Oval-Mansard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$18.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-03 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 93% +$28

Politics

14% — —

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$794	410	410	+0	open	—	03-15 02:37
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$361	182	182	+0	open	—	04-28 17:29
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$305	158	157	+1	No	+$9	04-14 16:47
Espresso FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$301	156	156	+0	No	+$5	02-13 18:10
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$253	127	127	+0	open	—	03-31 08:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$235	127	127	+0	open	—	03-21 09:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$234	127	127	+0	open	—	03-26 13:59
bitcoin above 62k on march 1	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	03-01 15:01
Fabric FDV above $600M one day after launch?	6	$197	99	99	+0	open	—	02-28 09:12
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$194	98	98	+0	open	—	02-28 07:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	2	$192	97	97	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:28
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	2	$191	97	97	+0	No	$-1	05-10 19:04
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$177	90	90	+0	open	—	02-13 20:08
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$177	90	90	+0	open	—	02-21 01:45
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$173	176	0	+176	No	+$4	04-25 19:26
bitcoin above 72k on february 16	4	$172	88	88	+0	open	—	02-16 10:55
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$167	168	0	+168	open	—	04-22 07:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$166	167	0	+167	open	—	04-21 19:50
will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	1	$162	164	0	+164	open	—	04-19 07:35
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	1	$161	162	0	+162	open	—	04-18 07:51
bitcoin above 72k on april 24	2	$161	81	81	+0	open	—	04-24 01:30
ethereum above 2200 on april 23	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	04-23 14:41
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$160	87	87	+0	open	—	03-29 12:05
ethereum above 2600 on april 17	3	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	04-17 15:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	1	$150	151	0	+151	open	—	05-17 20:11
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?	3	$145	77	77	+0	open	—	02-10 20:26
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	4	$142	72	72	+0	open	—	03-06 03:14
bitcoin above 68k on april 8	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	04-08 12:55
will ethereum dip to 1900 march 30 april 5	1	$137	138	0	+138	open	—	04-05 19:54
ethereum above 1900 on april 5	1	$137	137	0	+137	open	—	04-04 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 16:17:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe0ed09…
06-03 15:48:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x4720f1…
06-03 09:57:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x860151…
06-03 09:54:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x20a2b6…
06-03 09:54:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9078dc…
06-02 22:43:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xfa2ac7…
06-02 19:24:39	Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on June 2?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x83b76b…
06-02 18:27:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf83ac2…
06-02 18:20:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x92eb2a…
06-02 09:01:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4ef377…
06-02 07:23:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc6ebf…
06-02 07:21:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xbdbf97…
06-01 20:44:03	will ethereum reach 2150 on june 1	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5f85e2…
06-01 20:43:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on June 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x890798…
06-01 20:42:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x995c62…
05-31 06:42:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0f6de8…
05-31 06:42:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe40ef5…
05-30 19:42:59	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3ff668…
05-30 19:39:25	will ethereum dip to 1900 on may 30	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xfe4f27…
05-30 19:35:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6958fb…
05-30 19:32:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x004d91…
05-30 14:47:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x1adf77…
05-30 12:49:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	85¢	$68	0x14f895…
05-30 06:53:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x83ada1…
05-30 06:52:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8bb390…
05-29 05:54:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xdacfde…
05-28 19:23:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xa2afe9…
05-28 19:23:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0e2f6f…
05-27 19:24:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa972f1…
05-27 19:23:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb2d42c…
05-27 06:05:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x2568c8…
05-27 06:05:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x03685e…
05-26 18:42:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2d15e8…
05-26 18:38:39	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xedf3cd…
05-26 07:33:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x07df25…
05-25 20:30:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 25?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x867078…
05-25 20:29:45	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8ac24b…
05-24 20:18:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xc9b77f…
05-24 20:18:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x855d7a…
05-23 19:11:14	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xb748c6…
05-23 18:47:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xad7f02…
05-23 18:25:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x87e151…
05-23 18:25:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xe2ab20…
05-22 19:47:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0a3b61…
05-22 19:46:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0bcdff…
05-22 06:27:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x48108a…
05-21 20:13:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa83609…
05-20 20:24:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x64fe4a…
05-20 20:24:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x18508d…
05-20 20:22:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x798a8e…
05-19 20:04:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x383204…
05-19 20:03:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11afab…
05-19 20:02:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x7d52a5…
05-19 20:02:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4f8862…
05-18 18:35:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7ecdd6…
05-18 18:35:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4dd6de…
05-18 08:05:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8ead32…
05-18 08:05:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe608f5…
05-18 08:05:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdd777b…
05-17 20:14:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x7750eb…
05-17 20:11:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0xa2b8d2…
05-16 20:10:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb59f43…
05-16 20:09:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd92086…
05-16 20:09:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6d3711…
05-15 21:58:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xa89ce8…
05-15 21:57:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfb1157…
05-14 20:21:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x12a9b4…
05-14 20:21:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd373fc…
05-13 19:20:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x69edf1…
05-13 19:20:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbb340c…
05-13 06:39:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xa3c2fd…
05-13 06:38:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3c747c…
05-12 09:16:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x06322e…
05-12 09:08:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3f6a29…
05-11 09:28:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0xabbfed…
05-10 19:43:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x9210bb…
05-10 19:23:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x28832c…
05-10 19:04:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	No	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0x877cdb…
05-10 09:43:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x34fa76…
05-10 09:41:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x864ff6…
05-08 23:14:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x259e83…
05-08 20:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3a8a7f…
05-08 00:51:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x5cf57a…
05-07 19:45:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x72bf2d…
05-06 19:55:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xc8b492…
05-06 19:50:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x99b600…
05-06 01:27:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfb5397…
05-05 21:06:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x34674b…
05-05 06:24:44	Billions FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x59ab3c…
05-05 03:55:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe5f05e…
05-04 20:53:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xcd7ba7…
05-04 08:06:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$91	0x50699b…
05-04 08:05:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x31264b…
05-03 20:52:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xbf3849…
05-03 20:52:04	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x69a707…
05-02 19:53:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa27c05…
05-02 19:53:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb87188…
05-02 13:11:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9e1dcc…
05-02 11:22:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x16ad64…
05-02 10:43:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x511e4e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	162	$368.8K	6,169	06-03 10:26
Cloudy-Tote 0x7c56…9337	141	$46.4K	269	06-03 21:36
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	136	$2.02K	776	06-04 03:23
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	122	$922.3K	6,441	06-04 15:43
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	120	$5.48K	122	06-04 15:32
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	99	$8.15K	1,895	06-03 16:01
Muted-Boatyard 0x419f…e853	98	$1.05K	540	06-03 23:33
Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd	95	$5.42K	371	06-03 06:33