Weary-Twitter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

1,285

Trades

2,240

lifetime

Volume

$152.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 194 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 94% +$932

Sports

6% 78% +$16

Other

6% 86% +$101

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 5 3pm et	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	Down	+$2	02-05 21:06
bitcoin up or down january 6 1pm et	3	$812	413	413	+0	Up	+$12	01-06 19:28
bitcoin up or down march 10 11am et	4	$811	411	411	+0	Down	+$11	03-10 16:05
bitcoin up or down february 5 12pm et	2	$805	406	406	+0	Down	+$5	02-05 18:58
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 10am et	4	$804	405	405	+0	Down	+$4	03-19 15:30
bitcoin up or down february 6 12pm et	3	$804	404	404	+0	Up	+$4	02-06 18:36
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-10 12:00 UTC	3	$728	406	406	+0	Up	-$72	03-10 15:41
bitcoin up or down february 5 5pm et	4	$618	318	318	+0	Up	+$18	02-05 23:53
bitcoin up or down january 2 1pm et	3	$610	310	310	+0	Down	+$10	01-02 19:47
ssc fcb atc 2026 01 07 fcb	3	$607	307	307	+0	Yes	+$7	01-07 21:00
bitcoin up or down january 18 1pm et	4	$607	307	307	+0	Up	+$7	01-18 19:54
bitcoin up or down january 12 10am et	3	$606	306	306	+0	Up	+$6	01-12 16:01
bitcoin up or down january 11 6pm et	4	$605	305	305	+0	Up	+$5	01-12 01:00
bitcoin up or down march 10 1pm et	3	$604	305	305	+0	Down	+$4	03-10 18:48
bitcoin up or down january 13 6pm et	2	$604	305	305	+0	Down	+$4	01-14 00:48
cdr bet atm 2026 02 05 atm	2	$604	305	305	+0	Yes	+$4	02-06 03:51
bitcoin up or down january 12 2pm et	3	$603	303	303	+0	Up	+$3	01-12 20:38
bitcoin up or down january 28 12pm et	2	$603	303	303	+0	Up	+$3	01-28 21:29
bitcoin up or down january 2 3pm et	3	$603	303	303	+0	Down	+$3	01-02 21:39
bitcoin up or down january 3 2pm et	2	$603	303	303	+0	Down	+$3	01-03 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	4	$597	303	303	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 15:12
bitcoin up or down january 14 2pm et	3	$564	284	284	+0	Up	+$4	01-14 20:48
bitcoin up or down january 14 5pm et	3	$563	283	283	+0	Down	+$3	01-14 23:51
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4pm et	7	$562	291	289	+1	Up	+$17	04-23 21:50
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 1pm et	5	$554	316	314	+1	Down	-$45	04-24 18:03
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-14 09:00 UTC	3	$550	306	306	+0	Down	-$50	02-14 12:55
bitcoin up or down january 16 10am et	3	$528	267	267	+0	Down	+$6	01-16 16:13
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 6pm et	5	$523	264	264	+0	Down	+$4	04-08 23:56
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC	5	$516	411	150	+261	Down	-$23	04-24 15:54
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6pm et	4	$510	261	260	+1	Up	+$11	04-23 23:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:17:50	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa768b8…
10-27 00:01:20	Bulls vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd92799…
10-26 19:41:39	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xef1f81…
10-26 13:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x81952c…
10-26 00:39:47	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1d858e…
10-25 23:50:17	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xed9c74…
10-25 23:12:21	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe153db…
10-25 22:45:56	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4e4c5a…
10-25 21:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x948549…
10-25 15:30:45	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xfc0b40…
10-25 14:45:32	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe6a1b8…
10-25 14:24:00	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x7993fd…
10-25 13:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x95045c…
10-25 12:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x11a496…
10-25 00:30:06	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xed6308…
10-25 00:17:27	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x51e761…
10-25 00:15:33	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xc4a818…
10-25 00:00:38	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x800ec3…
10-24 23:39:00	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa4d42b…
10-24 23:36:18	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x9ba227…
10-24 23:25:33	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x715701…
10-24 19:12:50	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe80992…
10-24 15:28:32	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc86522…
10-24 14:24:08	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3fabd9…
10-24 14:15:29	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xddfc68…
10-24 13:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x06ff96…
10-24 12:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xaeff16…
10-24 12:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x03fa48…
10-24 11:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x30b0e6…
10-24 04:48:03	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0xdfd728…
10-24 04:24:00	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xd80bbe…
10-24 02:15:38	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x827580…
10-24 01:59:15	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x461ea9…
10-24 01:56:02	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4b77dc…
