Possible-Desert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$2.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-02 13:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 47% +$21

Other

4% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$158	119	119	+0	Down	+$13	05-10 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$99	73	73	+0	Down	+$25	05-10 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$98	120	49	+71	Up	$-2	05-10 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$96	63	63	+0	Up	+$24	05-10 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$82	60	60	+0	Up	+$22	05-10 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	8	$69	85	85	+0	Down	+$11	05-09 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$68	63	63	+0	Up	+$28	05-10 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$67	118	118	+0	Down	$-33	05-10 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$64	147	57	+90	Up	+$20	05-09 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$64	48	48	+0	Up	+$22	05-10 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$62	106	106	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$58	64	64	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$56	74	74	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 23:49
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	5	$52	307	0	+307	open	—	02-03 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$50	88	0	+88	Down	$-50	05-10 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$47	69	42	+28	Down	+$7	05-09 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$47	33	33	+0	Up	+$17	05-09 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$46	39	39	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$40	29	29	+0	Up	+$10	05-09 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$40	65	65	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$39	24	24	+0	Up	+$9	05-10 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$32	28	28	+0	Up	+$23	05-09 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$12	05-09 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$31	105	105	+0	Down	$-19	05-10 01:01
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	3	$29	211	211	+0	open	—	02-03 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$11	05-09 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$28	26	26	+0	Up	+$14	05-09 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$28	65	65	+0	Down	$-12	05-10 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	05-10 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-09 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 13:18:59	btc updown 5m 1782998100	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x131fe7…
07-02 13:17:53	btc updown 5m 1782998100	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6935c7…
07-02 13:14:02	btc updown 5m 1782997800	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc30ed1…
07-02 13:13:22	btc updown 5m 1782997800	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x17ab29…
07-02 13:12:14	btc updown 5m 1782997800	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe1ce02…
07-02 13:11:47	btc updown 5m 1782997800	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4ddf82…
07-02 13:08:37	btc updown 5m 1782997500	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xaf60cc…
07-02 13:07:43	btc updown 5m 1782997500	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x7d9332…
07-02 13:05:50	btc updown 5m 1782997500	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe09258…
07-02 13:04:20	btc updown 5m 1782997200	Down	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x19b6e6…
07-02 13:02:52	btc updown 5m 1782997200	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb528aa…
07-02 13:01:26	btc updown 5m 1782997200	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x75c5ce…
07-02 13:00:23	btc updown 5m 1782997200	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdf3909…
07-02 12:59:23	btc updown 5m 1782996900	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xf4fd00…
07-02 12:58:17	btc updown 5m 1782996900	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x975fd0…
07-02 12:58:14	btc updown 5m 1782996900	Up	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x75fbaa…
07-02 12:56:56	btc updown 5m 1782996900	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1243c4…
07-02 12:56:05	btc updown 5m 1782996900	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaa4093…
07-02 12:55:56	btc updown 5m 1782996900	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc0b01e…
07-02 12:55:26	btc updown 5m 1782996600	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf208d3…
07-02 12:53:41	btc updown 5m 1782996600	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6ecb40…
07-02 12:52:40	btc updown 5m 1782996600	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6875f7…
07-02 12:51:17	btc updown 5m 1782996600	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x25dfc1…
06-25 17:30:08	btc updown 5m 1782408600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc8dfea…
06-25 17:26:40	btc updown 5m 1782408300	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4e184a…
06-25 17:20:53	btc updown 5m 1782408000	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf0c108…
06-25 17:20:53	btc updown 5m 1782408000	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x32e700…
06-25 17:20:29	btc updown 5m 1782408000	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd335ac…
06-25 17:17:20	btc updown 5m 1782407700	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5c25f1…
06-25 17:13:14	btc updown 5m 1782407400	Down	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x213369…
06-25 17:12:25	btc updown 5m 1782407400	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9df94c…
06-25 17:11:01	btc updown 5m 1782407400	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x258520…
06-25 17:10:35	btc updown 5m 1782407400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf854ee…
06-25 17:09:55	btc updown 5m 1782407100	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x362f6e…
06-25 17:08:20	btc updown 5m 1782407100	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xabe6c9…
06-25 17:06:40	btc updown 5m 1782407100	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x99cde9…
06-25 17:04:34	btc updown 5m 1782406800	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x63e022…
