Puny-Toad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$358

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

400

Trades

797

lifetime

Volume

$7.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-24 16:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 84% -$355

Other

1% 86% -$3

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 25 12am et	2	$96	49	49	+0	Down	+$2	01-25 06:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 19:30 UTC	6	$78	43	43	+0	Down	+$3	04-18 19:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 03:00 UTC	4	$74	124	83	+41	Up	+$16	01-25 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$73	44	44	+0	Up	+$7	05-14 15:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 09:00 UTC	3	$73	88	0	+88	Down	+$15	01-24 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 21:00 UTC	9	$67	75	45	+30	Up	-$57	01-27 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 09:45 UTC	6	$63	72	0	+72	Down	+$9	01-24 09:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 06:45 UTC	1	$63	71	0	+71	Down	-$63	01-25 06:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 05:30 UTC	5	$60	147	0	+147	Up	-$60	01-24 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 03:15 UTC	6	$59	206	206	+0	Down	-$21	01-25 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$57	29	29	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 02:15 UTC	2	$56	62	0	+62	Down	+$6	01-25 02:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 14:15 UTC	8	$56	61	33	+29	Down	-$12	01-27 14:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 02:00 UTC	2	$55	56	0	+56	Up	+$1	01-25 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$55	64	0	+64	Down	-$55	05-11 13:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 02:45 UTC	4	$54	38	37	+0	Down	-$2	01-25 02:59
bitcoin up or down january 27 2pm et	5	$52	28	28	+0	Up	+$4	01-27 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$51	31	31	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 06:30 UTC	1	$50	63	0	+63	Up	+$13	01-25 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-11 13:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 06:15 UTC	1	$49	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	01-25 06:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 01:15 UTC	1	$49	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	01-25 01:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 06:00 UTC	1	$49	49	0	+49	Down	+$0	01-25 06:14
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$49	52	0	+52	Down	+$3	05-11 12:54
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$48	26	26	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 15:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 00:30 UTC	1	$48	48	0	+48	Up	+$0	01-25 00:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 00:15 UTC	1	$47	48	0	+48	Down	+$0	01-25 00:29
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:40 UTC	1	$47	53	0	+53	Up	-$47	04-07 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 23:15 UTC	1	$47	4,689	0	+4,689	Down	-$47	01-23 23:30
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 05:30 UTC	1	$47	47	0	+47	Down	+$0	01-25 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x3c8a22…
10-24 16:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xd6e677…
10-24 16:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xad2e10…
10-24 16:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x399419…
10-24 16:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x0452ec…
10-24 16:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0xef5730…
10-24 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x3f6c60…
10-24 16:03:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x8fe05f…
10-24 15:58:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xccdb35…
10-24 15:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x9de83a…
10-24 15:48:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x53697d…
10-24 15:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xaecf89…
10-24 15:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x320f45…
10-24 15:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x7b7be7…
10-24 15:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xa44a7e…
10-24 15:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xbfd038…
10-24 14:53:48	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x265506…
10-24 14:53:26	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x4b2410…
10-24 14:52:30	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xadc218…
10-24 14:51:51	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa1da16…
10-23 19:52:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x1046f6…
10-23 19:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xf6eb82…
10-23 19:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5cd153…
10-23 19:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7660b9…
10-23 19:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x635696…
10-23 19:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd68c47…
10-23 19:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3c167f…
10-23 19:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd9dd2a…
10-23 19:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa51e2c…
10-23 19:08:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4a53db…
10-23 19:08:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x518b51…
10-23 19:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7178fe…
10-23 18:53:56	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x3445c3…
10-23 18:43:23	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xe3cdbd…
10-23 18:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3b9453…
10-23 18:28:00	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x07e45d…
10-23 18:24:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1d9c9e…
10-23 18:19:47	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x95165e…
10-23 18:18:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3a641b…
10-23 18:18:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x59e189…
10-23 18:13:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6f7a26…
10-23 18:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf89945…
10-22 17:33:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x2c6caf…
10-22 17:28:57	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8d7fca…
10-22 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf37ed0…
10-22 17:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7f459b…
10-22 17:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf01cf8…
10-22 16:57:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcfbe08…
10-22 16:47:47	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80fac7…
10-22 16:38:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb480fb…
10-22 16:32:53	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xfeac09…
10-22 16:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x6cfc4c…
10-22 16:18:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xd1239c…
10-22 16:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x525a55…
10-22 15:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc09527…
10-22 15:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb07da6…
10-22 15:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xbcc8ac…
10-22 15:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6bb305…
10-22 15:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xf9707e…
10-22 15:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xbb3395…
10-22 15:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x50fa18…
10-22 15:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa1913a…
10-22 15:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd3bc49…
10-22 15:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdfcf7c…
10-22 15:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x63fe67…
10-21 18:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	91¢	$12	0xff8efc…
10-21 18:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x6c5b3c…
10-21 18:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0xd28b32…
10-21 17:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x993fe6…
10-21 17:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x417568…
10-21 17:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x6e9f8e…
10-21 17:14:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf4fbdb…
10-21 17:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x479149…
10-21 17:03:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf48668…
10-21 16:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x1a7fc6…
10-21 16:53:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x361463…
10-21 16:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x02a5c3…
10-21 16:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0x2d094c…
10-21 16:08:48	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x732c33…
10-21 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8dec48…
10-21 15:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xf5703f…
10-21 15:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xcc2495…
10-21 15:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x48517b…
05-14 20:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x24532d…
05-14 20:55:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x1d4587…
05-14 20:53:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xc170b0…
05-14 20:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3776ad…
05-14 20:49:28	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x37e1d0…
05-14 20:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x27fb78…
05-14 20:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x4b1ee6…
05-14 20:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x79bafe…
05-14 20:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xbf577c…
05-14 20:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa4b7df…
05-14 20:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x0e9432…
05-14 20:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xdca61f…
05-14 20:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x970328…
05-14 20:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf01dd6…
05-14 20:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8e0141…
05-14 20:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x27395a…
05-14 20:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xced3d6…