Oval-Mansard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$148

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

324

Trades

536

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-30 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 76% +$102

Politics

14% 89% +$20

Other

8% 84% +$25

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$794	410	410	+0	No	+$8	03-15 02:37
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$361	182	182	+0	No	+$2	04-28 17:29
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$305	158	157	+1	No	+$9	04-14 16:47
Espresso FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$301	156	156	+0	No	+$5	02-13 18:10
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$253	127	127	+0	No	$0	03-31 08:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$235	127	127	+0	No	+$3	03-21 09:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$234	127	127	+0	No	-$5	03-26 13:59
bitcoin above 62k on march 1	2	$201	101	101	+0	Yes	+$1	03-01 15:01
Fabric FDV above $600M one day after launch?	6	$197	99	99	+0	No	+$1	02-28 09:12
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$194	98	98	+0	No	+$2	02-28 07:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	2	$192	97	97	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:28
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	2	$191	97	97	+0	No	-$1	05-10 19:04
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$177	90	90	+0	No	+$2	02-13 20:08
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$177	90	90	+0	No	+$2	02-21 01:45
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$173	176	0	+176	No	+$4	04-25 19:26
bitcoin above 72k on february 16	4	$172	88	88	+0	No	+$1	02-16 10:55
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$167	168	0	+168	No	+$0	04-22 07:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$166	167	0	+167	No	+$1	04-21 19:50
will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	1	$162	164	0	+164	No	+$2	04-19 07:35
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	1	$161	162	0	+162	No	+$1	04-18 07:51
bitcoin above 72k on april 24	2	$161	81	81	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 01:30
ethereum above 2200 on april 23	2	$160	80	80	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 14:41
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$160	87	87	+0	No	+$7	03-29 12:05
ethereum above 2600 on april 17	3	$160	80	80	+0	No	+$0	04-17 15:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	1	$150	151	0	+151	No	+$1	05-17 20:11
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?	3	$145	77	77	+0	Yes	+$7	02-10 20:26
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	4	$142	72	72	+0	No	+$2	03-06 03:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$142	80	80	+0	No	-$6	05-30 12:49
bitcoin above 68k on april 8	2	$140	70	70	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 12:55
will ethereum dip to 1900 march 30 april 5	1	$137	138	0	+138	No	+$1	04-05 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 17:50:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x800ccc…
06-30 17:50:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x144c32…
06-30 17:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x0db4db…
06-30 17:35:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x75242d…
06-30 17:35:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4bb21c…
06-30 17:26:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x42823c…
06-30 17:25:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6012f8…
06-30 17:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xfd00a1…
06-30 17:16:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0e2a3a…
06-30 16:45:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5249aa…
06-30 15:45:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe9b467…
06-30 15:41:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x230519…
06-30 15:31:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x55bd0d…
06-30 15:26:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x5b7c1b…
06-30 15:25:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8c650f…
06-30 15:21:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xc0e3a9…
06-30 15:20:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4eca44…
06-30 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xff8707…
06-30 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8f32d4…
06-30 14:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x6b1126…
06-30 14:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x87330f…
06-30 13:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xadf653…
06-30 13:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2ed935…
06-30 13:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x7bed31…
06-30 13:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x14e098…
06-30 13:30:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2058e6…
06-30 13:25:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x762c77…
06-30 13:25:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x82e6d4…
06-30 13:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc52726…
06-30 13:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0a4c61…
06-30 13:15:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf68b61…
06-30 11:46:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xb4e1e5…
06-30 11:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9949cf…
06-30 11:35:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xdaac92…
06-30 11:35:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbc39a0…
06-30 11:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x190c16…
06-30 11:30:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0f8dc0…
06-30 11:21:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x48ba0e…
06-30 11:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1b30db…
06-30 10:41:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x7614e4…
06-30 10:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe74c71…
06-30 10:40:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd86cfd…
06-30 10:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x465bc9…
06-30 10:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3a27e6…
06-30 10:16:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x874b1e…
06-30 10:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7ded23…
06-30 09:51:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x83d406…
06-30 09:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0e6e86…
06-30 09:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x60af2f…
06-30 09:25:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf99408…
06-30 09:25:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xbc4fad…
06-30 08:51:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x8b2427…
06-30 08:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4c1cd8…
06-30 08:42:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x788a75…
06-30 08:31:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xc4a0ee…
06-30 08:31:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x0ca102…
06-30 08:30:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5b97aa…
06-30 08:26:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x8ed2d0…
06-30 08:25:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x59aa04…
06-30 08:11:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x9b76a5…
06-30 08:10:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6ff5cb…
06-30 08:00:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xed82a1…
06-30 08:00:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xbacdd3…
06-30 08:00:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x377bdd…
06-30 07:41:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xf926b0…
06-30 07:41:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xce3079…
06-30 07:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x04ace5…
06-30 07:35:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xbac3e5…
06-30 07:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xacb57e…
06-30 07:31:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9c1103…
06-30 07:30:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb027cf…
06-30 06:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xf31557…
06-30 06:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xf0d46f…
06-30 06:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcd10b3…
06-29 22:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x94f898…
06-29 22:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x350652…
06-29 20:30:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xcba59d…
06-29 20:30:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x14426c…
06-29 20:26:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x810249…
06-29 20:25:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2a20f2…
06-29 20:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x050ef7…
06-29 20:11:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xcfcfc7…
06-29 20:10:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x455255…
06-29 20:00:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xead506…
06-29 20:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x84e8cb…
06-29 19:55:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xe3bc80…
06-29 19:55:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2ee6cf…
06-29 19:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xd0872e…
06-29 19:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb668cd…
06-29 19:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x308b89…
06-29 19:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3022d4…
06-29 19:20:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x65a961…
06-29 19:20:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x00efc7…
06-29 19:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6a01e0…
06-29 18:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 18:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x3c91de…
06-29 18:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4edc61…
06-29 18:06:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 18:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x2511a1…
06-29 18:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1b8205…
06-29 17:16:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x139bc3…
06-29 17:15:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x062ae7…