Smug-Sniffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 03:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% -$29

Politics

14% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% 50% $0

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	07-02 16:21
will romuald wadagni be the next president of benin	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	04-12 13:37
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win fewer than 21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-22 20:44
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	05-29 15:11
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 7c	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-19 00:42
will ted dabrowski win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-17 22:19
highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 8c	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 08:32
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 30 april 5 be between 16500000 and 17000000	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-06 12:28
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-07 21:33
will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the 2 global netflix movie this week 338	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-21 20:22
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 03:42
Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 03:05
will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-13 12:55
will mrbeasts latest video get less than 63 million views on day 4	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-07 17:44
ted cruz of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 120 139	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 15:46
highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 24 25f	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-16 04:34
iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	07-13 01:34
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-29 13:12
ethereum above 2000 on june 16 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-15 10:42
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-31 05:04
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-31 02:20
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 10:15
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-08 19:42
Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-01 06:33
will 10 14 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-24 14:13
will ludwig and camilla marry on love is blind sweden season 3	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-28 15:12
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 13:20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-18 19:52
will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be between 26m and 29m	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 21:05
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 12c	1	$23	24	0	+24	Yes	-$23	03-17 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:17:18	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $90 in August?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfb6189…
07-13 01:34:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x46045f…
07-11 20:31:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x887168…
07-02 16:21:19	bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xfb8db6…
07-02 16:21:02	bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x6d39ec…
06-25 13:20:58	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7b3a61…
06-25 12:09:10	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8d3a9e…
06-24 03:42:59	Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x63c1f3…
06-22 00:02:40	Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2f54c5…
06-15 10:42:45	ethereum above 2000 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x31b2b2…
06-13 12:55:07	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xba22a7…
06-13 04:00:34	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa5e93b…
06-08 19:42:27	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x61cea8…
06-07 13:54:45	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xee5770…
06-02 06:05:12	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xb4951e…
06-01 06:33:04	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x6d72a7…
05-30 18:02:18	Will Iván Cepeda win less than 30% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9004ac…
05-29 15:11:06	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xd89660…
05-29 07:31:17	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xeb9fc5…
05-25 02:12:25	Will "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x62fb90…
05-22 20:44:45	Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win fewer than 21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x19f0dc…
05-18 19:52:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xaa0c9a…
05-16 00:02:27	Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win fewer than 21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x543e11…
05-11 18:23:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x83325c…
05-07 21:33:48	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdacaff…
05-07 16:24:05	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef3129…
05-05 10:15:40	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x1fc638…
05-05 03:05:40	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xcd5152…
05-04 22:56:30	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xc43a79…
05-03 13:38:56	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x47dfc5…
04-29 19:03:20	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x63264c…
04-23 22:19:16	ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xf8fc9b…
04-21 20:22:04	will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the 2 global netflix movie this week 338	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xaa5199…
04-20 17:58:14	will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the 2 global netflix movie this week 338	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x524bb5…
04-16 08:18:40	will claude opus 4 6 be the best ai model on april 17 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x534b5b…
04-12 13:37:19	will romuald wadagni be the next president of benin	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x1f85d3…
04-11 00:01:39	will romuald wadagni be the next president of benin	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x667296…
04-07 17:44:41	will mrbeasts latest video get less than 63 million views on day 4	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3fad27…
04-07 14:55:43	will mrbeasts latest video get less than 63 million views on day 4	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8963b2…
04-06 12:28:59	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 30 april 5 be between 16500000 and 17000000	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb52369…
04-05 10:31:23	will russia strike kyiv on march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2882cc…
04-04 00:01:07	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 30 april 5 be between 16500000 and 17000000	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7f161e…
03-31 05:04:43	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc06db4…
03-31 02:20:55	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x5f7d06…
03-30 08:51:14	will mark zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x4a21c2…
03-30 03:32:42	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xebd5a3…
03-30 00:08:06	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x44a614…
03-29 13:12:06	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xec02c8…
03-29 01:51:36	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xedbfdf…
03-28 15:12:55	will ludwig and camilla marry on love is blind sweden season 3	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1b2d0b…
03-27 15:46:37	ted cruz of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 120 139	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd00964…
03-27 13:46:45	ted cruz of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 120 139	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x9318c1…
03-25 21:18:05	will ludwig and camilla marry on love is blind sweden season 3	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x97ae91…
03-24 14:13:53	will 10 14 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x855dd3…
03-23 12:07:33	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 16 march 22 be less than 17500000	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x30b839…
03-22 02:37:07	will 10 14 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc25d9b…
03-21 00:06:31	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 16 march 22 be less than 17500000	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x51332c…
03-19 00:42:47	highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 7c	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa6fa7b…
03-19 00:19:59	highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 7c	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xb39fda…
03-18 08:32:27	highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 8c	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1b6f07…
03-18 07:08:45	highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xaad9d9…
03-17 22:19:03	will ted dabrowski win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3cdd79…
03-17 14:30:03	highest temperature in taipei on march 17 2026 21c	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xd8bf3e…
03-17 11:37:59	will love is blind the reunion be the top us netflix show this week	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9bd269…
03-17 03:34:13	highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 12c	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xe1f36f…
03-16 21:05:03	will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be between 26m and 29m	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x685e7f…
03-16 13:12:01	highest temperature in atlanta on march 17 2026 38 39f	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x7937e4…
03-16 07:21:51	will ted dabrowski win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x51ec9d…
03-16 04:34:35	highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 24 25f	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x5479c5…
03-16 03:47:35	highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 24 25f	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x865439…
03-16 01:53:53	will love is blind the reunion be the top us netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x4eace9…
03-16 01:04:47	will frankenstein win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6a3493…
03-15 15:15:13	will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be between 26m and 29m	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x1e68ca…
03-15 02:59:53	will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xff2339…
03-14 13:50:19	will frankenstein win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x3555dc…
03-13 06:21:45	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5593f8…
03-12 21:52:07	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x77f841…
03-12 21:10:05	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf7142a…
03-12 00:12:05	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x0a6699…
03-11 04:19:27	will mrbeasts next video get less than 59 million views on day 4	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6cfa27…
03-10 19:13:09	will mrbeasts next video get less than 59 million views on day 4	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x511f74…
03-10 04:14:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 55 million views on day 4	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x309108…
03-10 03:11:49	will jurassic world rebirth be the 2 global netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x586936…
03-10 00:27:57	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 55 million views on day 4	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3e0edd…
03-09 03:18:29	will jurassic world rebirth be the 2 global netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x533f82…
03-08 14:49:41	will mrbeasts next video get between 46 and 50 million views on day 2	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5bde52…
03-08 09:24:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 46 and 50 million views on day 2	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfb5bb8…
03-07 19:48:27	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5df405…
03-06 13:38:21	will the us add between 125k and 150k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa09581…
03-06 00:13:01	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x15cd3b…
03-05 03:05:37	will the us add between 125k and 150k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xff9ccc…
03-04 08:07:21	will jessica steinmann be the republican nominee for tx 08	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe0d43c…
03-03 09:09:11	andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 160 189	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb511f7…
03-02 17:00:43	andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 160 189	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4c140c…
03-02 07:45:07	will jessica steinmann be the republican nominee for tx 08	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4a1b7c…
03-01 20:39:21	highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 9c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc18bb2…
03-01 19:04:29	highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 9c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x989ae3…
03-01 11:51:09	highest temperature in paris on march 1 2026 16c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3f85c2…
02-28 17:04:33	highest temperature in paris on march 1 2026 16c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x89ff77…
02-28 03:31:13	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbc4a54…