Proud-Watchmaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$359

Unrealized P&L

+$28

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$178

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 04:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

98% 20% -$337

Sports

2% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+602	$150	30¢	$178	+$28	10-29 04:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$200	317	0	+317	Yes	-$200	06-24 15:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$196	630	630	+0	Yes	+$95	06-20 14:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$150	602	0	+602	open	—	10-29 04:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$140	179	179	+0	No	+$39	06-21 00:01
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$95	1,577	1,577	+0	No	-$85	01-28 13:50
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$62	1,173	1,423	-250	Yes	-$48	01-28 13:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$50	1,923	0	+1,923	Yes	-$50	05-26 04:04
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$40	681	681	+0	Yes	-$33	03-17 11:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$25	472	0	+472	No	-$25	06-30 03:23
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$22	349	0	+349	No	-$22	07-06 04:58
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$20	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	-$20	01-21 10:43
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$10	01-21 10:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:28:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xe2f861…
10-08 03:10:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x9cd8af…
07-06 04:58:58	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	349	6¢	$22	0x705bce…
06-30 03:23:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	472	5¢	$25	0x38300f…
06-24 15:42:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0x8c44e9…
06-21 00:01:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	179	50¢	$90	0xb7c35d…
06-20 14:20:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	630	23¢	$145	0x9b9b7a…
05-27 07:35:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x822e3d…
05-26 04:08:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	580	8¢	$46	0xc79cdd…
05-26 04:05:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x8b7573…
05-26 04:04:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	310	3¢	$8	0xcb9238…
05-26 04:04:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,613	3¢	$42	0x7c3362…
03-17 11:02:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	681	0¢	$3	0xf26eac…
03-01 10:41:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	476	4¢	$20	0xddfb10…
02-13 11:37:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	205	8¢	$16	0x3a0e86…
01-28 13:50:09	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,577	0¢	$5	0x63d976…
01-28 13:50:05	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,423	0¢	$7	0x515b4a…
01-21 10:43:28	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xd1465c…
01-21 10:42:18	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x4a648c…
01-18 03:22:34	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x92364e…
01-12 14:29:44	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	462	6¢	$30	0x9c2a59…
01-10 02:20:54	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x92a380…
01-09 14:21:56	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	526	4¢	$20	0x264073…
01-09 14:20:50	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	667	3¢	$20	0x3f77b5…
01-09 08:55:10	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x25dee9…
01-08 23:48:56	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0x3b3d46…
01-08 09:48:11	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	238	8¢	$19	0xed91fa…
01-08 05:25:49	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x556969…