Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.53K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.0%

Resolved

101

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$9.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-15 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% -$2,388

Crypto

37% 22% -$212

Other

10% 21% +$78

Sports

2% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump visit greenland by march 31	2	$1.4K	3,444	3,444	+0	No	-$591	01-14 16:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$1.3K	11,111	11,111	+0	No	-$667	02-05 20:30
Will the US strike Iran next?	2	$1.0K	9,436	0	+9,436	No	-$1,010	01-27 16:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$783	2,738	2,738	+0	No	-$17	01-30 09:32
bitcoin up or down february 4 1am et	8	$644	874	449	+425	Up	+$62	02-04 06:50
bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	12	$481	552	524	+27	Down	+$29	02-05 21:52
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$413	2,448	2,448	+0	No	+$171	03-07 16:21
bitcoin above 88k on january 27	2	$236	154	154	+0	Yes	+$36	01-27 16:22
bitcoin above 96k on january 14	2	$197	181	181	+0	Yes	+$97	01-14 15:19
bitcoin up or down february 4 3am et	2	$195	167	167	+0	Up	+$135	02-04 08:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$191	909	909	+0	No	-$9	01-30 09:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$164	310	198	+111	No	+$34	04-08 07:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 26	2	$136	181	181	+0	Yes	-$20	01-26 14:36
bitcoin up or down february 4 10am et	7	$134	304	141	+163	Down	+$34	02-04 16:00
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	2	$120	79	79	+0	Yes	+$22	01-13 20:30
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$119	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	02-05 20:24
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$118	74	73	+1	Yes	-$1	02-06 13:52
bitcoin up or down february 6 5am et	2	$112	102	102	+0	Up	+$12	02-06 10:16
bitcoin up or down february 4 7am et	3	$89	191	104	+86	Up	-$11	02-04 12:42
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$85	133	133	+0	No	+$5	01-14 17:15
bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	6	$75	150	150	+0	Down	+$15	02-05 07:49
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$72	467	467	+0	No	+$12	03-08 19:27
bitcoin up or down february 6 3am et	4	$68	75	75	+0	Up	+$12	02-06 08:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$65	342	0	+342	No	-$65	03-23 19:03
ethereum above 3100 on january 22	2	$62	283	283	+0	No	+$42	01-21 20:10
bitcoin up or down on february 7	1	$60	118	0	+118	Down	-$60	02-06 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 10:00 UTC	2	$50	57	56	+1	Up	$0	02-04 10:04
bitcoin up or down february 4 4am et	3	$46	1,143	0	+1,143	Down	-$46	02-04 10:00
ethereum above 3600 on january 15	1	$45	1,172	0	+1,172	No	-$45	01-14 17:16
bitcoin up or down february 4 8am et	2	$44	214	0	+214	Down	-$44	02-04 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 09:04:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	638	3¢	$18	0xc39a09…
08-21 08:37:31	will ethereum reach 2500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	53	65¢	$34	0x970c30…
08-21 08:36:46	will ethereum reach 2700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	140	25¢	$35	0x7d4987…
08-21 08:36:36	will ethereum reach 2900 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	287	9¢	$25	0xe2586f…
08-20 08:25:07	will ethereum reach 2600 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	136	16¢	$22	0xb9d75e…
05-06 07:29:12	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	1¢	$1	0x7a7d5d…
05-06 07:28:52	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	286	2¢	$7	0x001c2e…
04-08 07:32:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	198	50¢	$99	0xf96d22…
04-01 13:25:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	310	21¢	$65	0x101c27…
03-23 19:03:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	342	19¢	$65	0x82198f…
03-23 19:02:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0xa36bb4…
03-11 19:10:29	ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 mnc1	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x160918…
03-09 09:20:57	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x8c5979…
03-08 19:27:21	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	SELL	467	9¢	$42	0x1896ef…
03-07 19:19:43	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0x7117b6…
03-07 16:26:35	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	467	6¢	$30	0x3a3232…
03-07 16:21:41	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	2,448	12¢	$292	0x08574c…
03-04 08:28:29	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	2,448	5¢	$121	0x6a1570…
02-06 13:53:39	bitcoin up or down on february 7	Up	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x3dac77…
02-06 13:52:01	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	SELL	73	79¢	$58	0xac2e7e…
02-06 13:51:25	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0xe46789…
02-06 13:48:45	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	513	2¢	$10	0xfd1399…
02-06 13:17:39	bitcoin up or down february 6 8am et	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2b96ea…
02-06 10:16:11	bitcoin up or down february 6 5am et	Up	SELL	102	61¢	$62	0xf9314f…
02-06 10:03:05	bitcoin up or down february 6 5am et	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x5ae76e…
02-06 09:32:59	bitcoin up or down february 6 4am et	Down	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0x7c30df…
02-06 09:20:15	bitcoin up or down february 6 4am et	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xf48860…
02-06 09:04:11	bitcoin up or down february 6 4am et	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf85712…
02-06 08:46:09	bitcoin up or down february 6 3am et	Up	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0x437ee3…
02-06 08:32:47	bitcoin up or down february 6 3am et	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf4113a…
02-06 08:32:17	bitcoin up or down february 6 3am et	Down	SELL	49	60¢	$29	0xc06dc8…
02-06 08:14:49	bitcoin up or down february 6 3am et	Down	BUY	49	37¢	$18	0x9a48d0…
02-05 22:12:21	bitcoin up or down february 5 5pm et	Down	SELL	38	38¢	$14	0x125743…
02-05 22:10:53	bitcoin up or down february 5 5pm et	Down	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xba58f4…
