Optimal-Necktie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$475

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 10-03 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

70% 50% -$96

Sports

19% 20% -$37

Crypto

11% 67% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ELH: HC Kladno vs. Sparta Prague	1	$29	46	+46	HC Kladno	-$29	09-18 14:16
Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina	1	$28	59	+59	Georgia Southern	-$28	10-03 21:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?	1	$27	39	+39	No	+$12	08-19 19:51
Kraken vs. Flames	1	$26	53	+53	Kraken	+$27	10-01 16:26
Broncos vs. Chiefs	1	$26	58	+58	Chiefs	-$26	09-13 12:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 21?	1	$25	34	+34	Yes	+$8	05-20 12:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 7?	1	$23	45	+45	No	-$23	09-05 17:36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	1	$22	34	+34	Yes	-$22	08-10 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 21?	1	$22	35	+35	Yes	-$22	08-21 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 27?	1	$22	27	+27	No	+$5	09-26 21:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 26?	1	$22	36	+36	Yes	-$22	05-25 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?	1	$20	30	+30	No	+$10	05-29 07:52
Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever	1	$20	36	+36	Indiana Fever	-$20	09-21 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 27?	1	$17	23	+23	No	+$5	05-26 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 15?	1	$15	29	+29	No	+$14	08-14 17:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?	1	$14	22	+22	No	+$8	08-18 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 8?	1	$14	25	+25	Yes	+$11	08-08 09:22
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$14	24	+24	Knicks	-$14	05-22 13:21
nfl sea ten 2026 08 24	1	$13	34	+34	Titans	-$13	08-23 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 29?	1	$13	24	+24	No	-$13	08-27 22:04
49ers vs. Rams	1	$11	17	+17	49ers	-$11	09-09 16:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	1	$10	24	+24	Yes	-$10	09-16 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 3?	1	$10	16	+16	Yes	-$10	09-02 10:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?	1	$10	15	+15	No	+$5	08-12 10:47
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury	1	$10	19	+19	Washington Mystics	+$9	08-25 15:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	1	$4	12	+12	No	-$4	09-21 17:37
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	1	$4	15	+15	open	—	10-03 21:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-26 21:49
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	09-21 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 21:05:49	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x89c634…
10-03 21:02:58	Georgia Southern vs. Coastal Carolina	Coastal Carolina	BUY	59	47¢	$28	0x4c5a39…
10-01 16:26:44	Kraken vs. Flames	Kraken	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x0c6600…
09-26 21:49:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x11f954…
09-26 21:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x77c1ab…
09-21 17:37:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x3122ef…
09-21 17:34:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x82220f…
09-21 17:25:45	Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x85277a…
09-18 14:16:00	ELH: HC Kladno vs. Sparta Prague	Sparta Prague	BUY	46	63¢	$29	0x03b920…
09-16 05:55:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	24	44¢	$10	0xbb6609…
09-13 12:20:24	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Broncos	BUY	58	44¢	$26	0x95923d…
09-09 16:53:51	49ers vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x478a23…
09-05 17:36:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0x59f93d…
09-02 10:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 3?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x2e5391…
08-27 22:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0xe91856…
08-25 15:53:45	Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb2ae74…
08-23 19:13:31	nfl sea ten 2026 08 24	Seahawks	BUY	34	39¢	$13	0x0c3646…
08-21 08:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 21?	No	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0xaa0ccd…
08-19 19:51:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?	No	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0x8f9843…
08-18 05:02:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?	No	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xb90696…
08-14 17:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xb64e07…
08-12 10:47:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xec8733…
08-10 22:22:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	34	66¢	$22	0x3c660e…
08-08 09:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 8?	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x6afe62…
05-29 07:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x8418e3…
05-26 09:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 27?	No	BUY	23	77¢	$17	0xdb2614…
05-25 03:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 26?	No	BUY	36	60¢	$22	0x264edf…
05-22 13:21:41	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	24	56¢	$14	0x83818a…
05-20 12:54:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	34	75¢	$25	0x280ca8…