Scared-Hive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$466

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

2,123

Trades

8,564

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-14 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 41% -$355

Other

5% 28% -$112

Sports

1% 25% -$4

Politics

1% 42% +$6

Tech

0% 25% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 72k february 9 15	220	$324	323	323	+0	No	-$6	02-12 02:39
bitcoin up or down on february 12	195	$306	302	302	+0	Down	+$0	02-12 02:43
will bitcoin dip to 64k february 9 15	313	$288	339	339	+0	No	-$16	02-12 02:41
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	232	$239	179	179	+0	No	-$5	02-12 02:42
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	179	$168	142	142	+0	No	+$1	02-12 02:41
will ethereum dip to 1700 february 9 15	79	$128	80	80	+0	No	+$0	02-12 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	15	$117	223	223	+0	Down	-$14	10-14 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	6	$107	78	78	+0	Up	+$13	05-27 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	6	$102	96	96	+0	Up	+$9	05-29 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:50 UTC	46	$89	84	84	-0	Down	-$4	08-17 18:53
bitcoin up or down march 13 10pm et	7	$88	90	90	+0	Down	+$3	03-14 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	7	$83	68	55	+13	Up	+$26	05-29 16:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:35 UTC	22	$78	52	52	-0	Down	+$5	07-08 18:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 06:00 UTC	12	$75	49	32	+17	Down	+$1	03-25 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	8	$71	68	67	+0	Down	+$3	05-27 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	8	$69	108	0	+108	Down	+$12	05-29 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	12	$61	50	50	+0	Down	+$13	05-27 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	10	$61	121	23	+98	Down	-$19	05-27 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	30	$61	145	151	-6	Down	-$3	05-25 14:41
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	55	$59	40	40	+0	No	$0	02-12 02:41
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:20 UTC	18	$57	47	47	-0	Down	-$1	07-08 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	8	$55	76	76	+0	Up	-$12	05-27 02:53
ethereum up or down on february 11	57	$54	37	37	+0	Down	+$4	02-11 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 18:20 UTC	17	$54	114	0	+114	Up	+$9	06-10 18:23
will ethereum dip to 1900 february 9 15	100	$54	42	42	+0	Yes	+$1	02-12 02:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 18:15 UTC	14	$51	33	33	+0	Down	+$4	07-08 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	12	$50	47	47	+0	Down	+$5	05-27 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:55 UTC	20	$50	112	0	+112	Up	+$2	06-10 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 17:15 UTC	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	02-22 17:19
will bitcoin dip to 62k february 9 15	68	$49	87	87	+0	No	-$4	02-12 02:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 17:26:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x53302c…
10-14 17:26:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x4dfe68…
10-14 17:15:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe901f4…
10-14 17:15:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x94c5d6…
10-14 17:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdf5b18…
10-14 17:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc14a78…
10-14 17:00:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xffff1c…
10-14 17:00:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfb7c26…
10-14 17:00:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x982e2d…
10-14 17:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xeac16e…
10-14 17:00:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xc39763…
10-14 17:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x8e14e6…
10-14 16:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbf713f…
10-14 16:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x4c7fef…
10-14 16:30:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd66fa2…
10-14 16:30:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x87ee12…
10-14 16:30:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb92c74…
10-14 16:30:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa8a5e0…
10-14 16:30:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xd97050…
10-14 16:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xffcac0…
10-14 16:26:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x86b9de…
10-14 16:25:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x8d465a…
10-14 16:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1f5c14…
10-14 16:15:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa6523d…
10-14 16:15:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x89177a…
10-14 16:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa8e899…
10-14 16:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9f8af4…
10-14 16:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x70d690…
10-14 16:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x3fbc15…
10-14 16:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x534730…
10-14 16:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2abf2d…
10-14 15:45:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3cbfdb…
10-14 15:45:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x342b0f…
10-14 15:45:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x823e1a…
10-14 15:45:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x73f06e…
10-14 15:45:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xb5226d…
10-14 15:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe8764c…
10-14 15:30:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x85ddbf…
10-14 15:30:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x60454a…
10-14 15:30:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x96af5a…
10-14 15:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x80b29a…
10-14 15:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x506283…
10-14 15:15:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x4d21fd…
10-14 15:15:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x74b772…
10-14 15:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xf66a5d…
10-14 15:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x97a2ba…
10-14 15:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x0c5d9d…
10-14 15:00:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x407f49…
10-14 15:00:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x86ff23…
10-14 15:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4dbe55…
10-14 15:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xee522d…
10-14 15:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xadb9c7…
10-14 14:45:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xb0ced8…
10-14 14:45:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x44ed3c…
10-14 14:45:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x7dca54…
10-14 14:45:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5d4675…
10-14 14:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7ba6b4…
10-14 14:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x70efb2…
10-14 14:30:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x481ff1…
10-14 14:30:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdd4771…
10-14 14:30:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x46e633…
10-14 14:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x36bb27…
10-14 14:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x83ce6b…
10-14 14:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x4abb04…
10-14 14:15:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb4a9da…
10-14 14:15:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x5c5ca4…
10-14 14:15:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xbd71fd…
10-14 14:15:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb2ebbd…
10-14 14:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xc4b758…
10-14 14:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x90e832…
10-14 14:00:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x916884…
10-14 14:00:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3996da…
10-14 14:00:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc9cc2e…
10-14 14:00:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2d66a5…
10-14 14:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xd69c64…
10-14 14:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd2cde7…
10-14 13:45:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x780624…
10-14 13:45:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xfb5172…
10-14 13:45:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8f5321…
10-14 13:45:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5639a2…
10-14 13:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x99d924…
10-14 13:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0dc772…
10-14 13:30:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x78d877…
10-14 13:30:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x07ef2c…
10-14 13:30:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe5c428…
10-14 13:30:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xc74f9c…
10-14 13:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xca20a1…
10-14 13:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc0d96d…
10-14 13:15:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x53ebe0…
10-14 13:15:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x38ce48…
10-14 13:15:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x54f194…
10-14 13:15:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x43e449…
10-14 13:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x37b3c5…
10-14 13:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x08de66…
10-14 13:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xe0fd0a…
10-14 13:00:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x57a39d…
10-14 13:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x878fe8…
10-14 13:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x0e184c…
10-14 13:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd6951f…
10-14 13:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x330e0a…