Impassioned-Monk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

46.7%

Resolved

4,721

Trades

7,376

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-02-17

last 10-28 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 211 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 39% -$1,229

Other

17% 43% +$43

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+500	$50	8¢	$38	-$12	10-14 18:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 17 6pm et	58	$132	283	0	+283	Down	+$21	02-17 23:38
bitcoin up or down february 19 1pm et	18	$128	75	66	+9	Up	+$3	02-19 19:44
bitcoin up or down february 19 3pm et	24	$109	107	47	+59	Up	-$15	02-19 21:07
bitcoin up or down february 19 9am et	24	$102	100	50	+50	Up	-$3	02-19 15:12
bitcoin up or down february 20 2am et	29	$101	106	51	+54	Down	+$2	02-20 08:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 10:00 UTC	30	$75	131	10	+121	Up	-$43	02-19 10:10
bitcoin up or down february 19 2pm et	16	$75	70	33	+37	Up	-$9	02-19 20:10
bitcoin up or down february 19 11am et	16	$71	75	37	+38	Down	+$3	02-19 17:35
bitcoin up or down february 19 7am et	21	$67	97	26	+71	Up	-$14	02-19 13:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 13:30 UTC	35	$60	109	19	+90	Down	+$19	02-19 13:39
bitcoin up or down february 17 5pm et	24	$57	146	0	+146	Down	-$21	02-17 22:50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$50	500	0	+500	open	—	10-14 18:10
bitcoin up or down february 20 5am et	20	$47	64	17	+46	Down	-$13	02-20 11:03
bitcoin up or down february 19 4pm et	12	$46	40	22	+18	Down	-$3	02-19 22:07
bitcoin up or down february 18 7pm et	25	$44	91	0	+91	Down	+$6	02-19 00:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 23:00 UTC	22	$44	92	0	+92	Down	-$21	02-17 23:11
bitcoin up or down february 18 6pm et	25	$42	85	0	+85	Up	+$12	02-18 23:50
bitcoin up or down february 18 12pm et	20	$42	79	0	+79	Up	-$2	02-18 17:54
bitcoin up or down february 19 6pm et	11	$41	52	19	+33	Up	-$3	02-20 00:09
bitcoin up or down february 19 4am et	15	$41	120	0	+120	Down	+$1	02-19 09:48
bitcoin up or down february 18 9am et	23	$41	82	0	+82	Down	-$9	02-18 14:55
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 16:15 UTC	2	$40	39	37	+3	Up	+$35	04-01 16:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 09:00 UTC	20	$39	83	5	+78	Up	+$0	02-19 09:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 18:45 UTC	22	$39	81	0	+81	Up	-$20	02-18 18:53
bitcoin up or down february 19 10am et	17	$38	83	0	+83	Down	-$8	02-19 15:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$37	32	32	+0	Yes	+$25	08-14 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$36	31	31	+0	Yes	+$26	08-04 15:18
ethereum up or down february 19 7am et	14	$35	49	11	+38	Down	-$13	02-19 14:06
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 16:55 UTC	2	$34	33	31	+2	Up	+$30	04-01 17:00
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$33	30	30	+0	Up	+$26	05-08 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:18:54	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x0bde00…
10-27 22:04:45	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xa5c197…
10-27 19:00:51	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xa507bd…
10-27 17:59:54	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xf493a7…
10-27 13:16:17	Will FIS (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x1ab6be…
10-27 04:45:54	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xdc6db8…
10-27 04:45:54	Pan Pacific Open: Diane Parry vs Cristina Bucsa	Diane Parry	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x54d33c…
10-27 02:44:03	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ann Li	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8afa4f…
10-26 18:35:51	Erste Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x59d053…
10-26 17:42:26	Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x4021ab…
10-26 15:32:44	Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x172470…
10-26 10:27:03	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley	Arthur Fery	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0b6b5d…
10-24 10:41:56	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xc8d9b6…
10-24 07:39:06	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x7186d8…
10-23 21:58:33	Will Chipotle (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0xfe7b9a…
10-23 09:26:00	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0x8195d5…
10-23 08:12:17	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x990e8f…
10-22 17:23:02	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x246eb9…
10-22 13:22:09	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x429598…
10-22 12:52:03	Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x873e47…
10-22 00:49:48	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xb690d4…
10-21 22:19:21	Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x59d308…
10-21 13:17:44	Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x83a58c…
10-21 12:17:30	Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x48986f…
10-20 22:45:14	Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$5	0xb3617c…
10-20 16:44:12	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6059e2…
10-20 15:44:00	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3c0156…
10-20 12:43:27	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x2895c9…
10-20 12:05:12	Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Daria Snigur	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xaf2ea6…
10-20 11:13:11	Will PJT Partners (PJT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xe585aa…
10-20 10:03:24	Ningbo Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Belinda Bencic	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x223f1e…
10-19 22:54:17	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc709fe…
10-19 10:39:11	Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc9392e…
10-19 08:36:50	Ningbo Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Daria Kasatkina	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0f67e6…
10-19 08:07:48	Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x265d1e…
10-19 04:33:17	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x61d935…
10-18 09:06:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x64e937…
10-17 09:20:00	wta kartal ostapen 2026 10 16	Sonay Kartal	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5ed1ce…