02-05 21:52:59	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x092bfa…
02-05 21:52:53	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbd2e7c…
02-05 21:52:37	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe4fb09…
02-05 21:44:29	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Down	SELL	78	59¢	$46	0x9bb846…
02-05 21:33:25	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xa2d4f6…
02-05 21:33:15	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Down	SELL	94	43¢	$41	0x081db9…
02-05 21:23:33	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xc4e441…
02-05 21:22:11	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Up	SELL	138	41¢	$56	0xd16c5c…
02-05 21:21:35	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Up	SELL	71	37¢	$26	0xb5db1b…
02-05 21:18:11	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Up	BUY	209	35¢	$73	0x0562e6…
02-05 21:17:19	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Down	SELL	143	60¢	$86	0x2beaa5…
02-05 21:02:25	bitcoin up or down february 5 4pm et	Down	BUY	143	42¢	$60	0x0d1022…
02-05 20:30:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	11,111	3¢	$333	0x9a11be…
02-05 20:24:31	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x6cf277…
02-05 13:17:27	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xc86432…
02-05 11:49:21	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xa09b21…
02-05 09:20:05	bitcoin up or down february 5 4am et	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc1cd0a…
02-05 08:04:13	bitcoin up or down february 5 3am et	Down	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xb45212…
02-05 07:49:13	bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	Down	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0x5f014c…
02-05 07:47:25	bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x6fde75…
02-05 07:45:05	bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	Down	SELL	28	16¢	$4	0xd014a7…
02-05 07:44:35	bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7dff16…
02-05 07:41:47	bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	Down	SELL	77	37¢	$28	0x0fcbb2…
02-05 07:04:21	bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x02bef7…
02-05 06:58:25	bitcoin up or down february 5 1am et	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x95a7e6…
02-04 16:42:55	bitcoin up or down february 4 11am et	Up	BUY	175	4¢	$7	0x2c5ee7…
02-04 16:04:15	bitcoin up or down february 4 11am et	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x663346…
02-04 16:00:25	bitcoin up or down february 4 10am et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa9467b…
02-04 15:54:09	bitcoin up or down february 4 10am et	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf87818…
02-04 15:46:07	bitcoin up or down february 4 10am et	Down	SELL	29	61¢	$18	0x43454c…
02-04 15:44:49	bitcoin up or down february 4 10am et	Down	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0x4170b7…
02-04 15:31:41	bitcoin up or down february 4 10am et	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xf33cc1…
02-04 15:31:25	bitcoin up or down february 4 10am et	Up	SELL	52	70¢	$36	0x66cddf…
02-04 15:03:08	bitcoin up or down february 4 10am et	Up	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0x57c474…
02-04 15:01:16	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	611	2¢	$11	0x83319b…
02-04 15:01:10	will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 15	Yes	SELL	271	5¢	$14	0x554ecb…
02-04 14:28:38	will trump meet with mrbeast in february 2026	Yes	SELL	806	0¢	$3	0x44e11f…
02-04 13:26:26	bitcoin up or down february 4 8am et	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xbd1ec9…
02-04 13:11:40	bitcoin up or down february 4 8am et	Up	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x6ff083…
02-04 12:42:56	bitcoin up or down february 4 7am et	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x9f142e…
02-04 12:40:04	bitcoin up or down february 4 7am et	Down	SELL	104	37¢	$39	0xea3b12…
02-04 12:33:28	bitcoin up or down february 4 7am et	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x9aacba…
02-04 10:04:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	56	44¢	$25	0x3bb6ab…
02-04 10:03:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x7d75c3…
02-04 10:00:48	bitcoin up or down february 4 4am et	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdc103a…
02-04 09:15:40	bitcoin up or down february 4 4am et	Up	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xba1073…
02-04 09:05:24	bitcoin up or down february 4 4am et	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xcc922a…
02-04 08:59:58	bitcoin up or down february 4 3am et	Up	SELL	167	99¢	$165	0xe3318f…
02-04 08:45:16	bitcoin up or down february 4 3am et	Up	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x740bd6…
02-04 06:50:54	bitcoin up or down february 4 1am et	Down	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x56a7a3…
02-04 06:45:40	bitcoin up or down february 4 1am et	Down	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x7f7fc2…
02-04 06:45:04	will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 15	Yes	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0xe215fc…
02-04 06:38:28	bitcoin up or down february 4 1am et	Up	SELL	156	96¢	$150	0x2e60b1…
02-04 06:30:16	bitcoin up or down february 4 1am et	Down	SELL	59	19¢	$11	0xac854e…
02-04 06:29:48	bitcoin up or down february 4 1am et	Up	BUY	156	80¢	$125	0xd2152e…
02-04 06:28:54	bitcoin up or down february 4 1am et	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xd2a7b6…
02-04 06:27:52	bitcoin up or down february 4 1am et	Up	SELL	234	82¢	$192	0x66328d…
02-04 06:04:46	bitcoin up or down february 4 1am et	Up	BUY	234	64¢	$150	0x1c5865…
02-01 15:19:54	will trump meet with mrbeast in february 2026	Yes	BUY	806	1¢	$10	0x47c327…
02-01 15:10:40	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	Yes	BUY	306	5¢	$15	0x1bba5f…
02-01 10:35:32	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x58d888…
01-30 09:32:14	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,738	14¢	$383	0x1f2108…
01-30 09:31:20	gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	Yes	SELL	1,452	0¢	$1	0x4b10fd…
01-30 09:31:16	si hit 150 high jan 2026	Yes	SELL	1,491	0¢	$1	0x1521a9…
01-30 09:30:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	638	0¢	$2	0xce562f…
01-30 09:30:44	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	3¢	$6	0x3f1dd4…