	+0	Yes	-$11	07-19 04:15
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	8	$144	7,311	1,190	+6,120	open	—	10-22 06:07
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$125	207	207	+0	No	+$44	07-18 22:16
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts first half	2	$103	87	87	+0	Yes	+$70	07-10 21:00
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	2	$80	56	56	+0	Argentina	+$30	07-15 21:14
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts first half	2	$72	62	62	+0	Yes	+$52	07-06 02:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$71	113	113	+0	open	—	11-05 20:01
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$67	184	184	+0	Yes	+$6	07-12 16:42
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$59	217	0	+217	No	-$59	07-19 08:30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	3	$49	50	50	+0	Yes	-$11	07-10 20:46
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	2	$47	37	37	+0	Yes	+$27	07-18 23:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	2	$45	252	0	+252	No	-$45	07-19 08:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$44	4,409	0	+4,409	No	-$44	09-07 04:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	2	$38	116	0	+116	No	-$38	09-17 07:28
Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 3.5	1	$37	62	0	+62	Under 3.5	-$37	09-11 16:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$37	276	76	+200	No	+$3	07-27 20:32
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?	6	$36	146	146	+0	No	-$4	07-10 20:54
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	2	$35	209	104	+104	open	—	07-25 11:00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$35	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	11-04 04:40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	3	$35	57	0	+57	Yes	+$22	09-09 17:41
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$35	152	152	+0	open	—	08-01 15:50
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$34	91	0	+91	open	—	09-06 15:04
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov	1	$34	43	0	+43	Alexander Zverev	+$9	09-11 08:54
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts first half	2	$32	26	26	+0	Yes	+$20	07-11 21:57
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	3	$30	27	27	+0	Yes	+$16	07-11 22:59
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts first half	2	$29	79	79	+0	No	-$1	07-15 17:40
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	1	$27	61	0	+61	No	-$27	10-21 12:03
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 first half total 1pt5	2	$26	98	0	+98	Under	-$26	07-15 17:41
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	6	$25	102	51	+51	No	+$15	07-07 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 03:50:22	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x03d6f5…
11-08 03:50:01	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe40e55…
11-08 03:49:13	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xfdcf45…
11-05 21:00:24	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x6dcdaa…
11-05 20:57:16	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x348a3b…
11-05 20:01:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	113	26¢	$29	0x057e38…
11-04 12:56:04	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x25de93…
11-04 12:55:43	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0xef0943…
11-04 05:32:18	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x8395db…
11-04 05:31:04	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xcf8930…
11-04 04:40:51	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x33be94…
11-03 22:44:51	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xc615cd…
11-02 15:31:31	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x5266b3…
11-02 15:30:25	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x49b690…
11-02 15:30:10	Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x101359…
11-02 15:29:54	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xc910ea…
10-31 21:58:31	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xef1d45…
10-30 11:44:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0x53ca38…
10-28 04:57:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$6	0x510570…
10-28 04:57:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x881383…
10-28 04:56:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	11¢	$4	0xfba74f…
10-27 17:31:51	Will AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x777501…
10-26 23:34:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0x50a607…
10-22 06:07:35	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$5	0x77e837…
10-22 03:12:47	Warriors vs. Lakers	Warriors	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x8bb8ea…
10-21 12:04:44	Will Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x602177…
10-21 12:03:29	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	61	44¢	$27	0x858f15…
10-20 09:52:54	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x751182…
10-20 09:52:08	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xeb574f…
10-20 09:50:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x9d5b19…
10-20 09:49:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x5e4297…
10-16 19:13:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	34	87¢	$29	0xf26abf…
10-12 20:58:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	136	43¢	$58	0xf2552d…
10-09 15:52:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	113	37¢	$42	0xe88254…
10-07 20:27:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x00c511…
09-17 07:28:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0xf01a3b…
