Determined-Weekender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$801

Unrealized P&L

-$237

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

Trades

465

lifetime

Volume

$35.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-23 17:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

69% 49% +$801

Politics

31% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes		-618	$236	0¢	$-1	$-237	06-23 17:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	58	$9.0K	19,171	14,094	+5,076	open	—	06-15 14:49
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	15	$1.7K	17,094	17,712	-618	open	—	06-23 17:31
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	3	$396	400	400	+0	open	—	05-29 16:13
israel closes its airspace by june 14	9	$331	2,445	2,445	+0	open	—	06-14 18:04
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	3	$301	318	318	+0	Under	$-9	05-06 19:47
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 1pt5	2	$300	577	0	+577	open	—	06-10 10:49
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5	2	$300	414	0	+414	open	—	05-28 10:46
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5	2	$300	426	0	+426	open	—	05-28 10:46
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	2	$275	245	245	+0	76ers	+$25	05-06 19:47
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5	2	$251	502	0	+502	Over	+$251	05-13 19:29
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	1	$250	472	0	+472	open	—	06-03 17:24
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	2	$249	271	271	+0	Over	$-11	05-06 19:47
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)	2	$244	216	213	+3	open	—	04-24 15:39
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	2	$242	250	250	+0	Spurs	$-8	05-06 19:47
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	2	$240	667	0	+667	Spurs	$-240	05-13 02:05
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$230	261	257	+4	open	—	04-24 15:39
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5	2	$226	230	227	+3	open	—	04-24 15:39
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5	2	$225	388	0	+388	open	—	04-29 14:44
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5	2	$216	216	213	+3	open	—	04-24 15:39
nba por sas 2026 04 21	1	$205	1,282	0	+1,282	open	—	04-21 19:59
1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	3	$205	382	0	+382	Spurs	$-205	05-12 20:13
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	1	$200	400	0	+400	Over	+$200	05-11 19:27
nba por sas 2026 04 19 spread home 11pt5	1	$200	573	0	+573	open	—	04-20 02:08
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	1	$200	400	0	+400	Cavaliers	+$200	05-11 19:32
1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	1	$200	402	0	+402	Lakers	+$202	05-11 19:36
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	1	$200	400	0	+400	Over	$-200	05-10 19:01
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 6pt5	1	$200	392	0	+392	open	—	06-05 15:20
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 104.5	1	$200	392	0	+392	Under	$-200	05-11 19:28
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	1	$200	541	0	+541	Lakers	+$341	05-12 04:16
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	1	$200	408	0	+408	open	—	05-30 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 17:31:23	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7,746	3¢	$202	0x8595fe…
06-23 11:32:41	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7,746	3¢	$264	0xf37da8…
06-21 15:56:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,295	5¢	$244	0x8e78ca…
06-21 10:54:08	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	271	4¢	$12	0x09b1c2…
06-21 10:46:59	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	162	4¢	$7	0xfce91a…
06-21 08:01:07	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,359	5¢	$155	0x19d044…
06-21 05:08:43	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,368	4¢	$100	0xa2e166…
06-15 14:49:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	408	0¢	$2	0x27f78b…
06-14 21:26:54	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4,239	6¢	$254	0x5c09ca…
06-14 21:08:54	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xd85168…
06-14 21:08:21	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	326	9¢	$30	0xe7f2a4…
06-14 21:07:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,199	9¢	$108	0xcf7851…
06-14 21:07:01	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x2c09a9…
06-14 21:06:22	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xa4b937…
06-14 20:52:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	178	6¢	$10	0x3b892c…
06-14 20:52:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8505f8…
06-14 20:51:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0x42c469…
06-14 20:45:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	300	8¢	$23	0x21997c…
06-14 20:33:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	672	9¢	$60	0x1f5eb4…
06-14 20:13:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xaad11a…
06-14 20:13:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xa204f3…
06-14 20:13:00	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x1a56f3…
06-14 20:12:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x7732de…
06-14 20:02:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	74	13¢	$10	0x5cb495…
06-14 19:51:15	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	452	22¢	$100	0x11424f…
06-14 19:49:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	317	16¢	$50	0x7e4d52…
06-14 19:48:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	126	16¢	$20	0x1ecb67…
06-14 19:48:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x344c55…
06-14 19:42:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	382	22¢	$84	0xbc9038…
06-14 18:04:15	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	SELL	61	7¢	$4	0x0afd69…
06-14 18:01:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0x22e6ca…
06-14 18:00:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	365	13¢	$48	0x8a7968…
06-14 17:59:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	2,074	13¢	$268	0x7bf5c5…
06-14 17:58:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	428	13¢	$55	0x46e6a5…
06-14 17:58:27	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	264	13¢	$34	0x021aea…
06-14 17:56:16	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	SELL	99	7¢	$7	0xf4b938…
06-14 17:56:00	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	SELL	451	7¢	$32	0x28a187…
