Oval-Mansard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

Trades

451

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-29 22:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 93% +$28

Politics

14% — —

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$794	410	410	+0	open	—	03-15 02:37
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$361	182	182	+0	open	—	04-28 17:29
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$305	158	157	+1	No	+$9	04-14 16:47
Espresso FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$301	156	156	+0	No	+$5	02-13 18:10
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$253	127	127	+0	open	—	03-31 08:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$235	127	127	+0	open	—	03-21 09:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$234	127	127	+0	open	—	03-26 13:59
bitcoin above 62k on march 1	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	03-01 15:01
Fabric FDV above $600M one day after launch?	6	$197	99	99	+0	open	—	02-28 09:12
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$194	98	98	+0	open	—	02-28 07:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	2	$192	97	97	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:28
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	2	$191	97	97	+0	No	$-1	05-10 19:04
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$177	90	90	+0	open	—	02-13 20:08
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$177	90	90	+0	open	—	02-21 01:45
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$173	176	0	+176	No	+$4	04-25 19:26
bitcoin above 72k on february 16	4	$172	88	88	+0	open	—	02-16 10:55
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$167	168	0	+168	open	—	04-22 07:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$166	167	0	+167	open	—	04-21 19:50
will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	1	$162	164	0	+164	open	—	04-19 07:35
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	1	$161	162	0	+162	open	—	04-18 07:51
bitcoin above 72k on april 24	2	$161	81	81	+0	open	—	04-24 01:30
ethereum above 2200 on april 23	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	04-23 14:41
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$160	87	87	+0	open	—	03-29 12:05
ethereum above 2600 on april 17	3	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	04-17 15:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	1	$150	151	0	+151	open	—	05-17 20:11
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?	3	$145	77	77	+0	open	—	02-10 20:26
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	4	$142	72	72	+0	open	—	03-06 03:14
bitcoin above 68k on april 8	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	04-08 12:55
will ethereum dip to 1900 march 30 april 5	1	$137	138	0	+138	open	—	04-05 19:54
ethereum above 1900 on april 5	1	$137	137	0	+137	open	—	04-04 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 08:51:08	btc updown 5m 1782809400	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x8b2427…
06-30 08:50:13	btc updown 5m 1782809400	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4c1cd8…
06-30 08:42:22	btc updown 5m 1782808800	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x788a75…
06-30 08:31:08	btc updown 5m 1782808200	Down	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xc4a0ee…
06-30 08:31:08	btc updown 5m 1782808200	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x0ca102…
06-30 08:30:10	btc updown 5m 1782808200	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5b97aa…
06-30 08:26:43	btc updown 5m 1782807900	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x8ed2d0…
06-30 08:25:20	btc updown 5m 1782807900	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x59aa04…
06-30 08:11:10	btc updown 5m 1782807000	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x9b76a5…
06-30 08:10:26	btc updown 5m 1782807000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6ff5cb…
06-30 08:00:20	btc updown 5m 1782806400	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xed82a1…
06-30 08:00:20	btc updown 5m 1782806400	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xbacdd3…
06-30 08:00:20	btc updown 5m 1782806400	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x377bdd…
06-30 07:41:05	btc updown 5m 1782805200	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xf926b0…
06-30 07:41:02	btc updown 5m 1782805200	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xce3079…
06-30 07:40:10	btc updown 5m 1782805200	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x04ace5…
06-30 07:35:56	btc updown 5m 1782804900	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xbac3e5…
06-30 07:35:25	btc updown 5m 1782804900	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xacb57e…
06-30 07:31:10	btc updown 5m 1782804600	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9c1103…
06-30 07:30:23	btc updown 5m 1782804600	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb027cf…
06-30 06:18:49	btc updown 5m 1782800100	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xf31557…
06-30 06:18:49	btc updown 5m 1782800100	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xf0d46f…
06-30 06:15:26	btc updown 5m 1782800100	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcd10b3…
06-29 22:15:35	btc updown 5m 1782771300	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x94f898…
06-29 22:15:35	btc updown 5m 1782771300	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x350652…
06-29 20:30:56	btc updown 5m 1782765000	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xcba59d…
06-29 20:30:14	btc updown 5m 1782765000	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x14426c…
06-29 20:26:49	btc updown 5m 1782764700	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x810249…
06-29 20:25:28	btc updown 5m 1782764700	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2a20f2…
06-29 20:20:31	btc updown 5m 1782764400	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x050ef7…
06-29 20:11:14	btc updown 5m 1782763800	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xcfcfc7…
06-29 20:10:29	btc updown 5m 1782763800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x455255…
06-29 20:00:59	btc updown 5m 1782763200	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xead506…
06-29 20:00:19	btc updown 5m 1782763200	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x84e8cb…
06-29 19:55:50	btc updown 5m 1782762900	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xe3bc80…
06-29 19:55:08	btc updown 5m 1782762900	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2ee6cf…
