Prestigious-Grill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

Trades

462

lifetime

Volume

$3.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-08 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

50% 85% +$2

Politics

29% 33% $-5

Crypto

11% 100% +$0

Sports

7% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No		+15	$15	100¢	$15	+$0	05-31 15:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$68	154	154	+0	open	—	04-21 22:44
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander Zverev	2	$61	33	33	+0	open	—	04-27 19:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$43	32	16	+16	open	—	05-22 22:09
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$40	15	31	-15	open	—	04-27 19:23
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 13:00
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	2	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-23 15:18
mlb mil bos 2026 04 06	7	$30	49	20	+29	open	—	04-07 00:21
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	3	$28	16	16	+0	Yes	$-2	05-08 03:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	05-19 19:06
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	05-19 21:27
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	3	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	06-08 19:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	2	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	05-25 21:46
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$27	16	16	+0	No	$-3	05-08 09:06
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	5	$26	16	16	-0	open	—	05-15 21:15
ethereum above 2400 on april 14	3	$26	45	45	+0	open	—	04-14 13:42
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	3	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	05-22 03:50
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	05-16 22:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$25	15	15	+0	No	$-5	05-06 10:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$25	41	26	+15	open	—	05-29 00:04
atp sakamo schiess 2026 04 06	5	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	04-06 21:18
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-07 02:37
will bitcoin dip to 68k april 6 12	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-07 05:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	04-07 12:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	05-25 23:42
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	5	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	04-13 13:20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$20	33	33	+0	open	—	04-13 12:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$20	24	24	+0	open	—	04-12 19:12
nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08 total 5pt5	3	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	04-08 23:59
nhl edm sj 2026 04 08 total 6pt5	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	04-09 02:09
nhl fla ott 2026 04 09 total 4pt5	3	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	04-08 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:06:06	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xbc3d20…
06-08 19:57:55	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x60e888…
06-08 19:10:15	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x5a536e…
06-08 18:42:06	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x0475eb…
06-08 18:20:24	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0xb6bb01…
06-07 23:35:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf33dd0…
06-06 04:07:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x2da49c…
06-05 08:32:45	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x2fde00…
06-05 07:19:13	will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xf3afa1…
06-04 16:11:10	will spy dip to 725 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xeb57bc…
06-04 12:15:21	will spy reach 765 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x039846…
06-04 11:33:12	will wti dip to 85 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xce8701…
06-04 07:49:22	will spy reach 770 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xee2e68…
06-03 22:11:19	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x2bfc8d…
06-03 12:05:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc8f78e…
06-01 12:45:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xc18642…
06-01 12:44:42	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xa8a592…
05-31 15:13:09	Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb26180…
05-30 06:26:03	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xff35de…
05-30 06:07:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x373e15…
05-30 06:07:16	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9cf0dd…
05-29 17:09:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xd1b448…
05-29 09:51:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x438c9c…
05-29 09:20:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x97999a…
05-29 00:04:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe46fc5…
05-28 09:48:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x700488…
05-28 09:12:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xf1c0ed…
05-27 20:20:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xd9a874…
05-27 16:26:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xde8a01…
05-26 20:29:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x2d09a1…
05-25 23:42:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0xf38de3…
05-25 21:46:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x3f0db4…
05-25 21:46:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xe11094…
05-25 21:46:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x702b57…
05-25 21:46:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x83c7fb…
05-25 12:46:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x1c4ba3…
05-24 00:01:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xaee835…
05-23 14:12:15	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5740c5…
05-22 22:09:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x69f933…
05-22 21:25:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xf2b24e…
05-22 21:25:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x5caa38…
05-22 13:00:55	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xda1e6f…
05-22 10:22:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x22fb5e…
05-22 08:20:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x5768ef…
05-22 06:21:57	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfb7864…
05-22 03:50:36	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xacd2f1…
05-22 03:50:36	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$9	0x070fd8…
05-21 20:36:52	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa6cb6f…
05-21 14:49:13	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xa6de8f…
05-21 14:13:12	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x87d489…
05-20 14:21:51	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc4ce36…
05-20 06:18:09	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xe32fda…
05-20 04:20:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x9c4c00…
05-20 03:12:51	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x12d56b…
05-20 02:29:45	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xc903dd…
05-20 01:07:42	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xa39a99…
05-19 21:27:00	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x7bee15…
05-19 19:06:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x7e56d9…
05-19 19:06:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xcdb79c…
05-19 06:57:04	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x78736d…
05-19 02:22:05	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x228004…
05-19 00:45:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x11b157…
05-19 00:45:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xbc82ce…
05-19 00:01:32	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd55d92…
05-18 16:39:38	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x635711…
05-18 15:06:54	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb18b9e…
05-17 06:53:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x15d7ad…
05-16 22:41:56	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0xaa5498…
05-16 22:41:56	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x283527…
05-15 21:15:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	73¢	$11	0x717920…
05-15 19:22:46	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xe54dd7…
05-15 09:38:23	Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x858fa2…
05-15 00:17:36	Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xbd8190…
05-15 00:14:53	Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xdd20a2…
05-15 00:03:02	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x74d2a8…
05-14 22:13:56	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xd9eedc…
05-14 04:30:29	Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xf44861…
05-14 00:58:37	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xa5bcf4…
05-14 00:36:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa4a1a1…
05-14 00:35:22	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0f07c6…
05-14 00:35:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x474a48…
05-14 00:33:55	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x134592…
05-14 00:26:37	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xac4dbc…
05-14 00:07:03	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xfdb8a9…
05-13 20:26:26	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x2c4066…
05-13 16:36:45	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x1e596c…
05-13 16:32:59	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2bc4c0…
05-13 16:29:43	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7781c7…
05-13 12:29:21	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbed9c8…
05-13 08:59:21	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xf3e535…
05-13 07:58:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa01b74…
05-13 07:30:15	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x92e860…
05-13 02:02:14	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x721e2b…
05-13 01:37:51	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb24a38…
05-13 01:06:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe606b9…
05-13 00:38:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xba2a93…
05-12 14:01:25	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x94b2aa…
05-12 06:20:59	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3e2619…
05-12 00:01:23	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x856fca…
05-11 18:15:12	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x454ebc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	179	$1.30M	24,958	06-09 00:20
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	179	$550.4K	41,470	06-10 00:42
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	157	$15.1M	31,803	06-10 00:31
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	143	$80.4K	8,977	06-09 20:35
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	137	$22.7K	3,855	06-09 22:08
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	136	$19.1K	1,357	06-09 22:00
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	126	$367.9K	26,356	06-01 05:20
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	123	$661.5K	10,767	06-10 00:42