Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

236

Trades

8,394

lifetime

Volume

$967.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 03-06 16:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 79% -$20,621

Politics

23% 62% -$18,964

Other

22% 66% +$655

Sports

1% 60% +$89

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	81	$53.8K	91,474	71,000	+20,474	Yes	-$17,750	02-27 14:37
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	44	$37.5K	19,000	19,000	+0	No	+$42	02-18 21:17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	123	$35.9K	19,000	18,981	+19	Yes	+$22	02-19 04:29
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	13	$28.9K	15,500	13,500	+2,000	No	+$37	02-16 21:59
spx up or down on february 23 2026	22	$26.3K	13,912	13,912	+0	Down	+$1,121	02-23 20:29
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	10	$21.1K	13,210	8,000	+5,210	No	+$48	02-17 18:44
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	44	$20.0K	29,678	12,198	+17,480	Yes	-$11,301	02-27 16:08
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	23	$17.9K	12,000	6,163	+5,836	No	+$89	02-23 23:22
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	38	$16.7K	16,708	904	+15,805	Yes	+$829	02-26 13:39
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	16	$15.9K	9,116	9,116	+0	No	-$5	03-06 16:50
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	11	$15.6K	13,683	2,598	+11,085	No	+$394	03-05 09:18
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	72	$14.4K	7,500	7,500	+0	Yes	+$8	02-24 04:02
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	945	$14.2K	1,107,202	1,106,310	+891	No	+$78	03-02 08:41
spx up or down on february 17 2026	47	$14.1K	14,000	13,514	+486	Up	+$240	02-16 16:01
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	13	$13.8K	8,904	5,116	+3,787	No	+$46	03-05 09:11
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	560	$13.7K	963,957	963,957	+0	No	-$236	02-26 16:52
bitcoin up or down february 12 7am et	15	$10.8K	10,801	0	+10,801	Down	+$11	02-12 12:58
will opinion launch a token on march 5	20	$10.3K	5,301	5,301	+0	Yes	+$258	03-05 09:44
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$10.0K	5,012	5,012	+0	No	+$7	02-27 20:38
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?	5	$10.0K	5,005	5,005	+0	No	+$0	02-13 19:44
xrp above 1pt3 on february 11	3	$10.0K	10,005	0	+10,005	Yes	+$10	02-11 17:03
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	3	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$0	02-24 10:39
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	16	$9.7K	5,071	5,071	+0	Yes	+$327	02-17 16:09
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	7	$9.7K	4,474	5,474	-1,000	Up	+$279	02-18 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 08:30 UTC	37	$9.4K	9,848	0	+9,848	Up	+$434	02-12 08:36
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	25	$9.3K	7,000	6,999	+1	No	+$799	02-28 12:39
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	57	$9.0K	9,142	9,153	-11	Down	+$106	02-16 16:25
bitcoin above 68k on february 14	3	$9.0K	9,014	0	+9,014	Yes	+$24	02-14 16:23
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	20	$8.9K	12,597	0	+12,597	No	-$8,883	03-05 17:55
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	193	$8.4K	4,803	4,500	+303	Yes	+$123	02-27 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-06 16:50:49	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5,148	88¢	$4,505	0x8bee4e…
03-05 17:55:49	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	981	44¢	$432	0xe6b4bf…
03-05 17:54:47	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x6185a7…
03-05 13:45:35	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	725	69¢	$500	0x6413f9…
03-05 12:55:03	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0xbb4b0f…
03-05 12:14:21	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	651	77¢	$500	0xc32132…
03-05 09:59:01	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,500	69¢	$1,035	0x2ee0c4…
03-05 09:48:53	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	677	74¢	$500	0x3c64d1…
03-05 09:48:47	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,364	73¢	$1,000	0x44a813…
03-05 09:44:15	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	SELL	5,103	100¢	$5,098	0xabd879…
03-05 09:34:39	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x85f9ed…
03-05 09:18:21	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,908	73¢	$1,400	0xfb038b…
03-05 09:18:05	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,500	94¢	$1,412	0x22aba9…
03-05 09:17:11	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x45567f…
03-05 09:16:17	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd0705d…
03-05 09:12:11	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,331	71¢	$950	0xc31aa2…
03-05 09:11:55	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$963	0xa31495…
03-05 09:11:05	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x068e9c…
03-05 09:08:25	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xbcd025…
03-05 09:04:23	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	365	68¢	$250	0x4a1fd5…
03-05 08:59:37	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	SELL	179	100¢	$178	0x39d867…
03-05 07:51:45	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	327	75¢	$245	0xf0c66f…
03-05 07:48:47	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	194	75¢	$146	0x8d4cef…
03-05 07:48:25	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	388	75¢	$291	0x1b90a2…
03-05 07:48:03	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	91	75¢	$68	0x2a2dcf…
03-05 07:46:59	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,336	75¢	$1,000	0x1d1141…
03-03 06:20:15	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x558a43…