06-14 17:49:07	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x62969f…
06-14 17:48:15	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	SELL	1,791	7¢	$124	0x5d5ca6…
06-14 17:47:45	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	82	12¢	$10	0x17eb93…
06-14 17:46:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	709	12¢	$88	0x612699…
06-14 17:41:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	58	13¢	$7	0x9f0676…
06-14 17:37:31	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd2f79a…
06-14 17:36:48	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	911	7¢	$60	0xf42ee7…
06-14 17:36:28	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	1,519	7¢	$100	0x8d826a…
06-14 17:36:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	426	9¢	$40	0xa46b05…
06-14 17:30:45	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	252	10¢	$25	0x350b1e…
06-14 17:30:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,024	10¢	$100	0xf3cc6d…
06-14 17:07:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	1,132	12¢	$136	0xc57fd7…
06-14 16:53:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0x3d4909…
06-14 16:53:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0x5915f0…
06-14 16:26:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	61	12¢	$8	0xd06463…
06-14 16:25:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	134	12¢	$17	0x40e760…
06-14 16:00:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,066	10¢	$110	0x06d677…
06-14 15:58:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0x32cfc9…
06-14 15:58:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,001	10¢	$100	0x1d90bd…
06-14 15:50:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	818	12¢	$100	0xbb3ee4…
06-14 15:26:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x760857…
06-14 15:26:00	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	244	14¢	$33	0xdf1ee2…
06-14 15:26:00	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xccbb38…
06-14 15:25:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x63915e…
06-14 15:24:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	378	12¢	$47	0x50c779…
06-14 15:21:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	104	12¢	$13	0x41bb25…
06-14 15:17:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	70	12¢	$9	0xc6f749…
06-14 15:16:27	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0xa10949…
06-14 15:16:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	66	12¢	$8	0x7e93cd…
06-14 15:02:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	659	15¢	$100	0xe06734…
06-14 14:38:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	761	18¢	$137	0xc2518c…
06-14 14:38:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	39	17¢	$7	0x3d7013…
06-14 14:35:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$92	0xb0bf54…
06-13 21:36:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 total 216pt5	Over	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xf60181…
06-13 21:36:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread home 5pt5	Knicks	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3cd347…
06-13 21:36:16	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 1h spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x864c84…
06-11 02:07:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x7e2b2f…
06-10 19:28:13	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 1h moneyline	Knicks	BUY	264	53¢	$140	0xfa94d0…
06-10 19:14:30	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 1h moneyline	Knicks	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x277de0…
06-10 16:12:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 points og anunoby 16pt5	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x871fa6…
06-10 13:16:15	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 1h spread home 0pt5	Knicks	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x61a8e9…
06-10 10:49:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xc37768…
06-10 10:48:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x320e0c…
06-08 19:38:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	Knicks	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x70385f…
06-08 19:34:39	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 4pt5	Knicks	BUY	366	41¢	$150	0x0b4f05…
06-08 19:34:30	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 1h spread home 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	139	47¢	$65	0x1de626…
06-08 15:49:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points stephon castle 15pt5	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xf19878…
06-08 11:08:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	5,147	30¢	$1,522	0xe62fb7…
06-07 23:45:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7b4115…
06-07 23:25:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	196	28¢	$55	0x3b0803…
06-07 19:17:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,086	83¢	$900	0xb6ada6…
06-07 19:17:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,569	76¢	$1,200	0xdf68ab…
06-07 19:16:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,415	78¢	$1,100	0xd62669…
06-07 19:16:45	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	875	80¢	$700	0x3e000a…
06-07 19:14:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	897	60¢	$538	0x1bd265…
06-07 19:13:31	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	897	56¢	$500	0x2bc13a…
06-05 15:21:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 1h spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	202	49¢	$100	0xf87761…
06-05 15:20:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 points victor wembanyama 26pt5	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xc010f8…
06-05 15:20:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 points jalen brunson 25pt5	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x637498…
06-05 15:20:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 6pt5	Knicks	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xc7f995…
06-04 16:18:37	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 215pt5	Over	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x1e17df…
06-03 17:25:00	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x74f008…
06-03 17:24:46	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Knicks	BUY	472	53¢	$250	0x4cca8e…