Meager-Possibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-20 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$0

Other

31% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2300 on april 3	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-03 04:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-03 04:07
bitcoin above 78k on april 14	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	04-13 03:40
highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 20c	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-16 06:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 12	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-12 07:06
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-05 11:22
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	01-31 23:18
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-25 10:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-19 03:50
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-17 04:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-25 09:06
bitcoin above 68k on april 24	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-22 04:18
ethereum above 2400 on april 14	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-13 10:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-18 09:29
will the us collect more than 2t in revenue in 2025	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	02-05 01:09
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-18 10:22
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-30 10:04
ethereum above 2500 on april 17	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-17 03:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-11 21:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-22 23:39
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-24 11:03
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-31 02:52
will alex de minaur win the 2026 australian open	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	01-17 11:35
ethereum above 2000 on april 22	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-21 12:29
ethereum above 2600 on april 19	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-18 20:00
will tommy paul win the 2026 australian open	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-11 23:28
highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 47forbelow	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-12 00:57
bitcoin above 82k on april 23	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-23 03:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-20 21:48
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	02-11 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 19:36:22	bitcoin above 60k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x05b07c…
06-03 09:46:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2ee2e9…
06-02 19:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9ba701…
06-01 23:35:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x091f70…
06-01 19:36:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa36ca8…
05-31 02:52:59	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3e3eef…
05-30 10:04:22	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2760f9…
05-25 18:41:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5025b1…
05-25 09:06:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x85ab9b…
05-24 11:03:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xdeccc0…
05-22 23:39:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaf00a4…
05-21 18:26:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0c0d6e…
05-21 01:43:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8ed858…
05-20 21:48:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2d101c…
05-20 05:50:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x171f22…
05-20 02:59:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc710c4…
05-19 13:41:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x815575…
05-19 08:36:00	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x7e2a14…
05-19 03:50:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xc00a48…
05-18 09:29:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xe2413c…
05-13 21:30:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x73767e…
05-11 21:37:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe24a3b…
05-09 11:32:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x39dfc9…
05-06 16:11:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x168c23…
05-05 11:22:14	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x993843…
04-27 11:21:52	Will the People's Bank of China increase rates in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xb627fb…
04-27 10:24:32	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1eafa6…
04-26 20:54:34	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x139ad0…
04-26 03:32:10	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xec896c…
04-25 20:34:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd5a7c0…
04-25 10:18:40	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xaa70d1…
04-24 00:43:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6ba4e2…
04-23 03:32:02	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x362af6…
04-23 01:58:46	bitcoin above 86k on april 24	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4107b…
04-22 04:18:28	bitcoin above 68k on april 24	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8762fc…
04-21 12:29:38	ethereum above 2000 on april 22	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5b93f4…
04-21 09:46:32	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb2ca71…
04-20 10:27:14	highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 45forbelow	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6e7332…
04-18 20:00:22	ethereum above 2600 on april 19	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x947e03…
04-18 05:35:58	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x256dad…
04-17 04:46:00	Will Rosen Zhelyazkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x94ad09…
04-17 03:46:56	ethereum above 2500 on april 17	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x230071…
04-16 07:14:20	bitcoin above 68k on april 17	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7e1b19…
04-16 06:15:06	highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 20c	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6e102c…
04-15 06:06:16	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 19corhigher	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x65ceda…
04-14 11:19:33	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 18c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc3febc…
04-13 10:02:57	ethereum above 2400 on april 14	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x31897c…
04-13 03:40:03	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xcb0ffa…
04-12 07:06:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 12	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdf2187…
04-12 00:57:33	highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 47forbelow	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf20c56…
04-06 23:03:11	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe3f8e3…
04-04 23:57:31	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2edc14…
04-03 04:07:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf48c22…
04-03 04:06:51	ethereum above 2300 on april 3	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x735d66…
04-03 00:24:49	ethereum above 2300 on april 3	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa0365e…
03-25 09:02:23	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9eb677…
03-21 16:31:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe8fe68…
03-18 10:22:57	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3478e9…
02-11 21:45:09	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3bb47c…
02-05 01:09:03	will the us collect more than 2t in revenue in 2025	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xab2298…
01-31 23:18:10	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2db8f0…
01-17 11:35:26	will alex de minaur win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8dc367…
01-17 04:31:20	will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x8a8aa8…
01-11 23:28:18	will tommy paul win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x811160…
01-07 08:08:29	will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc031f9…