Prestigious-Grill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$254

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

481

Trades

723

lifetime

Volume

$6.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-17 04:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

53% 75% -$62

Politics

33% 73% -$109

Crypto

6% 60% -$14

Sports

4% 42% -$45

Tech

3% 67% -$9

Pop-Culture

1% 75% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		-10	-$6	30¢	$-3	+$3	05-23 15:20
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes		-12	-$1	15¢	$-2	-$1	05-03 19:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$68	154	154	+0	Yes	+$8	04-21 22:44
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander Zverev	2	$61	33	33	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$1	04-27 19:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$43	32	16	+16	No	-$17	05-22 22:09
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$40	15	31	-15	No	-$5	04-27 19:23
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 13:00
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	2	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	04-23 15:18
mlb mil bos 2026 04 06	7	$30	49	20	+29	Milwaukee Brewers	-$9	04-07 00:21
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	3	$28	16	16	+0	Yes	-$2	05-08 03:33
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	5	$28	16	16	+0	Yes	-$2	05-26 01:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	3	$28	16	16	+0	No	-$2	06-17 03:51
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	3	$28	16	16	+0	No	-$2	06-14 18:43
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$28	16	16	+0	No	-$2	05-15 19:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$28	16	16	+0	No	-$2	05-19 19:06
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	3	$28	16	16	+0	No	-$2	06-14 14:30
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?	3	$28	16	16	+0	No	-$2	06-13 01:38
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	3	$28	16	16	+0	Yes	-$2	06-03 03:03
will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	2	$28	16	16	+0	Yes	-$2	06-11 12:25
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	2	$28	16	16	+0	No	-$2	06-10 16:19
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	2	$28	16	16	+0	No	-$2	05-24 15:35
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	2	$27	16	16	+0	No	-$3	05-26 19:15
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$27	16	16	+0	Yes	-$3	05-19 21:27
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	8	$27	16	16	+0	No	-$3	05-12 12:23
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	3	$27	16	16	+0	Yes	-$2	06-08 19:10
Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	2	$27	16	16	+0	No	-$3	05-08 08:48
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04?	5	$27	16	16	+0	No	-$3	06-05 02:26
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	2	$27	16	16	+0	Yes	-$3	05-30 04:01
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	2	$27	16	16	+0	Yes	-$3	05-11 04:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	2	$27	16	16	+0	No	-$3	05-25 21:46
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$27	16	16	+0	No	-$3	05-08 09:06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	4	$27	16	16	+0	No	-$1	05-25 21:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 04:15:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x8aa4d4…
06-17 03:51:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xac4065…
06-17 03:50:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x69eb0d…
06-17 03:14:18	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x633bb9…
06-16 19:00:11	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Algeria?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x941847…
06-16 18:42:17	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Algeria?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xba4e1e…
06-16 18:35:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x66ed8e…
06-16 18:35:37	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe123bd…
06-16 18:20:58	Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x86cb3b…
06-16 18:17:07	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Algeria?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf608b9…
06-16 18:15:01	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Algeria?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x4a9812…
06-16 08:56:03	Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x7603b1…
06-15 06:47:51	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x62b1be…
06-15 05:01:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x530499…
06-15 04:47:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x88394e…
06-14 23:15:49	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xc4013b…
06-14 22:04:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xae6299…
06-14 21:44:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc23608…
06-14 21:31:40	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x2ee622…
06-14 18:43:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xe612ca…
06-14 18:43:45	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0x1c40da…
06-14 18:26:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x090671…
06-14 14:30:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x4f67ce…
06-14 14:28:27	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xbcf597…
06-14 10:04:49	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5fb974…
06-14 07:10:19	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x4c346d…
06-14 03:35:52	Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8fbc50…
06-13 23:58:28	Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xca98c0…
06-13 23:54:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x3c3336…
06-13 20:17:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x3c18ff…
06-13 17:52:21	will trump announce location or date of us and iran deal signing by june 13 2026 20260611220122298	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x368f31…
06-13 04:45:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xac4abd…
06-13 03:39:48	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x71dcc7…
06-13 03:16:16	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xa764a9…
06-13 01:52:10	Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xc086f0…
06-13 01:38:58	Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x042ef0…
06-13 01:38:33	Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xc691e6…
06-13 00:19:22	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x60e729…
06-12 22:28:54	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x389f17…
06-12 22:26:19	Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x79b1b8…
06-12 22:18:19	Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x08514c…
06-12 19:01:01	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 250 high 20260608191407795	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x42975a…
06-12 18:59:24	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2db7a7…
06-12 00:44:28	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb4a5ce…
06-11 19:06:27	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xe32b6c…
06-11 18:06:34	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x454d2f…
06-11 17:47:54	will donald trump be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212479	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc6d4e4…
06-11 17:38:03	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb970c7…
06-11 16:28:33	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3640a0…
06-11 13:27:22	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x4d68f0…
06-11 12:25:43	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x8a7865…
06-11 07:03:36	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xb5a73f…
06-11 06:46:15	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0xbde7da…
06-11 06:36:10	Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	No	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x8e305e…
06-11 00:45:28	Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x90a2bf…
06-11 00:07:00	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x0e75c1…
06-10 22:37:00	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x6b4e94…
06-10 16:19:00	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	16	77¢	$13	0x0959e3…
06-10 04:54:18	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xbb3238…
06-10 03:31:24	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x7c8d3d…
06-09 23:06:06	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xbc3d20…
06-09 20:22:54	Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x4f274f…
06-09 20:12:15	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa12823…
06-08 22:11:09	Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x2c5916…
06-08 19:57:55	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x60e888…
06-08 19:10:15	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x5a536e…
06-08 18:42:06	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x0475eb…
06-08 18:33:33	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x85041c…
06-08 18:20:30	Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xfb8911…
06-08 18:20:24	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0xb6bb01…
06-07 23:35:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf33dd0…
06-07 23:35:39	Will Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x14e82b…
06-06 04:49:24	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x30c489…
06-06 04:15:27	Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xbdd145…
06-06 04:07:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x2da49c…
06-06 02:41:06	Will Sandro Parcaroli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x692075…
06-06 02:40:55	Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xaac5a2…
06-06 02:40:33	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa99bf5…
06-05 08:32:45	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x2fde00…
06-05 07:19:13	will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xf3afa1…
06-05 05:43:33	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7484ba…
06-05 02:26:18	Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xaef952…
06-05 02:26:03	Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04?	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x4a60ee…
06-05 02:25:39	Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x0959e1…
06-05 01:42:10	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x766fb9…
06-05 00:03:13	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xc39802…
06-05 00:01:12	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x297871…
06-04 20:16:15	Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0xdd35cc…
06-04 20:15:51	Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x751ccb…
06-04 20:15:30	Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x9d870f…
06-04 19:44:54	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x79d03b…
06-04 16:51:27	Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xc022ce…
06-04 16:11:10	will spy dip to 725 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xeb57bc…
06-04 14:06:37	Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x5448d9…
06-04 12:15:21	will spy reach 765 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x039846…
06-04 11:33:12	will wti dip to 85 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xce8701…
06-04 07:49:22	will spy reach 770 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xee2e68…
06-04 07:02:48	Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x4a405e…
06-04 06:56:27	Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1efcc9…
06-04 06:20:31	Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x85cb54…