06-25 17:02:16	btc updown 5m 1782406800	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc17403…
06-25 17:00:55	btc updown 5m 1782406800	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdfa911…
06-25 16:59:32	btc updown 5m 1782406500	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc37ca9…
06-25 16:58:41	btc updown 5m 1782406500	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1915a5…
06-25 16:57:55	btc updown 5m 1782406500	Up	SELL	6	62¢	$3	0x3ee70b…
06-25 16:56:17	btc updown 5m 1782406500	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x094594…
06-25 16:56:02	btc updown 5m 1782406500	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x803197…
06-25 16:53:20	btc updown 5m 1782406200	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x34b834…
06-25 16:49:38	btc updown 5m 1782405900	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xb01d37…
06-25 16:47:13	btc updown 5m 1782405900	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x27e4ea…
06-25 16:46:16	btc updown 5m 1782405900	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x94e129…
06-25 16:41:01	btc updown 5m 1782405600	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x893cb9…
06-25 16:35:31	btc updown 5m 1782405300	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xea5c9a…
06-25 09:28:49	btc updown 5m 1782379500	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x122130…
06-25 09:27:10	btc updown 5m 1782379500	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe6be00…
06-25 09:26:20	btc updown 5m 1782379500	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x007c5c…
06-25 09:23:52	btc updown 5m 1782379200	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x0c0ac2…
06-25 09:22:28	btc updown 5m 1782379200	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$12	0xda1b59…
06-25 09:21:31	btc updown 5m 1782379200	Down	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xd48ab7…
06-25 09:20:13	btc updown 5m 1782378900	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3cf07e…
06-25 09:19:40	btc updown 5m 1782378900	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x04e4fb…
06-25 09:17:25	btc updown 5m 1782378900	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xccf442…
06-25 09:14:53	btc updown 5m 1782378600	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcc4aa6…
06-25 09:11:53	btc updown 5m 1782378600	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8001b6…
06-25 09:11:13	btc updown 5m 1782378600	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x201c7d…
06-25 09:09:46	btc updown 5m 1782378300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9c0cc0…
06-25 09:08:35	btc updown 5m 1782378300	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd548d0…
06-25 09:08:28	btc updown 5m 1782378300	Up	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x058a6d…
06-25 09:07:55	btc updown 5m 1782378300	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x75a013…
06-25 09:07:05	btc updown 5m 1782378300	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xee3048…
06-25 08:55:11	btc updown 5m 1782377400	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbb9598…
06-25 08:53:07	btc updown 5m 1782377400	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe99057…
06-25 08:52:43	btc updown 5m 1782377400	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3f9410…
06-25 08:47:37	btc updown 5m 1782377100	Up	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x51f595…
06-25 08:45:52	btc updown 5m 1782377100	Up	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x66d429…
06-25 08:44:10	btc updown 5m 1782376800	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xbf7bdb…
06-25 08:41:53	btc updown 5m 1782376800	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x595774…
06-25 08:39:52	btc updown 5m 1782376500	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xfa3f8c…
06-25 08:36:40	btc updown 5m 1782376500	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa84211…
06-25 08:35:14	btc updown 5m 1782376200	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xcaf485…
06-25 08:31:16	btc updown 5m 1782376200	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x2bedaa…
06-25 08:31:11	btc updown 5m 1782376200	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xb34b69…
06-25 08:30:02	btc updown 5m 1782376200	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x37b23d…
06-25 08:25:20	btc updown 5m 1782375900	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x04fa4c…
06-25 08:24:08	btc updown 5m 1782375600	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x614f3e…
06-25 08:22:29	btc updown 5m 1782375600	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x431119…
06-25 08:21:46	btc updown 5m 1782375600	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xf5125a…
06-25 08:20:50	btc updown 5m 1782375600	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7e2b38…
06-25 08:20:43	btc updown 5m 1782375600	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xcc0311…
06-25 08:20:29	btc updown 5m 1782375600	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x34a71a…
06-25 08:20:01	btc updown 5m 1782375600	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd419d5…
06-25 08:19:32	btc updown 5m 1782375300	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6e8d8e…
06-25 08:16:07	btc updown 5m 1782375300	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x934927…
06-25 08:15:13	btc updown 5m 1782375000	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbcdbbe…
06-25 08:13:25	btc updown 5m 1782375000	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x1292fb…
06-25 08:10:32	btc updown 5m 1782375000	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x061c11…
06-25 08:07:38	btc updown 5m 1782374700	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x244b8a…
06-25 08:06:52	btc updown 5m 1782374700	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x82acc9…
06-25 08:06:38	btc updown 5m 1782374700	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xf8537b…
06-25 08:06:10	btc updown 5m 1782374700	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa34704…
06-25 08:05:19	btc updown 5m 1782374400	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x588b96…
06-25 08:01:26	btc updown 5m 1782374400	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb0259c…
06-25 08:01:13	btc updown 5m 1782374400	Up	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xe9a4be…