Shady-Author — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$336

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

182

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$45.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$103

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-08 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 95% -$226

Other

11% 54% -$110

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No		+105	$103	98¢	$103	+$0	11-08 14:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$781	392	392	+0	No	+$3	10-17 09:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$765	384	384	+0	No	+$2	10-15 13:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	9	$691	403	403	+0	No	-$91	10-20 02:30
will bitcoin reach 84k march 16 22	2	$537	269	269	+0	No	+$1	03-20 23:53
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	2	$535	268	268	+0	No	+$1	03-19 10:08
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	2	$529	265	265	+0	Yes	+$1	03-03 11:15
bitcoin above 74k on february 24	2	$525	263	263	+0	No	+$0	02-24 05:59
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	3	$523	262	262	+0	No	+$1	02-20 06:08
bitcoin above 60k on february 18	3	$519	261	261	+0	Yes	+$2	02-18 04:03
bitcoin above 74k on february 11	2	$509	258	258	+0	No	+$6	02-11 02:01
bitcoin above 76k on february 10	2	$497	252	252	+0	No	+$6	02-10 13:12
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 9	2	$497	249	248	+0	No	+$0	04-09 01:08
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	9	$492	247	247	+0	Yes	+$1	04-05 05:51
bitcoin above 74k on february 6	3	$491	249	249	+0	No	+$1	02-06 06:32
bitcoin above 64k on april 4	2	$489	246	246	+0	Yes	+$1	04-04 05:29
bitcoin above 82k on february 6	3	$488	245	245	+0	No	+$1	02-06 06:09
bitcoin above 88k on february 5	2	$488	244	244	+0	No	+$0	02-05 00:55
bitcoin above 88k on february 3	2	$487	244	244	+0	No	$0	02-03 11:35
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$485	243	243	+0	No	+$1	04-01 02:23
bitcoin above 60k on march 28	2	$483	242	242	+0	Yes	$0	03-27 17:57
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	2	$483	243	243	+0	No	+$2	02-01 10:44
bitcoin above 94k on january 31	2	$482	242	242	+0	No	+$0	01-31 14:49
bitcoin above 94k on january 30	2	$480	241	241	+0	No	+$1	01-30 05:23
bitcoin above 94k on january 28	3	$478	240	240	+0	No	+$1	01-28 06:28
bitcoin above 94k on january 27	2	$476	239	239	+0	No	+$1	01-27 15:10
bitcoin above 90k on january 14	2	$466	234	234	+0	Yes	+$1	01-14 14:12
bitcoin above 96k on january 10	2	$463	235	235	+0	No	+$1	01-09 16:08
bitcoin above 94k on january 9	4	$456	239	239	+0	No	+$5	01-09 02:56
will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	2	$451	231	231	+0	No	+$3	07-13 04:37
bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	2	$446	224	224	+0	Yes	+$2	07-02 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 14:25:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x612a43…
11-08 14:11:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$100	0xd624f4…
11-07 14:44:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xb7824a…
11-04 22:58:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x80ed0d…
10-31 13:08:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xb5584b…
10-31 12:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x28c0e3…
10-29 13:15:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	159	98¢	$157	0xc701d1…
10-26 14:28:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	157	98¢	$154	0x9ec277…
10-26 14:28:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x856fe5…
10-25 13:52:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0x37422e…
10-24 05:00:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x74a1b9…
10-24 04:58:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x39ba00…
10-24 04:56:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x1d8d33…
10-22 03:27:38	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xbb60d4…
10-21 14:04:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	297	100¢	$296	0x80521a…
10-20 02:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	47	73¢	$35	0x6b5dcd…
10-20 02:29:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	110	74¢	$82	0xdead42…
10-20 02:29:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x3675f7…
10-20 02:29:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xe90a92…
10-20 02:29:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xc4c7e6…
10-20 02:29:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x115255…
10-20 02:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x03bb33…
10-20 02:29:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	196	74¢	$146	0xfd24fa…
10-17 09:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	403	97¢	$391	0xdc7134…
10-17 09:06:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	392	100¢	$392	0xbe26a0…
10-16 00:51:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	392	99¢	$389	0x59450d…
10-15 13:44:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4abbc7…
10-15 13:36:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x60bf19…
10-15 13:32:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	290	99¢	$286	0x5aeff8…
10-15 13:22:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x531166…
10-15 13:21:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	384	100¢	$383	0x9075e2…
10-15 06:59:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	384	99¢	$382	0x756604…
10-15 02:18:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5cff66…
10-15 01:09:44	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x63f8df…
10-13 13:48:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xf838c3…
10-13 06:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x96e03e…