10-24 01:02:23	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x08de78…
10-24 01:01:23	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x699b05…
10-24 00:52:47	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x19bc72…
10-24 00:50:21	Raptors vs. Wizards	Raptors	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xdf097c…
10-24 00:18:36	Hawks vs. Hornets	Hawks	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x0c3473…
10-24 00:04:18	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x6cc21a…
10-23 23:49:38	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x37f36b…
10-23 23:46:36	Raptors vs. Wizards	Raptors	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x55dae2…
10-23 21:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x240813…
10-23 21:11:06	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0xb4f4d7…
10-23 20:32:05	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x06f8f9…
10-23 15:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x08afc8…
10-23 15:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x700c99…
10-23 00:57:56	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeb38eb…
10-23 00:52:27	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x5bcc1b…
10-23 00:16:00	Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 249.5	Under	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x5fcea2…
10-23 00:01:17	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xed1e15…
10-22 23:33:27	Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 249.5	Under	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb34c12…
10-22 19:34:14	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xe598b5…
10-22 19:28:56	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xd4da3c…
10-22 00:44:20	Bucks vs. Wizards	Wizards	SELL	16	34¢	$6	0xa6935b…
10-22 00:22:02	Bulls vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x52f209…
10-21 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x5406d3…
10-21 21:53:03	Bucks vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x59a58f…
10-21 21:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0228ed…
10-21 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd5fc30…
10-21 20:13:47	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf7b1e2…
10-21 19:49:03	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x486741…
10-21 19:28:35	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa76933…
10-21 18:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x77e4f6…
10-21 13:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x259b11…
10-21 00:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x249152…
10-21 00:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x755e51…
10-20 23:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xaaffde…
10-20 22:00:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x9ec374…
10-20 21:31:03	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x3a8cf8…
10-20 21:30:08	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5dcfd1…
10-20 21:22:18	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x96e853…
10-20 21:20:56	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x3e4019…
10-20 21:20:47	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$85	0xab0e94…
10-20 21:15:42	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe4aead…
10-20 19:46:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x8b4784…
10-20 19:45:59	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x93dee4…
10-20 18:46:18	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x32960b…
10-20 18:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x33e60d…
10-20 18:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x68ef6a…
10-20 18:34:23	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x224453…
10-20 17:46:48	PAOK BC vs. Ulm Basketball	PAOK BC	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x5f28a2…
10-20 17:31:53	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x419376…
10-20 16:57:54	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd6d86e…
10-20 16:56:53	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0cc301…
10-20 16:53:44	Turk Telekom vs. BC Siauliai	Turk Telekom	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0xbf61b0…
10-20 16:04:20	PAOK BC vs. Ulm Basketball	PAOK BC	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xbfe685…
10-20 16:03:42	Turk Telekom vs. BC Siauliai	Turk Telekom	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x6c3f84…
10-20 15:54:51	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x29bb03…
10-20 14:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x76f8ac…
10-20 14:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 19?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x6b4788…
10-20 14:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 19?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x318d28…
10-20 14:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$5	0x5222a6…
10-20 14:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xbdfc9d…
10-20 13:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd1f78e…
10-20 13:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xc29aca…
10-20 13:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x95cb59…
10-20 12:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x0cd1a4…
10-20 11:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6aeb33…
10-20 10:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x937681…