Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$889

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-15

last 07-17 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 32% -$17

Tech

31% 25% -$59

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	4	$190	241	241	+0	Yes	-$10	07-16 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	5	$73	84	84	+0	Down	+$31	07-15 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:50 UTC	6	$71	56	56	+0	Down	+$21	07-15 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:50 UTC	7	$61	241	112	+129	Down	+$5	07-16 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:10 UTC	3	$45	114	100	+14	Up	+$23	07-15 20:14
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	8	$45	280	0	+280	No	-$45	07-16 07:16
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	3	$38	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	07-15 14:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:40 UTC	5	$34	61	53	+8	Up	+$2	07-15 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:40 UTC	5	$31	112	54	+58	Up	+$5	07-15 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:25 UTC	4	$27	65	44	+22	Up	-$3	07-15 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:35 UTC	4	$26	44	28	+16	Down	+$4	07-15 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 15:05 UTC	2	$20	1,125	0	+1,125	Up	-$20	07-15 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:05 UTC	3	$18	20	17	+3	Up	+$4	07-15 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:35 UTC	7	$17	257	19	+238	Down	-$3	07-16 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:35 UTC	5	$16	109	9	+100	Down	+$0	07-15 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:30 UTC	2	$15	65	0	+65	Up	-$15	07-16 17:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:05 UTC	3	$15	500	0	+500	Up	-$15	07-16 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:45 UTC	2	$15	33	33	+0	Down	+$13	07-15 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:15 UTC	2	$14	15	15	+0	Down	+$4	07-15 17:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:55 UTC	4	$13	67	9	+58	Up	-$1	07-15 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:45 UTC	3	$12	77	0	+77	Up	-$12	07-15 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:10 UTC	3	$11	16	16	+0	Up	-$3	07-16 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:30 UTC	2	$10	63	0	+63	Up	-$10	07-15 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	3	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	07-16 19:16
will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 19 2026 20260713185755111	1	$6	70	0	+70	No	-$6	07-17 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 15:00 UTC	2	$6	76	0	+76	Down	-$6	07-15 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:10 UTC	3	$6	21	0	+21	Down	-$6	07-15 17:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:05 UTC	2	$5	33	33	+0	Down	-$5	07-15 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:15 UTC	1	$5	50	0	+50	Up	-$5	07-15 20:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:30 UTC	1	$5	33	0	+33	Down	-$5	07-15 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 23:58:30	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 19 2026 20260713185755111	Yes	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0xff58f2…
07-16 19:16:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x1d8597…
07-16 19:15:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x64414e…
07-16 19:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x2b7c97…
07-16 18:12:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:10 UTC	Down	SELL	16	24¢	$4	0x16b0b7…
07-16 18:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd37990…
07-16 18:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4f78ef…
07-16 18:08:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x965147…
07-16 18:08:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x96798d…
07-16 18:08:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x90feb6…
07-16 18:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5bb25a…
07-16 18:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf3e3ca…
07-16 17:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdb18ce…
07-16 17:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6de2c2…
07-16 17:54:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x685194…
07-16 17:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1028c2…
07-16 17:52:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:50 UTC	Up	SELL	56	29¢	$16	0xbdc921…
07-16 17:52:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:50 UTC	Up	SELL	56	29¢	$16	0x302592…
07-16 17:51:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xaf78ba…
07-16 17:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x6e48eb…
07-16 17:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6f7d12…
07-16 17:49:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcf9274…
07-16 17:49:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8225f8…
07-16 17:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7af1be…
07-16 17:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x49707b…
07-16 17:39:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xddd404…
07-16 17:39:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x37277c…
07-16 17:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5fae06…
07-16 17:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf9de97…
07-16 17:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6b7012…
07-16 17:38:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	19	34¢	$7	0xcb0fb2…
07-16 17:37:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4ee9da…
07-16 17:32:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xfd042e…
07-16 17:30:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x729fc4…
07-16 17:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31db2d…
07-16 17:28:28	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	SELL	143	36¢	$51	0xc83345…
07-16 08:36:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x419923…
07-16 08:36:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbe9845…
07-16 08:33:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x135fa4…
07-16 08:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3e0b1f…
07-16 08:32:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5aaa28…
07-16 08:28:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4dea2d…
07-16 07:16:41	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	16¢	$38	0x7bf384…
07-16 06:56:11	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x3e088e…
07-16 06:56:02	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x0d44f4…
07-16 06:55:59	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xfe51c2…
07-16 06:55:58	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x8d27c6…
07-16 06:55:55	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x52feaf…
07-16 06:55:53	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xc5823c…
07-16 06:55:53	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xa28689…
07-16 06:47:41	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x047cff…
07-15 22:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xba068e…
07-15 22:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x23b672…
07-15 22:02:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	74	67¢	$49	0x03e9ad…
07-15 22:01:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x49cf06…
07-15 22:00:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x474c4d…
07-15 21:59:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa5d41e…
07-15 21:59:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x30a3df…
07-15 21:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x7177db…
07-15 21:57:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf9f4b7…
07-15 21:54:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x062ee1…
07-15 21:53:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x85f7f4…
07-15 21:52:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$1	0xc39981…
07-15 21:51:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb07f45…
07-15 21:49:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	33	41¢	$14	0xacb85d…
07-15 21:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x304df8…
07-15 21:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4aeef3…
07-15 21:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc5b34d…
07-15 21:43:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	54	34¢	$18	0xe2e0c5…
07-15 21:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8228c8…
07-15 21:41:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x31eb13…
07-15 21:39:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0xb8384a…
07-15 21:38:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xda9ecb…
07-15 21:36:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0x70ef56…
07-15 21:35:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xda15b5…
07-15 21:34:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x351878…
07-15 20:20:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1e8c8f…
07-15 20:20:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x05f226…
07-15 20:20:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x78b06d…
07-15 20:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc1574e…
07-15 20:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x799933…
07-15 20:13:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:10 UTC	Down	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x82caa4…
07-15 20:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7d02a1…
07-15 20:09:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xada3d8…
07-15 20:08:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x34d64b…
07-15 19:53:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x20da82…
07-15 19:50:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6d379f…
07-15 19:47:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6940b8…
07-15 19:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x531f31…
07-15 17:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x707539…
07-15 17:16:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3dfecb…
07-15 17:12:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd23734…
07-15 17:11:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb7511d…
07-15 17:11:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7399f8…
07-15 17:07:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xeb8bc2…
07-15 17:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x08c6bc…
07-15 17:06:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x93d775…
07-15 17:03:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe31d10…
07-15 16:59:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6d33f5…
07-15 16:57:59	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	SELL	98	40¢	$39	0xd0b528…