Normal-Fedelini — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$159

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$3.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 08-28 07:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$3

Sports

19% 100% +$0

Politics

15% 33% -$164

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	23	$767	427	427	+0	No	+$0	04-21 12:21
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$468	247	247	+0	No	+$0	03-14 10:24
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	2	$215	108	108	+0	No	+$0	03-11 12:12
will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	02-14 14:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$165	635	0	+635	No	-$165	04-22 05:56
will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	1	$124	125	0	+125	No	+$0	02-28 07:30
will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$107	107	0	+107	No	+$0	02-28 07:26
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	19	$104	444	444	+0	No	+$0	04-21 08:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	8	$95	678	678	+0	No	$0	04-26 05:21
will trumps approval rating be less than 40pt5 on february 13 2026	2	$87	88	0	+88	No	+$1	02-12 14:38
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	1	$79	80	0	+80	Yes	+$1	02-12 15:02
ethereum above 1700 on february 14	1	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$1	02-12 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 22?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-21 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 3?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-03 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 09:10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 20?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-20 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-30 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 3?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-03 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 3?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-03 01:50
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on July 7?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-06 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 6?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-06 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 29?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-28 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on June 20?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 1?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-01 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on June 23?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-23 01:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or below on July 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-20 03:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-30 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-30 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on July 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-08 03:20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C or below on July 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-08 03:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 07:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe3c8e5…
08-28 07:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7ae68…
08-28 07:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x8bc7be…
07-27 04:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or below on July 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfd5114…
07-27 04:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xebb897…
07-27 04:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92211b…
07-20 03:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d6efc…
07-20 03:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc56e5d…
07-20 03:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa8149e…
07-20 03:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcca1ca…
07-20 03:02:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32763f…
07-20 03:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or below on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdd83b8…
07-09 06:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on July 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35c232…
07-09 06:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb771a9…
07-09 04:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47c9a4…
07-09 04:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6282a…
07-08 03:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76ce5c…
07-08 03:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x707f1d…
07-08 03:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x02da64…
07-07 07:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or higher on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0e439…
07-07 07:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0efbd2…
07-07 07:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x603275…
07-06 06:43:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbaa4d9…
07-06 06:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a90ac…
07-06 06:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7058bb…
07-06 06:39:25	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x218b13…
07-06 06:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95cd7b…
07-06 06:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on July 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4f6469…
07-03 01:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c54f8…
07-03 01:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6291ad…
07-03 01:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4835e…
07-03 01:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cc79c…
07-03 01:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb23c4e…
07-03 01:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcf3110…
07-01 06:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x48019e…
07-01 06:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x01ccd6…
07-01 06:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xb97e7a…
06-30 09:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa1884d…
06-30 09:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e05a6…
06-30 09:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8affaa…
06-30 09:45:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x859dbc…
06-30 09:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x772714…
06-30 09:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb89bcc…
06-29 08:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xda8d1b…
06-29 08:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf3235d…
06-29 08:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8b9819…
06-23 08:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb1d22c…
06-23 01:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf13814…
06-23 01:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x337c04…
06-23 01:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cc5cc…
06-23 01:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5d0206…
06-23 01:45:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7ffcc7…
06-23 01:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c7c5d…
06-18 08:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on June 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x320df4…
06-18 08:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc4281d…
06-18 08:41:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc579c9…
06-17 08:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xef12b1…
06-17 08:49:58	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x957328…
06-17 08:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x64338a…
06-16 09:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdae3ac…
06-16 09:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4eb33…
06-16 09:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcd3f6f…
06-16 09:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4df816…
06-16 09:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdcd67d…
06-16 09:06:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on June 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4b7fc…
06-12 07:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x49592b…
06-12 07:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa691f9…
06-12 07:53:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on June 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4a612…
05-21 14:01:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbc257…
05-21 13:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdcf376…
05-21 13:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xab9d0b…
05-21 13:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcda951…
04-27 08:43:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfecc6b…
04-27 08:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbb6370…
04-27 08:40:30	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3dc6df…
04-27 08:37:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e06e1…
04-27 08:36:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3d120…
04-27 08:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 28?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5617ce…
04-26 05:21:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	308	7¢	$22	0x8580c5…
04-26 05:08:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	7¢	$4	0x4506dd…
04-26 05:04:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x017346…
04-26 05:04:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	262	7¢	$18	0x972447…
04-26 05:00:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	7¢	$7	0xec9905…
04-26 04:57:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	7¢	$10	0x9e2c18…
04-26 04:48:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	7¢	$4	0x940745…
04-26 04:42:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	416	7¢	$29	0x6cedd6…
04-22 05:56:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	635	26¢	$165	0xe4640d…
04-21 12:21:02	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$11	0x2f8e8d…
04-21 12:01:02	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x7869a5…
04-21 11:43:16	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xfe37a6…
04-21 11:30:46	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x36546c…
04-21 11:27:24	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xadca8a…
04-21 11:23:50	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	116	90¢	$105	0x14ed70…
04-21 11:12:40	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	107	90¢	$96	0xff14b1…
04-21 11:07:04	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x3cc611…
04-21 10:44:14	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x4dfd97…
04-21 10:44:10	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x23be35…
04-21 10:36:00	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x8214e6…
04-21 10:34:42	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0x5142b2…
04-21 08:54:36	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xd5d471…