Worthless-Marketplace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$242

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 07-04 04:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Politics

21% — —

Sports

17% 67% $-1

Crypto

10% 0% $-2

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	2	$21	99	90	+9	open	—	03-10 19:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 16:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	03-10 19:08
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	03-19 20:59
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	02-24 01:34
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$10	9	8	+0	open	—	04-22 16:37
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	1	$8	0	10	-10	open	—	07-04 04:42
uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 por1	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-19 21:31
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$6	12	12	+0	open	—	03-17 13:56
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	07-04 04:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-28 13:06
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-16 18:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-13 13:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-28 12:54
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	03-10 19:09
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	29	0	+29	No	$-5	03-10 19:09
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-02 11:47
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$3	03-02 11:45
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	33	0	+33	open	—	03-10 19:09
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	02-24 01:33
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-12 18:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-25 14:30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-25 14:30
Canva IPO before 2027?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	07-04 04:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 10:27
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-09 13:59
will spy dip to 745 by june 1 2026	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-05 03:18
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-28 22:52
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-16 11:55
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$3	22	0	+22	open	—	03-16 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 04:45:17	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x12d16a…
07-04 04:43:04	Canva IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x5079bd…
07-04 04:42:52	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$8	0x19445c…
07-04 04:42:38	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x5047e0…
07-04 04:42:07	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xbc461a…
07-04 04:39:05	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x2e2608…
06-25 20:25:25	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x796d22…
06-23 20:21:20	will kylian mbappe score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023006	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5cd47d…
06-15 14:36:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x2c7326…
06-15 14:35:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3df2df…
06-09 14:01:37	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x648bdf…
06-09 14:01:30	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0071f4…
06-09 14:01:18	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa483e8…
06-09 14:01:13	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8a4d86…
06-09 13:59:45	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc5a11f…
06-09 13:59:37	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xac1d4b…
06-08 13:15:25	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x36d9c9…
06-08 13:15:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x20cb8f…
06-08 13:14:30	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x50825d…
06-05 03:18:43	will spy dip to 745 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x0e03f2…
06-02 18:03:41	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd9a526…
05-27 22:41:50	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdbef7c…
05-27 22:41:43	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbcc204…
05-27 22:41:38	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x952541…
05-25 14:37:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x884d58…
05-25 14:30:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x575a96…
05-25 14:30:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe38e36…
05-12 18:56:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9c4d87…
05-05 13:10:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9d7cbf…
04-28 22:53:06	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe58394…
04-28 22:52:44	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x496ffe…
04-28 16:07:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1881c8…
04-28 13:06:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x9e53c3…
04-28 13:05:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd09b39…
04-28 12:54:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf2a2bf…
04-22 16:37:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xa8acca…
04-22 16:37:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x5e8522…
04-20 18:23:44	ethereum above 2400 on april 23	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbf2394…
04-20 18:22:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x37b9a4…
04-20 18:21:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa527bb…
04-20 18:19:28	Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xa33d43…
04-16 17:19:54	Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x540bdb…
04-16 12:22:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xe5d9e6…
04-16 11:55:36	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x0deda7…
04-13 13:52:15	Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xfdab11…
04-13 13:51:17	Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x077898…
04-13 13:51:07	Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2ed2fc…
04-13 13:09:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd2817d…
04-02 10:35:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xfaf742…
04-02 10:27:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x67a3d3…
03-30 20:07:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x85cc1c…
03-19 22:12:23	Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5e6c98…
03-19 21:56:09	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 draw	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe8aaf7…
03-19 21:51:39	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 draw	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x529079…
03-19 21:41:35	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xf176dd…
03-19 21:39:19	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x203313…
03-19 21:39:15	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x963c0d…
03-19 21:31:07	uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 por1	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0xe609cb…
03-19 21:12:51	uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 por1	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7b7077…
03-19 20:59:39	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x22582e…
03-17 13:56:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x3d6807…
03-17 13:56:11	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x22ccee…
03-16 19:06:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x60e4a0…
03-16 18:59:47	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x207385…
03-16 16:49:43	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xfc48f8…
03-16 16:45:21	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x28382e…
03-16 16:45:11	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x5ef625…
03-10 19:15:53	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	Yes	SELL	90	11¢	$10	0x1545ee…
03-10 19:15:13	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x776479…
03-10 19:15:05	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 420 439	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x854b0f…
03-10 19:14:59	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	Yes	BUY	99	11¢	$11	0xe35b78…
03-10 19:09:43	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x646740…
03-10 19:09:29	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf6696f…
03-10 19:09:13	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x80c48e…
03-10 19:08:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x933e97…
03-02 11:47:25	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0c97fb…
03-02 11:46:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8e94cd…
03-02 11:45:41	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3cb995…
02-24 01:34:00	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xddcd58…
02-24 01:33:28	US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x278079…