10-10 00:31:02	Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x2b3e2e…
10-06 02:03:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xc3cb50…
10-02 00:36:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x897528…
09-26 02:10:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x569280…
09-23 02:32:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x28d5ed…
09-21 10:24:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x1c598f…
09-18 23:58:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x9a58fe…
09-17 02:36:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xe9955a…
09-14 23:52:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x496fd5…
09-14 01:11:27	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xf30066…
09-11 14:09:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x7ca30d…
09-09 00:07:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on September 9?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x98eddc…
09-07 13:31:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8?	Yes	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x72405f…
09-07 00:19:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x43ca48…
09-03 12:51:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xf23b36…
08-31 13:12:13	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xa9b5f3…
08-27 23:49:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xb10800…
08-19 16:13:40	will ethereum reach 2200 august 17 23 2026	No	SELL	241	58¢	$140	0x5781c7…
08-19 07:06:07	will ethereum reach 2200 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	241	99¢	$238	0x8dadb0…
08-18 01:12:27	ethereum above 1700 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x5362a3…
08-17 04:47:16	ethereum above 1700 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x1f4bca…
08-15 23:13:28	will ethereum reach 2100 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x15276c…
08-14 11:37:19	bitcoin above 68k on august 15 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x118e25…
08-14 11:27:58	bitcoin above 68k on august 15 2026	No	BUY	226	100¢	$225	0xe1062f…
08-13 08:54:16	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x651544…
08-12 00:42:45	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0xca16ae…
08-11 08:59:22	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x311738…
08-07 01:30:48	will bitcoin reach 72k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	237	100¢	$236	0x0e06f5…
08-06 07:33:29	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 6?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0x8c2000…
08-05 05:40:35	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0xc44338…
08-03 12:20:39	ethereum above 2000 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	234	99¢	$233	0xefced0…
08-01 09:13:20	will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0x43e4c2…
07-29 23:58:39	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0x8e6e9b…
07-27 23:47:25	bitcoin above 68k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0xb6e382…
07-27 01:02:24	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x8792e5…
07-23 16:40:28	bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	231	99¢	$230	0xe6d7f1…
07-22 23:38:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x021097…
07-20 17:03:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x640983…
07-20 04:23:54	ethereum above 1700 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xbf8f0b…
07-18 04:25:33	will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	228	100¢	$228	0x19fae0…
07-16 06:34:14	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x4f28a3…
07-16 04:22:04	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0xbff333…
07-13 23:45:07	bitcoin above 68k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x763a36…
07-13 04:37:50	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	SELL	231	98¢	$227	0xbe6edd…
07-08 01:03:34	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	231	97¢	$224	0xdfcc2d…
07-06 01:27:46	bitcoin above 56k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x9c4729…
07-02 03:40:58	ethereum above 1400 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0x40260f…
07-02 03:26:17	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x1e68c1…
07-01 23:57:35	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	224	99¢	$222	0xfc158f…
06-25 23:55:05	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x0de6ce…
06-25 23:54:47	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x059f51…
06-25 23:53:29	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xa4f6f1…
06-20 00:18:58	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	220	99¢	$219	0xbe3f1b…
06-18 16:02:20	bitcoin above 68k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	209	99¢	$207	0x221b7c…
06-18 14:40:10	bitcoin above 68k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7d7037…
06-18 14:38:11	bitcoin above 68k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6272e5…
06-18 14:33:22	bitcoin above 68k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8f5320…
06-18 03:40:38	bitcoin above 68k on june 18 2026	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0x12b21f…
06-18 01:06:44	bitcoin above 68k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	218	99¢	$216	0xefdced…
06-16 10:54:15	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x339577…
06-16 02:04:27	Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x4b0d1a…
06-16 01:38:52	Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x77ed12…
06-16 01:31:34	Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfc0028…
06-13 00:34:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14?	No	BUY	224	99¢	$223	0x369a81…