Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

114

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$3.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 05-10 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

69% 70% +$99

Other

22% 77% -$104

Crypto

9% 75% -$14

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	5	$347	180	180	+0	Yes	+$9	03-01 08:47
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$314	220	220	+0	Yes	+$116	04-16 15:48
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$280	160	160	+0	Yes	+$36	03-23 10:06
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	9	$265	315	315	+0	Yes	-$101	04-09 16:40
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	2	$237	130	130	+0	Yes	+$5	03-01 16:31
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$200	103	103	+0	No	+$0	02-18 11:23
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	2	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$3	02-10 20:15
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$172	150	150	+0	No	+$14	03-03 19:38
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$157	256	256	+0	Yes	-$39	02-26 19:55
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	02-13 07:45
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$95	700	700	+0	No	-$17	02-20 21:00
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	2	$63	39	39	+0	Yes	+$14	03-07 08:46
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	2	$57	60	0	+60	Yes	+$3	03-01 08:56
highest temperature in toronto on february 11 2026 2corhigher	12	$30	19	19	+0	No	+$0	02-11 12:53
highest temperature in nyc on february 11 2026 38 39f	7	$30	18	18	+0	No	+$0	02-11 12:53
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$30	94	0	+94	No	-$30	05-05 11:23
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-11 05:00 UTC	7	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	02-11 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:45 UTC	3	$22	31	0	+31	Down	+$9	02-09 17:55
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	5	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$0	02-13 07:44
highest temperature in miami on february 11 2026 76 77f	5	$20	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	02-11 05:36
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 11 2026 33c	4	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	02-11 06:06
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	02-13 07:46
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 360 379	4	$20	11	11	-0	No	$0	02-11 21:57
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 380 399	4	$20	11	11	-0	No	$0	02-11 21:57
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 340 359	4	$20	11	11	-0	No	$0	02-11 21:57
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-11 05:00 UTC	4	$19	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	02-11 06:52
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	4	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	02-13 07:47
highest temperature in ankara on february 11 2026 9corhigher	4	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	02-11 09:36
meta close above 670 on february 10 2026	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	02-10 22:28
highest temperature in atlanta on february 11 2026 62 63f	4	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$0	02-11 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 10:16:51	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x50ece7…
05-05 11:23:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xea9bcf…
05-05 07:15:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x677142…
05-05 07:15:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x9a6998…
05-05 07:15:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xb22b96…
05-05 07:15:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x1f4433…
05-05 07:07:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x8080c4…
05-05 07:07:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xa9c387…
05-05 07:07:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x1a2417…
05-05 07:07:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xfa9e53…
05-05 07:07:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x89109c…
05-05 06:57:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	47	8¢	$4	0x26ca2a…
04-16 15:48:50	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	98¢	$215	0x9d7374…
04-09 18:00:11	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0x9cd0e2…
04-09 17:59:43	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x66595e…
04-09 17:59:17	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	45¢	$40	0xbecc7d…
04-09 16:41:17	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3faead…
04-09 16:41:03	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	45¢	$30	0x59cb69…
04-09 16:40:21	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	315	26¢	$82	0xfa0754…
04-01 07:00:13	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x9c7237…
04-01 06:59:49	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	58¢	$36	0xe4e964…
04-01 06:59:41	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x601906…
04-01 06:59:35	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x4cf1dd…
04-01 06:51:35	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x63218d…
04-01 06:51:33	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x59bb66…
04-01 06:51:27	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x3b7fd1…
04-01 06:46:35	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0x5ee11e…
03-23 10:06:01	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0xe41bf9…
03-14 11:54:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x7af47c…
03-07 08:46:05	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	Yes	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x01b02b…
03-03 19:39:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xe977cd…
03-03 19:38:43	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	150	62¢	$93	0xfb9a79…
03-01 17:11:27	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0x3b46b2…
03-01 17:01:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xaeaa0d…
03-01 16:31:49	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	SELL	130	93¢	$121	0xaf358c…
03-01 08:56:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xa7d3b3…
03-01 08:50:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0x5337d6…
03-01 08:48:23	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	130	89¢	$116	0x218e57…
03-01 08:47:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x4770a3…
02-28 16:24:13	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xaf3fe1…
02-28 16:23:55	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x7d9d60…
02-28 16:23:03	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	67	94¢	$62	0xeffeb4…
02-28 16:21:41	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x095ecb…
02-26 19:55:50	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xd8f195…
02-20 21:00:42	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	SELL	700	6¢	$39	0x7c6fcc…
02-19 15:40:02	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x0758f6…
02-19 15:39:38	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	700	8¢	$56	0x7f0b1f…
02-18 11:30:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	56	76¢	$43	0x54e67a…
02-18 11:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x99a45a…
02-18 11:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05a8da…
02-18 11:23:04	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x566ff5…
02-17 10:17:45	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xeaf5a2…
02-17 09:58:45	bitcoin above 66k on february 17	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xad05ef…
02-17 09:58:03	bitcoin above 66k on february 17	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x26e824…
02-17 09:55:59	bitcoin above 80k on february 17	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x2e5e6a…
02-17 09:55:43	bitcoin above 78k on february 17	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xe4ec24…
02-16 21:54:15	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 gir	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x804807…
02-13 07:47:35	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x5471f7…
02-13 07:47:11	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x8c442d…
02-13 07:47:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x21f9d6…
02-13 07:46:55	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x0f0f0b…
02-13 07:46:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xeb82f5…
02-13 07:45:55	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xedb00b…
02-13 07:44:23	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xa80e56…
02-13 04:09:07	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x07afc1…
02-13 04:00:31	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x235807…
02-13 03:02:33	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xc67ea1…
02-13 01:32:15	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x7aa822…
02-12 11:45:29	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x68c952…
02-12 11:43:13	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x4167eb…
02-12 09:45:21	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xb26f41…
02-12 07:22:07	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x6d62df…
02-12 06:41:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x50091c…
02-12 03:00:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd03be8…
02-12 02:55:33	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7387dd…
02-11 22:11:31	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xeb214e…
02-11 21:58:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa93192…
02-11 21:58:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2a473c…
02-11 21:57:33	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 340 359	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x1ba8a6…
02-11 21:57:27	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 380 399	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xd3778f…
02-11 21:57:15	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 360 379	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x6a0b16…
02-11 21:57:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbbcfc7…
02-11 21:55:45	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7e34b4…
02-11 21:51:05	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 380 399	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9a16d6…
02-11 21:51:03	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 360 379	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x3121ed…
02-11 21:51:03	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 340 359	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x021349…
02-11 21:48:29	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 340 359	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x6a6962…
02-11 21:48:25	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 380 399	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x77929b…
02-11 21:48:21	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 440 459	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xf2f3be…
02-11 21:48:19	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 360 379	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xc6ec58…
02-11 21:48:15	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 320 339	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x4b6662…
02-11 21:48:09	will trump say midterm election this week february 15	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x688e9e…
02-11 21:48:07	tsla close above 430 on february 11 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xebfeb0…
02-11 21:48:03	hubs quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt99	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd6f475…
02-11 21:47:51	app quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt95	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcfd2fa…
02-11 20:20:15	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 380 399	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2f4f0c…
02-11 20:15:07	will trump say midterm election this week february 15	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd40296…
02-11 20:10:27	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 320 339	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x796d5b…
02-11 20:05:43	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5aaa05…
02-11 20:03:29	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 440 459	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x37892d…