10-17 07:54:39	tw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 29 2026 1pt04	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xb24f0b…
10-16 18:21:51	vz quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 26 2026 1pt31	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xc8a0b7…
10-16 12:50:27	Will Wintrust Financial (WTFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x6320c9…
10-16 08:44:42	wta chwalin sakkari 2026 10 15	Maria Sakkari	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfefd34…
10-16 08:44:42	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc64a84…
10-15 22:17:33	Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x772e94…
10-15 04:04:44	wta muchova shnaide 2026 10 14	Diana Shnaider	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x16bc62…
10-14 18:10:04	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xfe44c0…
10-14 13:40:05	iart quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 21 2026 0pt57	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1cbce4…
10-14 10:39:14	tfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 16 2026 1pt13	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x78df57…
10-14 05:34:43	wta putints shnaide 2026 10 13	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd31e63…
10-14 03:32:37	wta bouzkov chwalin 2026 10 13	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xec3d49…
10-14 03:32:37	wta frech swiatek 2026 10 13	Iga Swiatek	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd54d1e…
10-13 17:20:31	Stars vs. Avalanche	Stars	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x4e326f…
10-13 15:35:59	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2b6fd8…
10-13 12:35:16	Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd2f9a7…
10-13 10:10:59	wta annli osorio 2026 10 13	Camila Osorio	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x347b91…
10-13 09:09:47	wta sakkari kostyuk 2026 10 13	Maria Sakkari	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x91415d…
10-13 09:09:47	Wuhan Tennis Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Jelena Ostapenko	Daria Kasatkina	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x075f07…
10-13 08:07:41	Wuhan Tennis Open: Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf46aea…
10-13 04:02:14	Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xb1ffdf…
10-12 14:47:20	Wuhan Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Han Shi	Alexandra Eala	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4d4c3b…
10-12 07:34:53	Wuhan Tennis Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Magdalena Frech	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd768dc…
10-12 07:34:53	Wuhan Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Donna Vekic	Donna Vekic	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x70738f…
10-12 06:33:15	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x9e372e…
10-12 06:33:15	Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek	Sara Bejlek	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x102b82…
10-12 03:30:18	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc30936…
10-12 03:30:18	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x09a9f9…
10-12 00:27:20	Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9419ed…
10-11 11:11:02	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima	Alexander Bublik	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x84fc22…
10-11 08:07:27	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa3b161…
10-11 08:07:27	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x2f79f6…
10-10 11:47:46	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6f93e7…
10-10 10:46:21	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Luciano Darderi	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4cfb70…
10-10 08:42:19	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xb264d9…
10-10 06:38:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd798a1…
10-10 05:36:39	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xec0e6e…
10-10 05:36:37	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb43bf9…
10-09 12:11:10	China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x37300c…
10-09 10:08:36	atp cerundo safiull 2026 10 09	Roman Safiullin	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa191bd…
10-09 09:06:55	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson Brooksby	Jenson Brooksby	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2cbc43…
10-09 07:03:40	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xc83a44…
10-09 05:01:23	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5f19e7…
10-08 16:41:41	Will Equifax (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd39e95…
10-08 16:41:39	Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xcee13a…
10-08 14:11:12	Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x85282a…
10-08 11:42:11	China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2fd586…
10-08 09:39:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Martin Landaluce vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Martin Landaluce	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe9b85e…
10-08 09:39:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8d138d…
10-08 07:36:51	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x900582…
10-08 07:36:49	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan	Alex de Minaur	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x11f54b…
10-08 03:38:37	Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe4375d…
10-08 02:08:14	Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd72230…
10-08 01:38:05	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc70f21…
10-08 01:07:58	Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbf5a5f…
10-08 00:37:52	Will Mercantile Bank (MBWM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x28eae9…
10-07 23:37:43	Will United Bankshares (UBSI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6f9455…
10-07 23:07:37	Will S&T Bancorp (STBA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x918058…
10-07 20:37:12	Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfc351d…
10-07 07:57:59	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x60a429…
10-07 05:51:44	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria	Jaime Faria	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb6d422…
10-06 19:39:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4060d6…