09-17 07:28:12	will wti reach 125 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	119	5¢	$6	0x54db09…
09-17 07:27:28	will wti reach 125 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x0ff227…
09-12 03:51:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	Yes	BUY	133	7¢	$9	0x48336c…
09-12 03:50:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	92	35¢	$32	0x6b7807…
09-11 16:01:18	Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0x87cadc…
09-11 08:54:04	US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov	Alexander Zverev	BUY	43	80¢	$34	0x1db42b…
09-11 08:51:57	cs2 furia g2 2026 09 11	FURIA	BUY	42	58¢	$24	0xfcfa9a…
09-10 22:14:57	cs2 mibr all 2026 09 11	MIBR	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x936704…
09-10 22:14:34	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xa596c0…
09-10 22:14:09	Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)	Sabalenka	BUY	27	39¢	$10	0x9bd962…
09-10 22:13:22	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	21	60¢	$12	0x8fd899…
09-10 22:12:34	49ers vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x7bb80b…
09-10 16:57:18	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x366c5c…
09-10 16:57:10	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0x6ba7f0…
09-10 16:55:16	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	27¢	$19	0x684cf3…
09-10 16:52:00	Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	564	1¢	$5	0xc8c18f…
09-10 16:50:21	Will Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	63	23¢	$14	0x188326…
09-09 19:06:46	US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0x898d05…
09-09 18:57:01	Will Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0xcd4d01…
09-09 17:41:37	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x987592…
09-09 17:41:10	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xdeb104…
09-09 17:40:55	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x9aedbb…
09-09 15:24:22	Will FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x0b8a55…
09-07 04:37:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x518902…
09-06 15:06:57	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	164	15¢	$25	0x576ea6…
09-06 15:06:33	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	123	20¢	$25	0x04fb03…
09-06 15:05:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xac33d8…
09-06 15:04:15	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	91	38¢	$34	0xddd480…
08-22 20:46:28	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0xe6f02c…
08-22 20:45:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0x68be5f…
08-22 20:43:31	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	929	1¢	$13	0xc86a42…
08-22 20:42:34	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,002	1¢	$14	0xb7905e…
08-16 07:48:10	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	708	2¢	$14	0xc02023…
08-16 07:13:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	231	1¢	$3	0x942ebb…
08-14 06:05:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$20	0xdfbfab…
08-09 18:44:46	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2,148	2¢	$41	0xdfd366…
08-01 15:53:18	cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01 game2	Astralis	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf3f1b5…
08-01 15:51:26	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0x423a0c…
08-01 15:50:32	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	152	11¢	$17	0xf26a02…
07-29 19:43:33	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	152	12¢	$18	0xe375d3…
07-27 20:32:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	76	26¢	$20	0x9358ae…
07-27 13:18:16	wta hennema pohanko 2026 07 27	Mia Pohankova	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x604eb8…
07-25 11:00:18	Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	10¢	$11	0x34ace4…
07-21 14:53:57	Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	12¢	$25	0x31b5b0…
07-19 22:16:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	6¢	$7	0x11b0b3…
07-19 08:30:18	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xc76b48…
07-19 08:28:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	Yes	BUY	205	18¢	$37	0xd1487f…
07-19 08:12:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	128	4¢	$5	0x56ce3c…
07-19 04:15:33	Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	141	25¢	$36	0x142d2a…
07-19 04:15:12	Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	141	25¢	$36	0xf3d240…
07-19 04:13:24	Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	282	29¢	$82	0x95ad7d…
07-19 04:05:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x098a40…
07-18 23:11:51	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	117	2¢	$3	0xf2fa91…
07-18 23:11:16	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x401229…
07-18 23:10:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x55947d…
07-18 23:10:25	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa0b71c…
07-18 23:09:57	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0x669b40…
07-18 23:09:46	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0xab5525…
07-18 23:05:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8c3376…
07-18 23:05:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	Yes	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0xc13a13…
07-18 22:54:07	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x638436…
07-18 22:16:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	207	41¢	$85	0xaf4c4e…
07-18 20:36:34	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x49a4d2…
07-18 20:35:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x90605e…