Shallow-Fulfillment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$299

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

254

Trades

1,683

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-08 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 57% $-299

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769018400	2	$1.3K	1,155	1,150	+5	open	—	01-21 18:13
btc updown 15m 1769004900	9	$204	199	199	+0	open	—	01-21 14:31
btc updown 15m 1770552900	5	$144	144	142	+1	open	—	02-08 12:28
btc updown 15m 1770306300	4	$133	113	113	+1	open	—	02-05 16:00
btc updown 5m 1771097700	4	$125	235	233	+2	open	—	02-14 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10PM ET	2	$120	75	75	+0	open	—	05-24 04:22
btc updown 15m 1769339700	4	$90	335	0	+335	open	—	01-25 11:24
btc updown 5m 1771097100	2	$85	85	84	+1	open	—	02-14 19:26
xrp up or down january 22 7am et	2	$75	63	63	+0	open	—	01-22 13:06
will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	2	$75	41	41	+0	open	—	01-15 08:46
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	2	$71	37	37	+0	open	—	01-15 06:23
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	2	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	01-13 05:52
bitcoin up or down on january 22	12	$64	5,068	0	+5,068	open	—	01-22 16:48
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	01-11 07:50
btc updown 15m 1769338800	5	$60	709	0	+709	open	—	01-25 11:14
btc updown 5m 1771088400	3	$50	130	79	+51	open	—	02-14 17:04
xrp up or down january 27 5am et	6	$49	491	0	+491	open	—	01-27 10:51
btc updown 5m 1771129200	2	$48	287	0	+287	open	—	02-15 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$47	79	0	+79	open	—	05-23 07:30
xrp updown 15m 1769513400	1	$47	310	0	+310	open	—	01-27 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET	1	$43	75	0	+75	open	—	05-24 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET	1	$42	75	0	+75	open	—	05-21 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12AM ET	1	$42	75	0	+75	open	—	05-21 04:00
btc updown 5m 1776957000	2	$41	24	24	+0	open	—	04-23 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	5	$40	737	0	+737	Down	$-40	05-10 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET	1	$40	75	0	+75	open	—	05-24 01:00
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$40	100	100	+0	open	—	01-19 11:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	4	$38	62	0	+62	Down	+$25	05-13 01:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	5	$38	62	0	+62	Up	$-38	05-13 01:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$37	63	0	+63	Down	+$25	05-13 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 14:39:55	btc updown 5m 1780929300	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xb291f4…
06-08 13:14:40	btc updown 5m 1780924200	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe95789…
06-08 13:05:24	btc updown 5m 1780923900	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa04543…
06-01 03:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x603cc5…
05-24 14:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	45¢	$17	0xae00a8…
05-24 13:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8fdc24…
05-24 13:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5a2a08…
05-24 13:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe48f18…
05-24 13:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7c5d6f…
05-24 13:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x56a6df…
05-24 13:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	57¢	$12	0x37e118…
05-24 13:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x1b0acc…
05-24 13:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0xecb96d…
05-24 13:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x1e4b6c…
05-24 13:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x6c86a3…
05-24 12:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x4cf166…
05-24 12:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	57¢	$12	0x7fd075…
05-24 12:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x0513b7…
05-24 12:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x3eb56f…
05-24 12:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x1d81e2…
05-24 12:20:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xb7d8eb…
05-24 12:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x00dcb1…
05-24 05:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xa8b2f1…
05-24 05:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x2bc378…
05-24 05:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x9beb72…
05-24 05:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x5bef70…
05-24 05:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x5b688d…
05-24 05:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x119c06…
05-24 04:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xb96d5f…
05-24 03:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$17	0x56a577…
05-24 02:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	75	60¢	$45	0x1bd9e2…
05-24 01:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x38fedf…
05-24 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	75	57¢	$43	0x6e1dbc…
05-23 14:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0x51d0f0…
05-23 14:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x3214cb…
05-23 14:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0xee0313…
05-23 14:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0x7e46bf…
05-23 14:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xa13952…
05-23 14:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0xf9f9e3…
05-23 14:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	60¢	$22	0x87c44d…
05-23 13:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0x1e3954…
05-23 13:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0xf7abdf…
05-23 13:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x82cd3b…
05-23 13:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x47ecda…
05-23 13:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0xb8d8c4…
05-23 13:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x9404e3…
05-23 13:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x4fb57f…
05-23 13:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x0f0851…
05-23 13:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0xd598c1…
05-23 13:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0xaaadaf…
05-23 13:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x2bd5e5…
05-23 13:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0xac9ca3…
05-23 13:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x34ec48…
05-23 13:10:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x4c64c2…
05-23 13:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xf4d79d…
05-23 13:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf7affa…
05-23 13:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xe2a75e…
05-23 13:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x9edd82…
05-23 13:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x9df0f8…
05-23 13:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9714c5…
05-23 13:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x5afec0…
05-23 12:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xb2072d…
05-23 11:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xe4d2af…
05-23 10:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x730891…
05-23 10:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x17da78…
05-23 10:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x7a7abb…
05-23 10:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x2a5402…
05-23 08:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x85ff08…
05-23 08:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0x364230…
05-23 08:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0xb751ba…
05-23 08:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0xbd174d…
05-23 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xb957f3…
05-23 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x7fde12…
05-23 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2f99ec…
05-23 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x0fd18e…
05-23 07:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0xe9450b…
05-23 07:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0x2e0b52…
05-23 07:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	59	54¢	$32	0x80aeda…
05-23 07:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd3dd52…
05-23 07:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaac8c9…
05-23 07:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x23c27b…
05-23 07:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x063a0c…
05-23 07:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xa5fab4…
05-23 07:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0x224c5b…
05-23 03:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	54¢	$19	0xa16349…
05-23 03:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0x3d6eb4…
05-23 03:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	54¢	$19	0x5052ec…
05-23 03:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	54¢	$19	0x4e4cf6…
05-23 03:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0xc6fa92…
05-22 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xe97f81…
05-22 22:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	59¢	$32	0x5dbb1d…
05-22 22:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0x5e26da…
05-22 22:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0x3e649a…
05-22 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x114fde…
05-22 22:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$21	0xc9ef21…
05-22 20:15:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$17	0xbe9f26…
05-22 20:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x4aaa61…
05-22 20:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x228619…
05-22 20:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xbd55fe…
05-22 19:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x5887eb…