03-02 10:58:25	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	2,036	95¢	$1,934	0x8a22d2…
03-02 10:58:15	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x69908f…
03-02 10:58:07	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xbca73e…
03-02 10:51:25	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$24	0x2a65e9…
03-02 10:44:45	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,100	95¢	$1,045	0xb664b3…
03-02 10:43:47	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x8d0816…
03-02 10:43:45	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	293	95¢	$278	0xa1266c…
03-02 10:40:15	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	970	95¢	$922	0x167795…
03-02 10:39:19	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x76d110…
03-02 10:37:11	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	618	95¢	$587	0xa69efe…
03-02 10:19:45	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xb29e56…
03-02 10:17:53	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x11a1cd…
03-02 10:15:55	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x610410…
03-02 10:15:29	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	188	95¢	$178	0x2a1289…
03-02 10:03:01	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x908b89…
03-02 09:58:09	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x3cd1af…
03-02 09:55:39	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	307	95¢	$292	0x5ee4b9…
03-02 09:50:21	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$31	0x78bc11…
03-02 09:38:51	Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7e021d…
03-02 08:41:37	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5,621	0¢	$22	0xb8fde9…
03-02 08:41:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x861485…
03-02 08:41:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x08e27e…
03-02 08:40:49	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9d9263…
03-02 08:40:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcda95e…
03-02 08:40:11	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x5c2bbf…
03-02 08:39:49	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x91b792…
03-02 08:39:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9153ef…
03-02 08:39:13	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x5b142c…
03-02 08:38:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x0af160…
03-02 08:38:35	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x289272…
03-02 08:38:17	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x09c378…
03-02 08:37:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb9abdf…
03-02 08:37:35	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6a6903…
03-02 08:37:17	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x39b6f2…
03-02 08:36:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x055fef…
03-02 08:36:35	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x007db8…
03-02 08:36:13	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x903ed6…
03-02 08:35:55	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x80a85e…
03-02 08:35:35	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x7c5bc8…
03-02 08:35:11	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6c1c42…
03-02 08:34:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x43f378…
03-02 08:34:33	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe1a533…
03-02 08:34:15	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x2e29fc…
03-02 08:34:11	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8e2bb5…
03-02 08:33:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8d60ea…
03-02 08:33:33	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x21f647…
03-02 08:33:15	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x100a92…
03-02 08:32:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6bbdf7…
03-02 08:32:35	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcc66d5…
03-02 08:32:15	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8dcfd0…
03-02 08:31:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9e7391…
03-02 08:31:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x00ba2c…
03-02 08:31:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x3901b0…
03-02 08:30:47	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x0ed2f4…
03-02 08:30:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6bad98…
03-02 08:30:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf4adfb…
03-02 08:29:49	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb70c3d…
03-02 08:29:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x3dba1e…
03-02 08:29:05	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x5ec082…
03-02 08:28:45	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x49af74…
03-02 08:23:47	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x0c51d7…
03-02 08:12:21	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	668	0¢	$3	0x41cc06…
03-02 08:10:41	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x5f97d8…
03-02 08:05:33	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xd8e500…
03-02 08:05:33	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x665977…
03-02 08:05:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xc6fc41…
03-02 08:05:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x94eee6…
03-02 08:05:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x0a85fa…
03-02 08:00:01	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x03d481…
03-02 07:59:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xa242b9…
03-02 07:59:25	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x4dcd28…
03-02 07:54:13	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x5f7b90…
03-02 07:53:47	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x0297ff…