Impossible-Posterior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$61

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-10 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 74% -$2

Other

26% 75% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	1	$6	7	0	+7	Learner Tien	-$6	05-10 16:44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	3	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	05-10 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	-$5	05-10 16:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-10 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-10 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-10 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-10 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 18:14
Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 17:41
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	2	$2	2	2	+0	Team Heretics	+$0	05-10 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$2	101	0	+101	Up	-$1	05-10 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	-$2	05-10 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	05-10 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	05-10 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-10 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 18:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	-$1	05-10 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-10 16:25
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 16:58
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 16:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 18:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7c88c6…
05-10 18:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa8fb46…
05-10 18:43:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x29c6e5…
05-10 18:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x633323…
05-10 18:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd4c7eb…
05-10 18:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf37ffd…
05-10 18:28:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xef9b53…
05-10 18:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x079720…
05-10 18:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbf7e81…
05-10 18:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xef1fb2…
05-10 18:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9d01d4…
05-10 17:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeb4a2a…
05-10 17:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa817bc…
05-10 17:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2fe16f…
05-10 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8204af…
05-10 17:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x012dd5…
05-10 17:41:58	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Fnatic	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xf9c9c9…
05-10 17:41:11	Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7475d1…
05-10 17:39:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe3b149…
05-10 16:58:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa390eb…
05-10 16:58:08	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6019c4…
05-10 16:57:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa26c2c…
05-10 16:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x3694de…
05-10 16:48:32	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Fnatic	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa11638…
05-10 16:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x72611b…
05-10 16:44:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Bublik	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x46653e…
05-10 16:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x82417c…
05-10 16:39:42	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2c21f1…
05-10 16:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1eafcb…
05-10 16:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x904766…
05-10 16:29:45	Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xccd2a9…
05-10 16:27:20	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc1bcf7…
05-10 16:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb3c089…
05-10 16:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa3e176…