06-29 19:46:05	btc updown 5m 1782762300	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xd0872e…
06-29 19:46:05	btc updown 5m 1782762300	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb668cd…
06-29 19:46:05	btc updown 5m 1782762300	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x308b89…
06-29 19:46:05	btc updown 5m 1782762300	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3022d4…
06-29 19:20:50	btc updown 5m 1782760800	Down	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x65a961…
06-29 19:20:50	btc updown 5m 1782760800	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x00efc7…
06-29 19:20:14	btc updown 5m 1782760800	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6a01e0…
06-29 18:35:58	btc updown 5m 1782758100	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x3c91de…
06-29 18:35:11	btc updown 5m 1782758100	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4edc61…
06-29 18:06:17	btc updown 5m 1782756300	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x2511a1…
06-29 18:05:35	btc updown 5m 1782756300	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1b8205…
06-29 17:16:29	btc updown 5m 1782753300	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x139bc3…
06-29 17:15:29	btc updown 5m 1782753300	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x062ae7…
06-29 17:11:11	btc updown 5m 1782753000	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb6c9dc…
06-29 17:10:26	btc updown 5m 1782753000	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x747389…
06-29 17:05:56	btc updown 5m 1782752700	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xfcf6dd…
06-29 17:05:56	btc updown 5m 1782752700	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xc58199…
06-29 17:05:16	btc updown 5m 1782752700	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2a104e…
06-29 17:01:14	btc updown 5m 1782752400	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x98814c…
06-29 17:00:28	btc updown 5m 1782752400	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdc1123…
06-28 23:05:22	btc updown 5m 1782687900	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x641ab0…
06-28 23:05:20	btc updown 5m 1782687900	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfe4906…
06-28 23:05:20	btc updown 5m 1782687900	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9702fc…
06-28 22:56:13	btc updown 5m 1782687300	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x66d336…
06-28 22:55:19	btc updown 5m 1782687300	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbc09b7…
06-28 22:45:49	btc updown 5m 1782686700	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x0c6090…
06-28 22:45:10	btc updown 5m 1782686700	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1090a1…
06-28 22:30:50	btc updown 5m 1782685800	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x7b871e…
06-28 22:30:50	btc updown 5m 1782685800	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x2b39bf…
06-28 22:30:17	btc updown 5m 1782685800	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb032ff…
06-28 22:06:11	btc updown 5m 1782684300	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0xf5cb73…
06-28 22:06:11	btc updown 5m 1782684300	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x3b6803…
06-28 22:05:13	btc updown 5m 1782684300	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcf70c9…
06-28 22:00:49	btc updown 5m 1782684000	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x9069bf…
06-28 22:00:11	btc updown 5m 1782684000	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4c7301…
06-28 21:56:23	btc updown 5m 1782683700	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xade7be…
06-28 21:55:47	btc updown 5m 1782683700	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5a499e…
06-28 21:50:55	btc updown 5m 1782683400	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xc02358…
06-28 21:50:13	btc updown 5m 1782683400	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd19f40…
06-28 20:26:19	btc updown 5m 1782678300	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x424f68…
06-28 20:25:19	btc updown 5m 1782678300	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4ad073…
06-28 20:16:02	btc updown 5m 1782677700	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xf94002…
06-28 20:15:29	btc updown 5m 1782677700	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf113d2…
06-28 20:10:49	btc updown 5m 1782677400	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x006cae…
06-28 20:10:20	btc updown 5m 1782677400	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc83708…
06-28 19:51:13	btc updown 5m 1782676200	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x17800c…
06-28 19:50:25	btc updown 5m 1782676200	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4da957…
06-28 19:05:56	btc updown 5m 1782673500	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x5d173d…
06-28 19:05:26	btc updown 5m 1782673500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1333e4…
06-28 18:50:52	btc updown 5m 1782672600	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x6c5d18…
06-28 18:50:31	btc updown 5m 1782672600	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7183fa…
06-28 18:31:07	btc updown 5m 1782671400	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x759c64…
06-28 18:30:16	btc updown 5m 1782671400	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc5ec5b…
06-28 18:26:02	btc updown 5m 1782671100	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x4e05c9…
06-28 18:25:26	btc updown 5m 1782671100	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x19816a…
06-28 17:55:56	btc updown 5m 1782669300	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x1c89e5…
06-28 17:55:25	btc updown 5m 1782669300	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa65d74…
06-28 17:50:25	btc updown 5m 1782669000	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb6790d…
06-28 17:40:47	btc updown 5m 1782668400	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x319f5b…
06-28 17:40:08	btc updown 5m 1782668400	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x53c669…
06-28 17:20:53	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x09f760…
06-28 17:20:20	btc updown 5m 1782667200	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x08b92f…
06-28 17:15:53	btc updown 5m 1782666900	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x1c042e…
06-28 17:15:20	btc updown 5m 1782666900	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9779d1…